Another week of racing at Canterbury Park comes to a close on Thursday with a nine-race program. As usual, our in-house handicapper has you covered with picks for every race and additional analysis of his strongest opinions on the card.
If you're looking for picks elsewhere around the country on Thursday, be sure to check out our Free Horse Racing Picks via the gold button below.
Most Likely Winner: Super Constitution (Race 9) - There’s really not much color for me to add to this pick. This horse has been running superior races at Oaklawn Park and now finds himself in a very soft spot against allowance foes. It would take a herculean effort from one of the others in this field for Super Constitution to get beat, and it wouldn’t surprise me if he himself showed up with a career-best effort, which would pretty much make him invincible. I think he’s going to be a much shorter price than his morning-line odds of 8-5, but either way he’s an extremely likely winner in the closing leg of the Pick 5.
Best Value: Tut’s Revenge (Race 4) - While some might consider Two Emmys to be a very likely winner on this card, I see the Brooks Fields as an opportunity to extract some value. I know these are Canterbury-based connections, but this just strikes me as an awfully conservative placement for Two Emmys, who just ran a phenomenal second to next-out G1 winner Colonel Liam at Fair Grounds, and it wouldn’t surprise me if he underperforms in this spot at a very short price. I like Tut’s Revenge as a logical alternative. He might not have the same kind of upside as Two Emmys, but this guy just wins races and is right at home over this turf course. At 10-1 on the morning line, I can’t resist taking a shot with this career overachiever.
Other Races of Interest: Race 1 - The first race of the day doesn’t feature a large field, but there is some intrigue and parity among the six contenders. My top pick is Bobby Baby (#4). You have to dig pretty deep in his PP’s to find his good turf form, but at one point he was almost strictly a turfer. He’s actually been in decent form on the main track, and I’m expecting him to move forward here for the underrated Coty Rosin. Just to his inside, I also wouldn’t discount Flip the Coin Jan (#3). He, too, has some quality turf races to his credit, and his trainer Carlos Moreno had a fantastic meet at Canterbury last year.
Race 7 - There’s nobody in this race that can be trusted, so I’m going to take a shot with Herbie (#2) as he returns to Canterbury, a track over which he’s had some success. It’s possible as a 9-year-old he just can’t run anymore, and his relatively dull recent efforts at Fonner Park may corroborate that, however he was running some races at this meet last year that would give him a big shot. If he’s in any semblance of the same form he was in in 2020, he should beat this field at a square price.
*If you're interested in seeing payouts for these races, you can find them on our Results page linked to below*