By Sean Morris

Lord North to set Irish eyes smiling in the Turf

By Sean Morris
Frankie Dettori could be celebrating after the Breeders' Cup Turf
Frankie Dettori could be celebrating after the Breeders' Cup Turf

Get up to $250 in bonus funds

New Customers Only,21+

The $4,000,000 Grade I Breeders' Cup Turf Sprint is Race 11 on the card for Keeneland this Saturday as the Breeders' Cup World Championships. Below is our Race Card with all the Morning Line odds and links to our betting partners BetAmerica, TVG and TwinSpires where you can join today and take advantage of their excellent sign-up offers for new customers.

Underneath you'll find our race preview written by our in-house handicapper and originally published here on HorseRacing.net as part of his Breeders' Cup Saturday Picks column...

Breeders' Cup Turf 2020

2

Magical

  • Age: 5 /
  • Jockey: R L Moore /
  • Trainer: A P O'Brien /
Morning Line Odds
10

Mogul

  • Age: 3 /
  • Jockey: P Boudot /
  • Trainer: A P O'Brien /
Morning Line Odds
1

Arklow

  • Age: 6 /
  • Jockey: F Geroux /
  • Trainer: B H Cox /
Morning Line Odds
9

Channel Maker

  • Age: 6 /
  • Jockey: M Franco /
  • Trainer: W I Mott /
Morning Line Odds
3

Tarnawa

  • Age: 4 /
  • Jockey: C Soumillon /
  • Trainer: D K Weld /
Morning Line Odds
6

Lord North

  • Age: 4 /
  • Jockey: L Dettori /
  • Trainer: J H Gosden /
Morning Line Odds
7

United

  • Age: 5 /
  • Jockey: F Prat /
  • Trainer: R E Mandella /
Morning Line Odds
8

Red King

  • Age: 6 /
  • Jockey: U Rispoli /
  • Trainer: P D'Amato /
Morning Line Odds
4

Mehdaayih

  • Age: 4 /
  • Jockey: J Rosario /
  • Trainer: J H Gosden /
Morning Line Odds
5

Donjah

  • Age: 4 /
  • Jockey: C Lecoeuvre /
  • Trainer: H Grewe /
Morning Line Odds

Race 11 (Turf)

The 2020 edition of the Breeders’ Cup Turf pretty clearly favors the European runners. The race traditionally has a Euro bias anyway, but this year more so than ever as they’ve brought more than a few top class runners over and the Americans are pinning their hopes mainly to Arklow (#1) and Channel Maker (#9). Of these two I prefer the former, who really seemed to wake up with the addition of blinkers last out, but even on his best day he’s probably at least a few lengths slower than his competition. Channel Maker was actually able to transfer his soft turf form to firm ground last out in the G1 Turf Classic, though his victory in that race may have been the product of an inside-favoring course at Belmont. Neither of these horses is a superstar, however, which is probably what they’d need to be to win this race.

Parsing through the Euros is no easy task. The likely favorite is Magical (#2), a 5-year-old mare who has routinely beaten open Group 1 competition overseas. She’s clearly the class of this field and nearly won this race in 2018 over Enable, however she’s only been on truly firm ground once in her career, which resulted in a 10th-place finish in the Group 1 Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe that same year. Despite the poor placing, I don’t think she’s going to have trouble handling the firm course at Keeneland on Saturday, though it doesn’t figure to be her preferred going, which could leave the door open for others.

Interestingly, Tarnawa (#3) and Mogul (#10) aren’t far off the favorite at all in overseas betting markets, and both have an emphatic win over firm ground to their credit this year. Both seem to be improving sorts that are going to be tough to deal with here, but my top pick in this race is Lord North (#6). Maybe I’m just a sucker for John Gosden horses, but this one figures to be the best price of the quartet of Euros I’ve honed in on. Two back he finished just behind Magical in the Group 1 Juddmonte International despite losing a shoe, and prior to that he was a dominant winner of the Group 1 Prince of Wales at Royal Ascot over next-out winners Addeybb and Barney Roy. At his best I believe Lord North fits well at this level of competition, and though it’s unclear what time of ground he truly prefers, this is where my implicit trust of Gosden comes into play. After a virtual non-effort last out in the Group 1 Qipco Champion Stakes, I don’t think Gosden would be sending this one over unless he had reason to believe a much better performance was forthcoming. I’ll bite.

Main:  2,3,6,10     Backup (priority):  1

Order of preference:  6-3-10-2

Up to $200 in Sign-up Bonuses

New Customers Only,21+

Get up to $250 in bonus funds

New Customers Only,21+
Up to $200 in Sign-up Bonuses
New Customers Only,21+
Up to $200 in Sign-up Bonuses
New Customers Only,21 +