Today's Horse Racing Tips: Look Closely at this value

Today's racing tips come from Ascot.
Today's racing tips come from Ascot.

There are six bets for today’s racing at Ascot.

Ascot Tips

13:50 – 6f ITV Home Of Terrestrial Racing Handicap (Class 2)

Richard Hannon has sent out plenty of winners in recent weeks and looks to have another good chance with his progressive sprinter THEOTHERSIDE (1 point win bet at 9/2). This three-year-old filly has won three of her four races on turf and is yet to finish out of the first three places in her five career starts to date. She was a comfortable winner when stepped up in class at Newmarket last time out and she should be able to defy a 7lb rise. She is proven on fast ground and regular jockey Pat Dobbs takes the ride again.

At a much bigger price, I am also taking a chance on EQUIANO SPRINGS (0.5 point win bet at 22/1), who appears to relish fast ground. Conditions were not quick enough at Ripon two weeks ago when he was chasing a third consecutive victory, and although this will demand a career best effort, he cannot be discounted from a good draw.

14:25 – 1m Dubai Duty Free Shergar Cup Celebration Handicap (Class 2)

This looks a good opportunity for VIA SERENDIPITY (NAP – 1 point win bet at 8/1) to return to winning ways on what will be his debut for trainer Charlie Fellows. His six previous visits to Ascot have resulted in a victory and two placed efforts in big-field handicaps, so he clearly likes it here. Hayley Turner gets back on board today, and she has a good record aboard the horse, who is now 12lbs lower than for his last win on turf. Given that he won an All-Weather handicap last season off an even higher rating (104), he should be really competitive off today’s mark of 83. Wild Hope, a winner last time out, rates as the biggest danger.

Tip

13:50 Ascot
Theotherside silk

Theotherside

placed

Tip

13:50 Ascot
Equiano Springs silk

Equiano Springs

placed

Tip

14:25 Ascot
Via Serendipity silk

Via Serendipity

won

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15:00 – 2m Dubai Duty Free Millennium Millionaire Handicap (Class 2)

The Northumberland Plate runner up Australis looks to have a decent chance of gaining a first success on turf, but preference is for the James Fanshawe-trained stayer SLEEPING LION (1 point win bet at 6/1). Although he is yet to win over two miles, he has solid placed form over the trip – at Ascot last season and then at Newcastle last time out. Both of his wins on turf have come on fast ground and he is only 4lbs higher than for his Class 2 win at Doncaster on his final start of 2019.

CHARLIE D (0.5 point win bet at 25/1) has also caught my eye and could outrun his big odds. Tom Dascombe’s representative has an excellent strike-rate and is a strong stayer over the trip. He can be forgiven his defeat on the All-Weather at Newcastle last time out (behind Sleeping Lion) and goes in search of a fifth consecutive win on turf today.


15:35 – 1m4f Thames Hospice Handicap (Class 2)

Roger Varian and Andrea Atzeni can land the 1m4f handicap with LOOK CLOSELY (1 point win bet at 9/2), who has won two of his last three starts. His latest victory came in fine style over this course and distance, and although he has been raised 8lbs by the handicapper, this son of Sea The Stars could be open to more improvement with conditions very much to suit. Spanish Archer and Jeremiah – both winners last time out – also have solid chances.

Tip

15:00 Ascot
Sleeping Lion silk

Sleeping Lion

placed

Tip

15:00 Ascot
Charlie D silk

Charlie D

lost

Tip

Ascot 15:35
Look Closely silk

Look Closely

won
Chris Baker's P&L

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