Fair Grounds Picks & All-Stakes Pick 4 Betting Analysis for December 11: Louisiana Champions Day
FAIR GROUNDS Picks
The Fair Grounds went through a terrible storm 6 months ago ... it decimated their scoreboard, but no animals or people were hurt. They return for their 150th Anniversary with cards that are sure to excite the pocketbook! Once again, they are putting on Louisiana Champions Day, a series that is loaded with "Non-G" events.
At Horseracing.net/us we have you covered, including all of the action! It is a good time for some of the best that North American racing has to offer. Stay tuned!
If you're looking for picks elsewhere around the country this Saturday be sure to check out our free Horse Racing Picks via the gold button below.
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Louisiana Champions Day!
ALL-STAKES PICK 4…
LEG 1: (Race 7: Dirt, 6F, LA Champions Day Ladies Sprint S., $100k, F&M 3+)
Today’s Louisiana Champions Day sequence begins with a challenging sprint on the MT @FG. It is a field of 8 that has drawn-in, and everyone will be craning their necks to look up at Brett Brinkman’s Cilla #3 on the tote. At M/L odds of 6/5, the only other entry that will be close is the Camejo Barn’s Ova Charged #5. Between these, I think Brinkman’s charge is the class, while Camejo’s runner is still on the make for Brittlyn Stables. The X-Factor in this race is the ability of jockey Reylu Gutierrez to urge his mount, the #5, on. This is a hot rider who is absolutely strong on dirt. The speed figure this daughter of Star Guitar posted in an AOC contest @FG back on 28 Nov. was eye-catching. Still, class wins in many situations like this, and that is why I think Brinkman’s #3 filly by California Chrome has the edge. After running 3rd at Keeneland in the Raven Run (G2), her recent works look promising, and I think for that reason she gets the nod—a “Single.”
Selections: 3 (Single)
LEG 2: (Race 8: Dirt, 1 1/8th, LA Champions Day Classic S., $150k, 3+)
Moving right along, the next step is the “highlight” on this LA bred-laden card—the Classic. Entered in this competitive concert is last year’s darling winner at odds of 53/1 … Grand Luwegee #1. This time around, as he tries to defend his title, he will decidedly not be that massive price. Over the past year, this son of El Corredor has not done much in the way of capitalizing on that victory, so it is hard to imagine that these connections can visit the winner’s circle again. As far as a top selection, I am keen on both of Bret Calhoun’s entries. He is such a superb conditioner, and the way in which he spots races is excellent. His demeanor, approach, and affability make him one of my favorite trainers in America. You simply cannot beat his runners when it comes to their preparation. These uncoupled runners are Allied Racing’s Who Took the Money #6 and their Highland Creek #8. Both are interesting, and I like the contrast. Deshawn Parker and Adam Beschizza take the mounts … Of these 2, my head bob goes to #8, simply because I liked the way the gelding by Broken Vow ran back @FG in March in a 100k “Non-G.” That loss was only by a neck to his stablemate. I am hoping that Calhoun does not decide to scratch this one (he is also entered in Race 11). The play here is to go 2-Deep with the “Calhouns.” Let’s roll it …
Selections: 6/8 (2-Deep)
LEG 3: (Race 9: Dirt, 6F, LA Champions Day Juvenile S., $100k, 2)
When it comes to an absolutely “wide-open” contest on this card, I think this is the race. You have a good group of young colts that are entered, and if you can “Single” in this race, you are better ‘capper than I am. I do not see a “prohibitive” or “deserved favorite” out of these 10. For that reason, the clear choice is to hit the “All” button. We have saved enough money to do so, and it makes a ton of sense. As for a top selection, I am rather interested in both Unified Report #8 from Dallas Stewart’s outfit, and Mark Casse’s Bron and Brow #5. Since both come from well-known outfits, I doubt they will be overlays in the end, but it is hard to talk anyone off this pair. The nod for me probably goes to Casse, since this Gary Barber-owned colt was nice in his debut out at Del Mar during the Bing Crosby Season back in November. I always appreciate the riding ability of Deshawn Parker, and with 1st time Lasix, this one looks like a bet as he ships into town. I hope Casse does not scratch this one (he is also entered in Race 13). Still, I am going with 1-10 … moving on …
Selections: 1-10 (ALL)
LEG 4: (Race 10: Dirt, 6F, LA Champions Day Sprint S., $100k, 3+)
Here is the other half of the bookend to that lead-off race … Now, it is the boys' turn to do some sprinting, and I am hoping that a price can find its way into the winner’s circle. Of course, we all know that Tom Amoss’ No Parole #10 will be a popular selection for bettors, since he has a strong class rating. I want to try and beat this 4-yr-old by Violence because I think he is honestly overrated. It has been a good bit since he won a race against some tough competition. Last out in late October, he was done halfway through the Gold Cup S. at Delta Downs. That is a major concern coming into this contest, and all these reasons want to make me look elsewhere. When it comes to speed, I am rather interested in Ron Faucheux’s uncoupled pair. Bertie’s Galaxy #5 looks much improved, and got a nice freshening at Delta Downs in an ALLW Co. race there back in mid-October. The accomplished former Arlington Park jockey, Jareth Loveberry gets the call, and that looks like a great decision. If you add in this race’s defending champ, Monte Man #2, then that sounds like a formidable duo. This gelding by Custom for Carlos has been on the bench since August, but that just means he is well-rested. Faucheux is a whiz when it comes to getting them ready, and a repeat of 2020 in this spot could be in the cards. Let’s use both of these entries from the same barn, and round out a very affordable ticket, in my estimation.
Selections: 2/5 (2-Deep)
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.50 P4 TICKET COST: $20.00
Enjoy Louisiana Champions Day from down in New Orleans! The tradition at the Fair Grounds continues!