Chad Brown has two live shots in the Breeders' Cup Mile
The Breeders' Cup Mile on Saturday is one of the races where I think value can be found upon first-glance. A full handicapping look at the race will come later in the week but here are the Morning Line Odds and some initial thoughts...
A bit of a wobble in the middle of the year would have surely made Space Blues fans a bit wary but two straight wins has put to bed some of those concerns with the five-year-old Dubawi colt. Those two wins made it seven victories from nine but this step up in distance is an interesting move having not raced above seven furlongs since early 2019.
Charlie Appleby and Godolphin know what they are doing but most expected this horse to contest the Turf Sprint so how will he cope with the added three furlongs?
Chad Brown has two choices - both of whom are very much worthy of consideration with one of them at a very good price. Blowout has won two of his three starts in 2021 with victories in the Distaff Turf Mile and First Lady Stakes, which sandwiched a lackluster run in the Fourstardave Handicap up at Saratoga. He’s an 8-1 shot but at 15-1 the other Brown horse is even more tempting…
Even though Raging Bull is nursing a two for nine record over his five and six-year-old seasons, there is a lot to like about this Dark Angel horse. He is two-for-two out in California having won the Hollywood Derby and Shoemaker Mile. This horse is very much one of those who can turn it on and win a big race or just as easily be nowhere near. A good value punt this.
Peter Miller has Mo Forza coming in with a four-race win streak having dominated out west over the past three years. This five-year-old is undefeated in California with his only reversal coming over at Gulfstream in the Pegasus World Cup Turf Invitational. He is a very lightly raced horse however and that causes a small smidgen of concern for a 5-1 second-favorite.
One other horse to note will be the winner of the Keeneland Turf Mile. That was the Brazilian bred In Love who really stepped up by winning that race. He also won at Kentucky Downs so don’t rule him out.
Our racecard is at the top of the page with all the M/L odds is at the top of the page and check back later in the week for J.N. Campbell’s preview along with my thoughts for the race.