Belmont Park Picks & Analysis for May 28

Belmont Park begins the week with a nine-race card on Friday
Belmont Park begins the week with a nine-race card on Friday

Racing at Belmont Park this week commences one day later than usual with a nine-race Friday card that should make it in just under the wire before rain hits the area over the weekend. As usual, our in-house handicapper has you covered with picks for the whole card and additional analysis of his strongest opinions throughout the day.

If you're looking for picks elsewhere around the country on Friday, be sure to check out our Free Horse Racing Picks via the gold button below.

Horse Racing Picks

Most Likely Winner:  Happy Saver (Race 3) - Normally I’m against horses like Happy Saver who have back class but are being placed conservatively following a lengthy layoff, however in his case I’m willing to make an exception. Happy Saver is a perfect 4-for-4 in his career, winning at distances ranging from seven furlongs to a mile and a quarter, and he’s coming off a win in the G1 Jockey Club Gold Cup, in which he beat eventual G1 Dubai World Cup winner Mystic Guide. As this is just a starting point for this 4-year-old star it’s highly likely he’s not 100 percent cranked for this race, though his superior ability should be more than enough to overcome that.

Best Value:  Magisterium (Race 8) - While it would appear Nevisian Sunrise is the filly to beat in the day’s feature, I want very little to do with his Chad Brown filly as she’s likely to be a massive underlay coming off a 79 Beyer Speed Figure at Keeneland that looks much too high. Instead, I have a strong preference for Magisterium as she makes her 3-year-old debut. Magisterium’s last race in the Steward Manor was nothing short of dreadful, especially when you consider she was the 3-2 favorite, but prior to that she put in a very promising run in G3 Matron in her North American unveiling. This filly was a two-time winner at seven furlongs in Britain, so I don’t think she’s going to have any trouble with the added ground of this race, and I’m expecting a much-improved performance from her given the incredible run her trainer Christophe Clement is on.

Other Races of Interest:  Race 4 - Fox Red (#6) is another favorite I’m happy to take a couple shots against. He looks pretty imposing on paper based on his last two races, the latter of which came with his current trainer Linda Rice, however he’s been off for a couple months now and it just feels like he could turn back into a pumpkin here. I’d rather play a pair of class droppers in The Sicarii (#3) and Zaevion (#4), both of whom have plenty of back class and attract top riders for this race. If Fox Red regresses at all, these two veterans will have no problem capitalizing on it.

Race 6 - There are a couple serious contenders in this race, but I love the turnback Faccio Io (#4) is taking after getting way too rank last year in the Winter Memories in her stateside debut. This filly has run OK over a route of ground before, however she’s undefeated at sprint distances, and based on her antics in the Winter Memories she should benefit immensely from cutting back to six furlongs. Christophe Clement is obviously having a sensational meet, and I also like the presence of Joel Rosario, who is unmatched in turf sprints. All signs point to this filly being quite live in this spot.

 

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