Belmont Park Picks & LP4 Betting Analysis for October 3

Beautiful Belmont Park is the scene on this Sunday ... Check out these selections along with Late Pick 4 analysis ...
Beautiful Belmont Park is the scene on this Sunday ... Check out these selections along with Late Pick 4 analysis ...

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A Sunday at Belmont Park ... as NYRA's September-October Meet heads into the new month, as they have a jam-packed stakes schedule on the docket.

Today, its the Frizette S. (G1) for 2-yr-old females. The race is a Breeders' Cup "Win and You're In" contest for entry into the BC Juvenile Fillies (G1) @DMR in November, plus it includes Kentucky Oaks Points (10-4-2-1) for the lucky winner.

This Late Pick 4 line-up is sure to be a tough one to take on for even the most veteran of handicappers. At Horseracing.net/us we have you covered, as it is a good time for some of the best that North American racing has to offer. Stay tuned! 

If you're looking for picks elsewhere around the country this Sunday be sure to check out our free Horse Racing Picks via the gold button below.

Horse Racing Picks
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LATE PICK 4 …

LEG 1: (Race 7: Turf, 1 1/16th, Clm35k, F&M 3+)

To start this sequence, I am after a “Single,” right off the bat. The reason I say this is because I know what is coming … and it is tough. When you have a strong opinion about a pick, then stick with it, see it through, and bet with conviction. If you don’t, you will spend time regretting it … never a good idea.

My pick in this spot, whether a turf going stick goes in easy or hard, is Todd Pletcher’s Coworth Park #2. The filly by Lea is a strong in 7 grass tries, and he should be able to improve off a 3rd place finish back at Monmouth in an ALLW Co. attempt. After some of those “Non-G” Gulfstream races, a “claiming” ranks contest should be a cinch. With Joel Rosario aboard, who is hot as ever, this filly is in good hands. Let’s save our picks for later races, in which we may need to go deeper.

Selections: 2 (Single)

 

LEG 2: (Race 8: Turf, 1 3/8ths, Fasig-Tipton Waya S. (G3), $300k, F&M 3+)

The next leg of this P4 turn is a tough race … period. I know what you are thinking … just “Single” Peter Brant’s My Sister Nat #7, and be done with it! I do not agree. Here is a mare I have spent time backing in several situations, and she just is nothing short of unreliable. Since running in the Breeders’ Cup last year at Keeneland, she has failed at every turn. Certainly, looking over those races, it is clear it was against some top NYRA competition. But my question is … can she win? It appears she needs a bunch of pace to run into, which she seems to have not gotten in all 4 of her races this year. At 1/1, I am not so sure if she even qualifies as a “deserving favorite,” and for that reason, I want to tab a couple of others that could take advantage.

My top selection would actually be Chad Brown’s Orglandes #4. She returns to Grade 3 company, but more importantly, I like the cutback in distance from 1½. The return of Irad Ortiz is worthy news, and I am hoping he can have the 5-yr-old in the proper position late in the game. The Eclipse Award-winning jockey has the skills at his disposal … he just needs to weather the possible traffic troubles. One other appealing horse to support in this spot is Christophe Clement’s Beautiful Lover #6. By Arch, she actually used to be in Brown’s a year ago, before making the switch to her new outfit. In a “Non-G” race at Tampa back in the spring, and one at Belmont in the middle of the summer, it was a mixed set of efforts—latter much better than the former. She could be a player again in here with Joel Rosario riding.

Selections: 4/6/7 (3-Deep)

 

LEG 3: (Race 9: Dirt, 1 Mile, Frizette S. (G1), $400k, 2F)

The “feature” on Sunday and the focal point when it comes to KY Oaks Points and a trip to the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies (G1) is this excellent race—Frizette S. A Grade 1 affair, it drew a nice field of 9 to the post. Here is the deal … if Steve Asmussen’s Echo Zulu #6 is as good as everyone seems to think, she should knock the cover off the ball and win this thing. It is that simple, and with Ricardo Santana aboard, she is that talented.

I like a few others in here because 2-yr-olds are precocious and very difficult to figure, race-to-race. It makes sense to add Todd Pletcher’s Jester Calls Nojoy #7 and Chad Brown’s Gerrymander #8 since both come from reasonable hot barns, and posted breakout victories at a lower-class level to it make into this spot. This pair are going to have to run their very best races to keep up with Asmussen’s charger … it may not be enough. Go watch that win that #6 had in the Spinaway S. (G1) at Saratoga if you don’t believe me. It was an impressive frontend victory, wire-to-wire, and she might end up doing it again.

Selections: 6/7/8 (3-Deep)

 

LEG 4: (Race 10: Dirt, 6F, AOC45k, 3+ NY Breds)

Coming into the finale, we are facing a 6F sprint that is chock full of possibilities. Hitting the “All” button seems like the best plan, but that doesn’t mean I do not have my share of opines when it comes to a winner. I am more than just a little bit interested in Jim Ryerson’s Market Alert #9. The gelding has some hidden back class after running in a number of NY Stallion Series races. Even though he only “hit-the-board” in one of those, there were some other efforts in “Non-G” events that were excellent. Getting back to Belmont might be just the ticket, as Jorge Vargas takes the mount.

One other entry that looks inviting is Jeremiah Englehart’s River Dog #6. By one of my favorite versatile sires, Twirling Candy, the colt did not run well in the Amsterdam (G2) back at Saratoga in early August. He finished a distant 6th … 26-lengths back. Before that though, he was undefeated! Breaking his maiden 1st time out at Belmont, and then following it up with a score in the Mike Lee 125k after that, Englehart has an impressive runner on his hands. Do not count this one out, as Dylan Davis gets aboard for the 1st time. Out of these 2, I am partial to Ryerson’s because of the price of 12/1. But Englehart’s entry is probably best, even at 3/1. The head bob probably goes to him …

Selections: 1-10 (All)

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.50 LP4 TICKET COST: $45.00

Enjoy some action from Elmont, New York! The tradition at beautiful Belmont continues…

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