Gulfstream Park Picks & Betting Analysis for October 3
PICKS | Picks (Neil) | Picks (J.N.) |
---|---|---|
Race 1: | 7-6-2-1 | 2-6-7-5 |
Race 2: | 4-6-3-2 | 5-6-4-3 |
Race 3: | 7-5-6-2 | 2-4-7-6 |
Race 4: | 8-10-7-9 | 8-5-9-2 |
Race 5: | 4-7-6-1 | 5-7-4-8 |
Race 6: | 6-1-3-2 | 1-5-6-2 |
Race 7: | 1-2-9-7 | 7-2-9-5 |
Race 8: | 8-2-1-5 | 8-9-2-3 |
Race 9: | 1-5-4-6 | 7-5-6-8 |
Most Likely Winner: | Beloved Warrior (Race 3) | Diligent (Race 6) |
Best Value Play: | Smokin Bow (Race 7) | Wildcat Echo (Race 3) |
Gulfstream Park is the place to be on this Sunday, and they are sure to have some nice prices for a solid 9-race card.
Over the summer, the Stronach Group, who owns GP, made the decision to convert one of its turf courses into a Tapeta surface. Thus inaugurated the 1st North American racetrack to have all 3 types of ground available to run on. It should be interesting to see how this alteration impacts the handicapping of races.
Check out these selections and some targeted analysis from J.N. Campbell. If you're looking for picks elsewhere around the country this Sunday be sure to check out our free Horse Racing Picks via the gold button below.
Most Likely Winner: (Race 6: Diligent #1, 5/2):
Trained by Ed Plesa Jr., this gelding by Temple City knows the ins and outs of this condition quite well. He has the ability to win, albeit that has come around only 2x out of 13. With Edgar Zayas aboard, he should be able to wrangle a score this time for the Glassman clan. Looking over his form from 2021, his speed figs are pretty consistent, and throughout, for the most part, he has acquitted himself well.
Wagering Recommendation: $100 Win, #1
Off-the-Pace Play of the Day: (Race 3: Wildcat Echo #2, 15/1):
The colt by Wildcat Red did not have the easiest of trips in his debut race on the turf @GP. Despite this, he was able to finish 4th out of 8 … respectable. Trainer Jose Garoffalo made a good choice to go the Tapeta route, and the 2-yr-old has the ability to build on that initial effort. Leo Reyes retains the mount, and even though his overall riding numbers are below par, he still has shown flashes of ability.
Wagering Recommendation: $100 Bankroll, Graduated Wager WPS #2 ($10-W, $15-P, $75-S)
Spotlight Race of the Day: (Race 8: Tapeta, 1 Mile 70 yds., AOC25k, F&M 3+):
The “feature” on this Sunday welcomes a good group that will be trying out the new Tapeta track at Gulfstream Park. These races are a little tough to handicap because we have yet to see the numbers on how it will play. There isn’t information from the previous year’s running, but that is the way it goes.
When it comes to logical plays, I am particularly interested in Carlos David’s Isadorable Aida #9. This mare by Temple City ran well on the grass, and could be quite capable switching to this surface. The sparkling Samy Camacho of Tampa fame is aboard, and maybe he can make a difference getting this one through in the end.
I like this one’s chances, but a couple of others look like they deserve a shot as well. Trainer Patrick Biancone’s Snow Shower #8 can weather an OC25k storm, and hopefully finish better than 3rd. That is where this filly has ended up her past pair of races, and Romero Maragh gets the call for the 2nd straight time. Talk about some breeding … the 4-yr-old is by super IRE sire Lope De Vega, and on the dam side is out of Solar Pursuit (GB). She has potential to be a winner in here for sure.
One other entry I like very much comes from HOF trainer Mark Casse’s midst. All Quality #2 has major experience, but only 1 win out of 17 starts. Still, this 5-yr-old is owned by Gary Barber, and we all know what the hot pink silks can do. She used to be in Peter Miller’s care, but is steadily improving under the watchful eye of Casse. Let’s use her, and the others … we might have the makings of a nice score!
Wagering Recommendation: Trifecta Box, 2/8/9
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Enjoy some racing from South Florida! Best of luck on another run at Gulfstream Park!