By Neil Monnery

Beaumont Stakes 2021 Picks: Slumber Party may be vulnerable

By Neil Monnery
The Grade III Beaumont has Kentucky Oaks Point on the line... See who Sean and J.N. like in this celebrated contest...
The Grade III Beaumont has Kentucky Oaks Point on the line... See who Sean and J.N. like in this celebrated contest...

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The Grade III Beaumont is on the Road to the 2021 Kentucky Oaks and our turf-man and in-house handicapper are both here with their previews for the race.

Our race-card with M/L Odds is below along with their picks and analysis...

Keeneland Race 8 16:57 ET

Number
Horse
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Sean's take...

Slumber Party (#2) is absolutely the filly to beat in the G3 Beaumont as she makes her much-anticipated second start following a smashing maiden win on January 24 at Gulfstream, however I believe she could be vulnerable in this spot. While her maiden win and the 86 Beyer she earned do hold up to scrutiny, I find it a little concerning that she missed all of the major Kentucky Oaks preps at Gulfstream and opts instead for this much softer spot. Based on a debut performance like hers you’d think her connections would be aiming high, especially in a year with such a wide open 3-year-old filly division, but this can only be construed as a conservative move. Furthermore, Slumber Party raced with Lasix in her first start but does not get it here, which could also lead to regression. Since she’s likely going to end up as a much shorter price than her 2-1 morning-line odds, I think it’s wise to take a shot against her.

Wesley Ward’s Twenty Carat (#7) is probably going to be the most popular alternative to the favorite, but I don’t love her races at Turfway. Instead, I’m far more interested in Farsighted (#3). This filly was beating very little in her sophomore debut in the Any Limit at Gulfstream, however she won with ease and I found it encouraging that she ran well fresh for the patient Rusty Arnold, who no doubt had this race in mind for her all along. Farsighted ran a couple strong races over this track last year, including a second-place finish in the Songbird on the Breeders’ Cup undercard, and I’m anticipating a career-best performance from her here. As the third or fourth choice in the wagering, I think she makes a ton of sense.

Order of preference:  3-2-7-6

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J.N's Take...

Earlier this week, as I was analyzing this card once it broke on Monday, I rated highly a couple of entries that I thought looked extremely inviting. Those were Mike Maker’s Amalfi Princess #4 and Wesley Ward’s Twenty Carat #7.

I stand by those selections. I give the nod to Maker’s charge, but it is only by a sliver. I realize this is a pretty form-full selection, but you call ‘em like you see them. Sometimes over a number of days, that can change, especially once the M/L odds are served up, but that should not be an influencer.

Maker’s daughter of Temple City really could run on the dirt or the grass. She appears fast, and with Tyler Gaffalione riding, he should be able to work out a nice trip. That turf sprint @GP, which was a high-level OC75k, was a miss, but I think she just ran out of dirt that was painted green. I would surmise the 7F here should suit, and the class hike looks very plausible.

As for Ward’s entry, she was moored at his Turfway Hotel. While there, she scored in a couple of sprints on the AW. Made it look easy… wasn’t it? Hmm… That track fundamentally sets up differently than does KEE’s MT. So, I wouldn’t presume it’s a “lock” that she will be able to make the leap here. Conversely, Ward is a wizard though, and he could be sitting on the winner.

Funny… once again, it is Maker v. Ward; the 2 trainers who are suing the Ramseys—patriarchs of their own legacies. Irony, of course, extends to Thoroughbred racing…

Wager Recommendation: Exacta Cold, 4 w 7

Kentucky Oaks 2021

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Get up to $250 in bonus funds

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Up to $200 in Sign-up Bonuses
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Up to $500 bonus cash back
T&Cs apply,21+,State Restrictions
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