Aqueduct Picks & Betting Analysis for November 13
Adjacent to JFK Airport on Long Island, New York, NYRA's Aqueduct Racetrack features turf (just for next few weeks in November) and of course, dirt. Check the weather forecast because conditions on the turf could be ever-changing ...
At Horseracing.net/us we have you covered with selections for every contest on this 10-race card! It is a good time for some of the best that North American racing has to offer. Stay tuned!
If you're looking for picks elsewhere around the country this Saturday day be sure to check out our free Horse Racing Picks via the gold button below.
Most Likely Winner: (Race 7: Breakfastatbonnies #2, 8/5):
Trainer Danny Gargan has a solid record in races like this one, and he has this filly by Laoban coming off her 2nd career win at Saratoga. After a good rest, his runner is coming back to Aqueduct, a place where she started her career earlier this year. What is so inviting about Gargan’s prospect is that she has stepped up nicely, and can make a go of it once again. Luis Saez has had a year of years, and having him in the saddle is a boon. With 2 wins and a 3rd, then the filly could be rocketing to yet another win … Let’s play this one!
Wagering Recommendation: $100 Win, #2
Off-the-Pace Play of the Day: (Race 6: Snow Candy #8, 8/1):
Tom Morley has a young colt in his midst that had a rough couple of attempts during the recent Saratoga Meet. Jockey Javier Castellano tried his utmost, but the “zip” just wasn’t there. Now, after some recalibration, the NYRA-based conditioner has his charge looking at a new turf course. Extending out in distance might also be a good choice. What we do know is that this colt is by Twirling Candy, and that means he has the versatility to handle any surface. I am willing to give this one another chance, and it could prove profitable at 8/1.
Wagering Recommendation: $100 Bankroll, Graduated Wager WPS #8 ($10-W, $15-P, $75-S)
Spotlight Race of the Day: (Race 9: Turf, 1 Mile, Artie Schiller $150k, 3+):
The “feature” on Saturday afternoon is named for a well-known turfer from the old days. “Artie” turned out to be a noble sire as well … a just mantle, indeed. Coming into this spot, if this one stays on the grass, it looks as though Chad Brown once again has the inside track. He always dominates the BTs and Graded affairs, so it is no surprise that Flavius #1 will be highly regarded. The ridgling by War Front could be deemed a “streaky” runner because he has failed occasionally when he is a short price. For instance, his last race at Kentucky Downs was a miss, when he failed to live up to “favorite” status. Jockey Jose Ortiz gets the call, and he is coming off a good week at the Breeders’ Cup.
Looking for other options, and a way to play against the Juddmonte homebred, I am intrigued by Mark Casse’s pair of runners. Both Olympic Runner #2 and March to the Arch #4 have upside, especially since they are coming out of strong grass races up at Woodbine. The Gary Barber-owned son of Gio Ponti was 3rd in the Nearctic (G2), and his greatest weapon is a powerful late leg kick. Kendrick Carmouche does not get the opportunity to ride turfers all that often, but he has ability to make decisions late in a race. As for the other Casse entry, the gelding by Arch was 4th in the celebrated Woodbine Mile (G1) back in mid-September. He should appreciate the class drop, and with Dylan Davis aboard, he has a decent shot.
Let’s use the Casse lot on top, and roll Brown’s ace underneath. It could be a nice score …
Wagering Recommendation: Exacta Wheel, 2/4 w 1
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Enjoy a November with NYRA! Best of luck on another run at the “Big A!”