Keeneland Picks & Late Pick 4 Betting Analysis for October 27

The final countdown begins ... Keeneland arrives with some Wednesday racing that is sure to be as good as ever! With an 8-race card, it is sure to be a challenging one for even the most-seasoned handicappers.

If you are looking for a unique wager, then maybe you should try the new Turf Pick 3 play. The $3 minimum wager will comprise the final 3 turf races of the day, and offer the low takeout of 15%. Should be a solid bet for all your grass fans out there.

At Horseracing.net/us we have you covered, including all of the wonderful Keeneland pomp and circumstance! It is a good time for some of the best that North American racing has to offer. Stay tuned! 

If you're looking for picks elsewhere around the country this Wednesday be sure to check out our free Horse Racing Picks via the gold button below.

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LATE PICK 4 …

LEG 1: (Race 5: Turf, 1 1/16th, MSW84k, 3+)

A turf event begins the first Late Pick 4 of the final week of the October Meet. These types of contests have included some long shots over the past month, though favorites overwhelm the majority when it comes to “wins.” Kicking things off, this could not be a tougher way to start. We have a large field of 12 going forth, and runners in here either have too little experience or have failed to make the grade. It appears that Jack Sisterson’s Calumet Farm homebred, Rare Stripe #9, will get the nod as race time favorite. I am not sure that is exactly warranted. Sure, the 4-yr-old colt has experience, most recently at Belmont Park back in mid-September, but that 4th place finish was hardly anything to write home about. Technically there is not much of a class relief headed his way, so you cannot really argue that. My position is to include the Adam Beschizza mount, but I want to look elsewhere for one on top.

That honor is going to go to Blake Kelly’s homebred, Sanctified #10. Talk about a better price … at 20/1! Kelly doesn’t have a bevy of runners, but I like this colt by Point of Entry because he is getting back to where he needs to be on the grass. We saw him earlier this month on the MT at Churchill, and though his race was cooked after ½, that doesn’t mean he cannot put that fine turf pedigree to use in this spot. With the addition of Rafael Bejarano, the team could have the rider they need to see this one through to the winner’s circle. Sometimes you have to dig deeper when you happen upon a race like this one … if you can afford to hit the “All” button, then that might be taken under advisement. As me, I am willing to go 2-Deep, and try and save a few spots for later in the sequence.

Selections: 9/10 (2-Deep)

LEG 2: (Race 6: Dirt, 6F, ALLW86k, 3+)

Moving right along … we head to Keeneland’s MT, and find ourselves in the midst of a tough ALLW Co. bout. A number of trainers that have entered this race might not have names that you are familiar with, but that doesn’t mean that they do not deserve a hard look. Rusty Arnold though is a household conditioner, and he sends a More Than Ready colt into this contest that has shown an affinity for sprinting. Ready to Answer #6 appears fit, and though he is 0/1 @KEE, he looks capable against these types. Florent Geroux is 2nd in the jockey standings, and is looking to get another win, in an attempt to catch the leader, Tyler Gaffalione. The cutback in distance from his last route back at Churchill during the summer should be welcome.

Just in case he is not as fit as we all think, I am keen on the DiVito Barn’s Name Rejected #7. He is a 3-yr-old by Munnings, who should do much better this time around. The class drop will assist after higher-end races at Ellis, Arlington (sprint on the grass), and at Churchill. Doubledown Stables also gets Gaffalione’s services, and that makes this burner an immediate threat. Once again, the super jockey has the title all but wrapped up. It is hard to imagine that this mount of his will not be contending as the wire approaches. Maybe the best course of action is to pair these 2 co-favorites, and proceed by just going 2-Deep. That will help us, as we make the final push past the halfway point in this ticket. Let’s roll …

Selections: 6/7 (2-Deep)

LEG 3: (Race 7: Turf, 1 1/16th, ALLW88k, F&M 3+)

The land of long shots arrives in this turf route, and history is our guide here … in other words, do not neglect the price horses. Of course, many will flock to the likes of Brad Cox’s More Than Unusual #1 (5/2), Chris Davis’ Jezebel’s Kitten #5 (7/2), or Brendan Walsh’s Vividly #12 (7/2). Those are all fine grass runners, with experience in races like this one, but if you are on the hunt for a bargain … these will not suffice. When it comes to an older female that is much better value, then look no further than the Baker Barn’s Barista #8. I have targeted this one before, and the filly, by super turf sire Medaglia d’Oro, had a nice opening to her form cycle back in the April running of the Grade 2 Edgewood. Few expected her to even hit the board in that race. Though her subsequent "tries" in Louisville were decidedly less than accomplished, she has the power to bounce back in this spot with senior associate Julien Leparoux opening the arguments. He has a record of getting turf routers home when you least expect it. Let’s use his mount on top, and roll the other “faves” underneath. Including all 4, should keep us covered … moving on.  

Selections: 1/5/8/12 (4-Deep)

LEG 4: (Race 8: Dirt, 6½F, MC150k, 2F)

With more “what if’s,” than we can shake a stick at, the endgame this time includes a bunch of young fillies who are untested. Once again, trainer Brad Cox holds one of the top picks in Malibu Marie #6. Who doesn’t respect the offspring of a superb sire like Malibu Moon? Though the Spendthrift legend is no longer with us, his progeny remains … still racing. After a couple contests under this filly’s saddle, she is going to try and notch her maiden victory. Nothing is certain though, especially considering this company. Using her is a must, but I do not think that a “Single” is in order here. You could back Steve Margolis’ daughter by Classic Empire, a runner called Triple P #7. She missed in her debut at Churchill back in late September, which makes her a contender. Still, I have some spots left in a budget of $100, and I mean to spend almost all of it by hitting the “All” button. That should get us to the end, and help cash this ticket! What a score this could be to start the last week of Keeneland!

Selections: 1-12 (All)

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.50 LP4 TICKET COST: $96.00

Horse racing and Keeneland in October … Is there anything better?