Churchill Distaff Turf Mile Picks: Blowout gets the nod

Chad Brown's Blowout is an imposing presence in the G2 Distaff Turf Mile
Chad Brown's Blowout is an imposing presence in the G2 Distaff Turf Mile

The Graded Stakes races then Kentucky Derby day at Churchill Downs kicks off with Race 6 on the card and the Churchill Distaff Turf Mile. A relatively small field of seven enter with a fair few interesting names.

Our in-house handicapper is here with his full preview of the race. Our Race Card is at the bottom of the page where you can bet on the race with any of our betting partners and get all the Morning Line Odds.

The team here have all made selections for the full card at Churchill Downs. You can see them below and for Free Horse Racing Picks from all tracks across the United States then please click on the Gold Button below.

Ok time to pass it over to Sean - our in-house handicapper - for his full preview of the Old Forester Bourbon Turf Classic...

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The graded-stakes action on Kentucky Derby Day at Churchill Downs begins with the G2 Distaff Turf Mile, which, like a few others on the Derby undercard, doesn’t feature a stellar field. I suppose the horse to beat is Got Stormy (#5), who at one time was one of the top milers in the country regardless of gender but has seen better days. She actually did end up having a solid 2020 campaign after a few hiccups early on, but that was partially due to her focusing on shorter races in the latter half of the year. Her return this year in the G3 Honey Fox was hardly convincing, and I have a difficult time endorsing her as the favorite based on that race.

To me, the Chad Brown-trained Blowout (#6) is a far likelier winner as this 5-year-old mare still appears to be on the upswing of her career. It took Blowout quite a while to ascend to these lofty heights, but she really moved forward in 2020, a year that culminated in a near miss in the G1 Matriarch at Del Mar in her 4-year-old finale. That race, in which she finished second between her stablemate Viadera and G1 winner Juliet Foxtrot after pressing an honest pace, is simply better than what Got Stormy has been doing lately, and you have to think that Brown is going to have her primed to run a similar effort off the bench. If she does run back to that career-best performance I think she makes a lot of sense around her morning-line odds of 7-2.

If Blowout isn’t ready to deliver her best race in her first start of the year, I believe Zofelle (#4) is a legitimate threat to win this race. While she did finish behind Got Stormy in the Honey Fox, she did so with a slightly worse trip and was just a nose behind that one on the wire. Zofelle can be a bit pace dependent, but she has a potent late kick and has been in career form in 2021. I think she’s a viable alternative to Got Stormy and fully expect her to turn the tables on the Honey Fox decision.

 

*You can bet on the Churchill Distaff Mile with any of our betting partners via the Race Card below...

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