NYRA's Belmont Park is ready to roll on Saturday! Their September-October Meet is all-set, and with a variety of conditions, it will present some difficult handicapping puzzles..
We at Horseracing.net/us have you covered with selections and analysis. With Breeders' Cup implications on the table, plus a bevy of other stakes action, it is a great time for some of the best that North American racing has to offer. Join us as we construct a Late Pick 4 ticket that includes both ...
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The Saturday Late Pick 4 kicks off with this turf test, and there are many that are drawn in here that are looking to pass with flying colors. I am tending to like most of the runners that are drawn to the outside post positions. Some do not like wagering on those that come from those gates because they invariably get shuffled back if they do not make the lead. This is a turf event though, so I do not think it makes as big a difference. As for a top selection, I am pretty interested in Shug McGaughey’s 4-yr-old filly out of Blame. In a Hurry #8 is up for this class level for sure, and she has a 2nd place finish in her background at Belmont. Javier Castellano will ride this Stuart Janney homebred, and his experience is second to none. I am hoping she continues to hover around 4/1.
A couple of others that warrant a look are Brad Cox’s Clara Peeters #10 and Juan Vazquez’s Platinum Paynter #7. Both of these have different attributes, and are attractive to include in a ticket like this one. The former comes from a strong barn, and knows this OC80k group very well. He failed as the favorite last time, so that is a knock. Still, the mare has the ability to set things right. Maybe her affinity for the Belmont grass will be in her corner. She certainly was stellar the last time she was on-track. As for the longer shot, Vasquez entered this one out of Paynter into the Ballston Spa (G2) up at Saratoga, and the result was rather expected. It was a bold move, but she just was not ready. Now, coming back down, she could be sitting on a big race at a price of what could be 8/1 or higher.
Those picks should keep our ticket manageable, and give us a shot to go deeper later on.
Selections: 7/8/10 (3-Deep)
LEG 2: (Race 9: Dirt, 6F, MSW75k, 2 NY Breds)
The New Yorkers are taking center stage on this Saturday in a couple of races, and this time around it is the colts turn. A good bit of money is going to be handed over to support a runner like Robertino Diodoro’s Happy Happy B #5. The Honor Code offspring probably deserves a good bit of action on the tote since the last time we saw him was in a high-level “Non-G” $200k event at Saratoga back on 27 August. That was an odd effort because he rallied and re-rallied a few times, looking smart at a couple of points. I am not sure if I totally trust him to get the job done in this spot, but Ramon Vazquez is one of my favorite jockeys to support. That means something …
I think my plan is to include the Diodoro racer, but also back him up with Brad Cox’s 1st time starter, Eddie the Great #10. This colt out of Munnings is the wild card in here because you never know what one of these can do. Cox’s numbers on this particular angle are not any better than any other trainer, so being well-bred seems like a better point of contention. Manny Franco is going to try and get this one out early, I should think, and that might be the key to victory. I will say this, his works look inviting, and should be something to go on from up at Saratoga.
Adding this pair to our ticket will be a good plan because the other NY bred race, the finale, is going to be a very difficult prospect to handicap.
Selections: 5/10 (2-Deep)
LEG 3: (Race 10: Turf, 1 1/8th, Athenia S. (G3), $200k, F&M 3+)
Once again, trainer Chad Brown is going to take over a NYRA turf stakes race, and try and establish hegemony. He may well have this contest wrapped up with an exacta bow. I cannot really envision any horse in here rivalling Miss Teheran #2 or Pocket Square #4. Both of these Brown runners are class laden, and have major upside. I am not sure which one will win … maybe a nod to the former that is a Juddmonte homebred. Out of Night of Thunder (IRE), she came over to North America and was backed almost immediately. Though she failed as the favorite in the tough Just a Game S. (G1), and did not flash much down the lane in the Diana (G1), it looks like Brown has her pointed in the proper direction.
Going with the pair of these runners against only 3 others seems like the logical play. Then it is time … to go deep!
Selections: 2/4 (2-Deep)
LEG 4: (Race 11: Turf, 6F, MSW75k, F&M 3+ NY Breds)
The clean-up spot on this card brings us to this tough NY Bred contest for 3-yr-olds and females of a more advanced age. If you are looking to “Single” here, well, I have some ocean front property you should see in … In other words, this is going to be extraordinarily difficult. What we really need to happen is have a major long shot come through, and that will really make this ticket complete. I think most in here could beat Rudy Rodriguez’s new charge, U Should B Dancing #11. The young filly out of War Dancer ran reasonably well under former trainer, Pat Kelly. Maybe she can notch a win, but in a couple of tries at Belmont, she placed both times. I want to include her, and everyone else in this field. There are just too many options, and it makes sense considering how well we have managed our bankroll so far. That should keep us under a reasonable budget. What a tough way to end this sequence!