Belmont Picks & Late Pick 4 Betting Analysis for October 31

Time to go for the wire on this Sunday ... a Late Pick 4 ticket in the offing ... plus, all the selections from the card!
Time to go for the wire on this Sunday ... a Late Pick 4 ticket in the offing ... plus, all the selections from the card!

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The final racing of the week at NYRA's Belmont Park is upon us! With only one day left, it is sure to be a challenging one for even the most-seasoned handicappers.

At Horseracing.net/us we have you covered, including all of the action on what is shaping up to be a 9-race card! It is a good time for some of the best that North American racing has to offer. Stay tuned! 

If you're looking for picks elsewhere around the country this Sunday be sure to check out our free Horse Racing Picks via the gold button below.

Horse Racing Picks
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LATE PICK 4 …

LEG 1: (Race 6: Dirt, 7F, Pumpkin Pie S., $100k, F&M 3+)

The Late Pick 4 on this Sunday at Belmont has a couple of slices of Pumpkin Pie for your enjoyment. The 1st half for older females in this split contest brings together a good group of runners. Tops on my list is Chad Brown’s Juddmonte homebred, Starfront #4. She looks the part, and is going to be a square price at 4/1 on the M/L. Her 2nd career race was a hop into ALLW Co., and she did not do too poorly—2nd. She was pretty short on the tote, but with Jose Ortiz aboard, she has the ability, if she can get up on the lead early. Nothing like a daughter of Malibu Moon, a sire that set record after record, before his passing this year.

As for the top of the tote, well that honor is headed toward Aunt Kat #2. She is a filly by Uncle Mo, another productive sire, and rightly so for trainer Bill Mott. This 4-yr-old just did not have enough in the Shine Again 120k back at Saratoga against Bayerness. That snapped a 3-win streak, so now she looks to resume her drive to score. I am sure Junior Alvarado will put her in the proper position, but as I mentioned when I was speaking about Brown’s entry, we could have a speed duel up front. Wouldn’t that make for an interesting result? I will include both of these, in hopes that one will prevail … that way, we can move on.

Selections: 2/4 (2-Deep)

 

LEG 2: (Race 7: Dirt, 7F, Bold Ruler H. (G3), $200k, 3+)

Clearly the “non-Lasix” graded races make handicappers pause … Should you back a runner that has raced well without furosemide? That might be a play because it could be putting your pick in a position of advantage. I am not so sure that it is anything more than just another “angle.” Like in the American Civil War, one spot is as good as the next. If you think this is gospel, then you should get on board with Brad Cox’s Plainsman #3. A 6-yr-old horse by Flatter, he won nicely last time at Churchill Downs in the AcK Ack (G3). That was a game effort, and what a meteoric rise this Shortleaf Stable runner has experienced. I should think that if he is ready, there is no doubt he has a chance to win the Bold Ruler S.

One other entry that I want to use is Brittany Russell’s Wondrwherecraigis #7. The gelding by Munnings has an excellent record for the accomplished Mid-Atlantic trainer, and I have no doubt that his level of fitness is high coming to Belmont for the 2nd time in his career. He was in a Grade 3 back at Laurel in mid-September, and did not disappoint … winning in fine style, despite the DQ. Luis Saez actually piloted him to victory 2-back at Saratoga, and he gets the call once again at Big Sandy. In the Tale of the Cat, despite some drifting, he was all-pro when it came to scoring a victory.

The letter of the day has been 2-Deep so far ... let’s see if we can get a “Single” before the finale.  

Selections: 3/7 (2-Deep)

 

LEG 3: (Race 8: Dirt, 7F, Pumpkin Pie S. $100k, F&M 3+)

Get the whip cream ready because the crust is extra crispy for the other half of this pie festival. In the 2nd half of this race, we have another excellent group of runners. I am wanting to pull the trigger and back Bill Mott’s Godolphin stalwart, Lake Avenue #8, but I just do not trust him because he has had plenty of chances to win races since last May. His Belmont record is not shabby (4/0-2-1), but I just would rather seek value elsewhere.

For my money, let’s go with Todd Pletcher’s Don’t Call Me Mary #6. What I like about this Elkstone Group runner is that she succeeded at Park in a “Non-G” 100k event back at Parx. You may not be swayed by that, but the effort was stellar, and the competition was not bad either. Both the place and the show rivals already came back to win. As for the filly by El Padrino, she really went up the class ladder in the Gallant Bloom (G2) at Belmont on 26 September. She missed against Lady Rocket #7 and Lake Avenue #8, but that doesn’t mean she has no shot in a rematch race. With a price of 6/1 on the M/L, plus Luis Saez in the irons, she looks like an overlay to me. This one is a “Single” for me … Gutsy call …

Selections: 6 (Single)

 

LEG 4: (Race 9: Dirt, 6F, MC40k, 2 NY Breds)

The long and the short of it is, I saved enough bucks to go deep in this last leg of the Late Pick 4. We are going to need it because sorting these precocious 2-yr-olds (who are also Empire State breds), is going to be a chore. I like John Terranova’s Workingman’s Dude #1 and Rudy Rodriguez’s El Veinticuartro #3, but not enough to just stop there. They have their foibles from past races, and lest we forget, this is a 10-horse field. Nabbing a high-priced runner off the tote board will only help our cause, especially after we back quite a few entries that are under 10/1. It makes good sense to go “All In,” that way we can cash a ticket and take it to the bank. Or invest once again … another LP4!

Selections: 1-10 (ALL)

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.50 LP4 TICKET COST: $20.00

Enjoy some action from Elmont, New York! The tradition at beautiful Belmont continues…

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