Kentucky Derby Profile: Hot Rod Charlie

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Both our in-house handicapper take a look at all the horses in the Kentucky Derby.
All their results over the past 12 months are listed below along with their Morning Line Odds and the full field of runners for the 147th running of the Kentucky Derby.
This piece is all about California shipper Hot Rod Charlie. He's got Post Position 9 and he provides the early speed. He might even be one of the chaps top pick in this race...
- Date
- Race
- Track
- Distance
- Finish
Date
- March 20, 2021
- January 30, 2021
- November 6, 2020
- October 2, 2020
- September 7, 2020
- August 14, 2020
- July 11, 2020
Race
- Louisiana Derby (G2)
- Robert B. Lewis Stakes (G3)
- Breeders' Cup Juvenile (G2)
- MSW
- MSW
- MSW
- MSW
Track
- Fair Grounds
- Santa Anita
- Keeneland
- Santa Anita
- Del Mar
- Del Mar
- Del Mar
Distance
- 1m 3/16
- 1m 1/16
- 1m 1/16
- 1m
- 1m
- 5f
- 5f
Finish
- 1st
- 3rd
- 2nd
- 1st
- 5th
- 3th
- 4th
- Post Position
- Horse
- Morning Line Odds
- Jockey
- Trainer
Post Position
- 1.
- 2.
- 3.
- 4.
- 5.
- 6.
- 7.
- 8.
- 9.
- 10.
- 11.
- 12.
- 13.
- 14.
- 15.
- 16.
- 17.
- 18.
- 19.
- 20.
Horse
- Known Agenda
- Like the King
- Brooklyn Strong
- Keepmeinmind
- Sainthood
- O Besos
- Mandaloun
- Medina Spirit
- Hot Rod Charlie
- Midnight Bourbon
- Dynamic One
- Helium
- Hidden Stash
- Essential Quality
- Rock Your World
- King Fury
- Highly Motivated
- Super Stock
- Soup and Sandwich
- Bourbonic
Morning Line Odds
- 6-1
- 50-1
- 50-1
- 50-1
- 50-1
- 20-1
- 15-1
- 15-1
- 8-1
- 20-1
- 20-1
- 50-1
- 50-1
- 2-1fav
- 5-1
- 20-1
- 10-1
- 30-1
- 30-1
- 30-1
Jockey
- Irad Ortiz
- Drayden Van Dyke
- Umberto Rispoli
- David Cohen
- Corey Lanerie
- Marcelino Pedroza
- Florent Geroux
- John Velazquez
- Flavien Prat
- Mike Smith
- Jose Ortiz
- Julien Leparoux
- Rafael Bejarano
- Luis Saez
- Joel Rosario
- Brian Hernandez Jr.
- Javier Castellano
- Ricardo Santana Jr.
- Tyler Gaffalione
- Kendrick Carmouche
Trainer
- Todd Pletcher
- Wesley Ward
- Daniel Velazquez
- Robertino Diodoro
- Todd Pletcher
- Greg Foley
- Brad Cox
- Bob Baffert
- Doug O'Neill
- Steve Asmussen
- Todd Pletcher
- Mark Casse
- Victoria Oliver
- Brad Cox
- John Sadler
- Kenny McPeek
- Chad Brown
- Steve Asmussen
- Mark Casse
- Todd Pletcher
Sean's Take...
In my mind, this guy has been the biggest winner in recent weeks as others have sputtered around him, either taking a step back or failing to progress. I’ve always had an affinity for Hot Rod Charlie, who at the beginning of the year I had ranked above the horse who beat him in the 2020 G1 Breeders’ Cup Juvenile and this race’s likely favorite, Essential Quality, and I’m happy to keep it that way following his convincing victory in the G2 Louisiana Derby.
He did get a very good trip in the Louisiana Derby, however he again proved he can be effective shipping and also seemed to relish the added ground of that race, which bodes well for this 1 ¼-mile test. I think he has the versatility to work out a very good trip from this post and he’s already proven capable of overcoming some adversity; as such, he’s my top pick.
J.N's Take...
Conditioner Doug O’Neill, a 2-time winner of the KYD, with I’ll Have Another and Nyquist, knows how to get them ready for one of the most unique roads in all of horse racing. This colt has represented his barn well, and should be a nice price once post time roles around on Saturday.
Out of Oxbow, who won the Preakness, he already has 7 career lifetimes under his belt. Clearly his best effort was at the Fair Grounds in the Louisiana Derby (G2), when Joel Rosario bullied his way to the lead and never relinquished it. My sense is that new jock, Flavien Prat (who was the rider aboard Country House in 2019), is going to have to do much the same, if his connections want to see this one give O’Neil a 3rd garland. The ability to ship into unknown environments has been tested, and that exam was passed with flying colors. You can bet this barn is going to have this talented 3-yr-old ready to run when the time comes.
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Kentucky Derby 2021 Racecard
Essential Quality
-
Age: 3 /
-
Jockey: Luis Saez /
-
Trainer: Brad Cox /
Brad Cox finally has a Derby horse (two actually) but he rolls into Churchill Downs with the favorite. Undefeated and oozes class. 2-1 is short for me but our turf-man has him as his selection.
Rock Your World
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Age: 3 /
-
Jockey: Joel Rosario /
-
Trainer: John Sadler /
A very very impressive winner of the Santa Anita Derby. Installed as the 5-1 second-favorite. Has only run once on dirt and blew away a good field. Not entirely sure if he's the real deal but I know he's got a real chance.
Known Agenda
-
Age: 3 /
-
Jockey: Irad Ortiz /
-
Trainer: Todd Pletcher /
Tricky inside Post Position. Arguably the most effected by the PP draw. 6-1 on the Morning Line should drift. Not heavily fancied by the HR.net team
Hot Rod Charlie
-
Age: 3 /
-
Jockey: Flavien Prat /
-
Trainer: Doug O'Neill /
A California invader who impressively took out the Louisiana Derby. He may well provide the early speed. Win contender.
Highly Motivated
-
Age: 3 /
-
Jockey: Javier Castellano /
-
Trainer: Chad Brown /
Plenty of buzz surrounding this Into Mischief colt. Went stride for stride with Essential Quality at the Blue Grass. He will be our editor's pick.
Mandaloun
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Age: 3 /
-
Jockey: Florent Geroux /
-
Trainer: Brad Cox /
If you are looking at a value play from the middle of the odds then Mandaloun may well be it. That clunker at the Louisiana Derby has people worried but if was just one of those days - 15-1 could be long.
Medna Spirit
-
Age: 3 /
-
Jockey: John Velazquez /
-
Trainer: Bob Baffert /
Bob Baffert's only Derby horse. Was at #1 with our in-house handicapper for the final few weeks of the Prep season. Our editor likes him too. Real game horse who won't let anybody down. 15-1 screams value.
Dynamic One
-
Age: 3 /
-
Jockey: Jose Ortiz /
-
Trainer: Todd Pletcher /
If Dynamic One is in the mix for the Derby then it'll be quite the surprise. Runner-up to stablemate Bourbonic in the Wood Memorial. Real long-shot.
King Fury
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Age: 3 /
-
Jockey: Brian Hernandez Jr. /
-
Trainer: Kenny McPeek /
Kenny McPeek is a darn good trainer. This horse is getting better with every race. Can he get in and among the front-runners coming down the stretch? I'm dubious but you can't just rule him out.
Midnight Bourbon
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Age: 3 /
-
Jockey: Mike Smith /
-
Trainer: Steve Asmussen /
Plenty of tactical speed for a nice horse who seems a step below the top contenders. Could win if everything - and I mean everything - falls his way. Most likely to be in the mix for the exotics if anything however.
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