Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile Picks: Life Is Good ... but what about Snapper Sinclair?

Todd Pletcher took over the training of Life Is Good, but is he cinch in the BC Dirt Mile? Look below ...
Todd Pletcher took over the training of Life Is Good, but is he cinch in the BC Dirt Mile? Look below ...
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Going back nine or ten months and Life is Good was one of our two top shots to win the Kentucky Derby. A difficult season has been endured by the Into Mischief colt but he'll open as odds-on to win a BC race when he takes to the track in the Dirt mile.

Will either J.N. or myself bet against him...?

Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile 2021 Racecard

5
PP 5

Life is Good

  • Weight: 123 /
  • Age: 3 /
  • Jockey: Jose Ortiz /
  • Trainer: Todd Pletcher /
Morning Line Odds
1
PP 1

Silver State

  • Weight: 126 /
  • Age: 4 /
  • Jockey: Ricardo Santana Jr. /
  • Trainer: Steve Asmussen /
Morning Line Odds
3
PP 3

Ginobili

  • Weight: 126 /
  • Age: 4 /
  • Jockey: Drayden Van Dyke /
  • Trainer: Richard Baltas /
Morning Line Odds
8
PP 8

Eight Rings

  • Weight: 126 /
  • Age: 4 /
  • Jockey: Juan Hernandez /
  • Trainer: Bob Baffert /
2
PP 2

Pingxiang

  • Weight: 126 /
  • Age: 4 /
  • Jockey: Yuga Kawaga /
  • Trainer: Hideyuki Mori /
7
PP 7

Snapper Sinclair

  • Weight: 126 /
  • Age: 6 /
  • Jockey: Joel Rosario /
  • Trainer: Steve Asmussen /
6
PP 6

Restrainedvengence

  • Weight: Restrained /
  • Age: 6 /
  • Jockey: Edwin Maldonado /
  • Trainer: Val Brinkerhoff /
4
PP 4

Jasper Prince

  • Weight: 126 /
  • Age: 6 /
  • Jockey: Yuichi Fukunaga /
  • Trainer: Hideyuki Mori /

Neil's Take...

If you’ve been a reader of this website since the Road to the Kentucky Derby then you’ll know all about my positive thoughts regarding Life is Good (#5).

The minor injury that took him away from the big race and a move away from Bob Baffert doesn’t seem to have slowed down this Into Mischief colt. He went stride for stride with Jackie’s Warrior in his return from that injury over seven furlongs in the H. Allen Jerkens and then cruised in the Kelso Handicap at Belmont. If LIG is at 100% then in all honesty this is his race to lose. 4-5 might actually be a fair price.

Silver State (#1) will be his main competition and trainer Steve Asmussen has been impressed with his recent works and Ricardo Santana Jr. keeps this mount having been taken off Echo Zulu in the BC Filles on Friday. He was part of a very strong Grade I Whitney at Saratoga where he finished third behind Knicks Go and Maxfield. Before that he took out the Met Mile.

As per usual though I like to look at who is the fastest horse and who have they beaten. Life is Good was a better prospect than Medina Spirit and he won the Kentucky Derby.

Therefore I’m comfortable singling LIG though on multiple race tickets.

Main: 5

Backup: 1

Order of Preference: 5-1-3-2

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J.N's Take...

Out of these 8 runners going 8F, you could make a case for most of them. Solely trusting Todd Pletcher’s Life Is Good #5 might not be a fool-proof plan. He has looked good all-week, in the Barn and recently on the track. Having Irad Ortiz back aboard is a plus, but what is not, is her price. It is just too much of an underlay. Maybe the colt is a sprinter at heart … a Jackie’s Warrior-type? Whatever the case, I trust in Todd Pletcher on a regular basis, but not this time around. Maybe it is best to look elsewhere for more profitable opportunities?

Looking for more value and a solid jockey-trainer angle, I am impressed with Jeff Bloom’s Snapper Sinclair #7. Trained by Steve Asmussen and ridden by Joel Rosario, this 6-yr-old is heading back to the dirt after a stint on grass. Last out at Santa Anita and before that at Kentucky Downs, the son of City Zip showcased his versatility. The TVG 1 Mile 70 Yd. 400k contest was an all-the-way score. Joel Rosario rides once again, and this sire (known for grass) has the ability to produce those that can take to the dirt. At 12/1, you cannot beat that kind of value … especially, considering this is Bloom Racing we are speaking of! Bet ‘em …

Top Selection: 7

Backup: 5

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Breeders Cup 2021
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