Aqueduct Picks: Well-bred Runninsonofagun on January 27
Aqueduct Picks - Thursday, January 27, 2022
Race 1: 2-6-1-7
Race 2: 3-1-6-4
Race 3: 2-1-5-3
Race 4: 1-5-2-7
Race 5: 8-1-2-4
Race 6: 4-8-6-2
Race 7: 5-6-3-4
Race 8: 4-5-8-2
**Most Likely Winner: Runninsonofagun #3 (Race 2)**
**Best Value: Amazing Dream #1 (Race 4)**
NYRA’s Aqueduct Racetrack has their Winter Meet rolling along, despite some tough weather conditions. This past week saw some interesting "chatter" in the racing world with talk concerning the set-up of the track. With a hot inside rail, it produced a ton of wins for those riders that could secure the spot. In particular, Trevor McCarthy took advantage, and it won him "Jockey of the Week" honors.
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Most Likely Winner: (Race 2: Runninsonofagun #3, 9/5):
There is no hotter sire than Gun Runner right now, and the folks at Three Chimneys are now charging a $125k stud fee … rightly so … Here is a runner by that sire that looks full of promises after breaking his maiden on New Year’s Eve 2021. That was an MC affair, and trainer John Toscano is looking to build up a head of steam. I think we can expect some great things from this one, and Dylan Davis has a good Meet going so far … Anything above 4/5, I would consider value, and worth a bet. “Deserving favorite” against this crowd …
Wagering Recommendation: $100 Win, #3
Off-the-Pace Play of the Day: (Race 4: Amazing Dream #1, 6/1):
HOF trainer Todd Pletcher has an uncoupled entry scheduled for Race 4, and I am sure that No More Mischief #2 will take quite a bit of money. I am not interested in this one, and instead much prefer the ladder climbing ability of her stablemate. By First Samurai, here is a filly that could excite at somewhat of a price, as she gets Lasix for the 1st time. Last out, she broke her maiden in her 5th career race running nicely down the lane going 7F in an MC20k. This is not too big a class hike, and Manny Franco will be aboard, just like before. Repole Stable does some savvy investing, and look for this one (who cost $190k @KEE September Sale) to be on the move late. Sometimes when a barn enters a pair, you have to look hard at the higher priced entry! Better to go up, than down …
Wagering Recommendation: $100 Bankroll, Graduated Wager WPS #1 ($10-W, $15-P, $75-S)
Spotlight Race of the Day: (Race 7: Dirt, 1 1/8th, ALLW72k, 4+ NY Breds):
Looking at this tough ALLW Co. race, most bettors will gravitate to the M/L favorite, Therisastormbrewin #6. That is not a poor play, but at odds of 8/5, it doesn’t seem like much of a betting proposition. Even though this gelding by Broken Vow won last time out with a solid speed fig., looking over his career, he has not won all that many races over 22 starts. I am wanting to look elsewhere for value. I think I found a top selection in Jim Ryerson’s Run for Boston #5. This gelding by Include is used to competing in company like this, and with Kendrick Carmouche in the irons, should get a nice trip. He was 2nd last time out back in late December at Aqueduct, and his progression over the course of the last year looks promising. If he can make a clean break, then he could have this race in hand. I feel an ice-cold Exacta coming on …
Wagering Recommendation: $2 Exacta Cold, 5 w 6
Enjoy some racing from the “Big A!” Best of luck on another run at Aqueduct!