Most Likely Winner: (Race 4: Don’t Get Khozy #7, 2/1):
Here is a 4-yr-old filly out of Khozan that is a GP mainstay. Last out, she acquitted himself well in an OC62.5k contest where she lived up to her odds. I am not sure why Antonio Sano is dropping her down after that score, but he must have some reasons … maybe scheduling? What we do know is that Leo Reyes hops back aboard, and he has the chance to get this one home in fine fashion. Against most of these that are drawn in here, she should not have much of a worry. Class will out …
Wagering Recommendation: $100 Win, #7
Off-the-Pace Play of the Day: (Race 5: Super Fine #10, 8/1):
I am not sure if this is going to happen, but if it does, then you need to be betting this runner out of the barn of Barry Croft. To my eye, this 2-yr-old filly out of Munnings is going to be pretty game after she made her debut back on 22 August at Gulfstream Park. She was 2nd that day, and jockey Luca Panici did everything he could to put her in the correct spot. That was an MC35k that day, so this MSW Co. try is a logical step forward. There is only one problem … she is listed on the “Also-Eligible” rundown, so she may not get in. Watch for the scratches and changes; that is the way to do it. If she doesn’t make it in, keep this one in your back pocket. Whenever she appears next, should be a win in my estimation.
Spotlight Race of the Day: (Race 8: Dirt, 1 Mile, Clm35k, 3+):
In search of a “Feature,” this is as close as we can come on this Friday … What makes this race so inviting is that this is a well-matched field.
Certainly, trainer Juan Avila has the inside track with his runner, Khozy My Boy #4. I don’t know if I necessarily trust this 4-yr-old out of Khozan because he is switching from the turf to the dirt. He didn’t exactly run all that well last time, so maybe that is the reason for the switch … However, looking 2-back, he was 2nd going 1 Mile @GP. Losing the lead late is never a good sign, and it means that you couldn’t control the pace up front. Maybe the switch to jockey Emisael Jaramillo will assist …
As for a top pick, I am after a bit more value than 3/1, so in that vein, I would rather back a class dropper like David Fawkes’ Big Thorn #6. The former Steve Asmussen charge was actually in Fawkes care before he tried to take on Brad Cox’s Caddo River in the Smarty Jones 150k back in January. That seems like ancient history nowadays … Jesus Rios rode this one for his conditioner in a couple of tough contests, and clearly, he was overmatched. A drop into this slot should do the trick, and who doesn’t like the offspring of The Big Beast?
As for one more pick that is sure to be a player at the end of this one … what about Antonio Sano’s Joshy Jak #7? This is a Khozan colt by way of Distorted Humor, and he has experience compared to the others in company like this. Jockey Miguel Vasquez knows him well, and that should be a boon when it comes to guiding him to what could be a nice victory at odds that should hover around 7/2. Let’s bet ‘em!