Keeneland Picks: It's a Bird . . . It's a Plane . . . No, it's Pitaman in the Late Pick 3!

The final Keeneland Sunday card arrives . . . Take a look at this Late Pick 3 ticket for some affordable action! Graham Motion has a runner that should provide an interesting 'Single.'
The final Keeneland Sunday card arrives . . . Take a look at this Late Pick 3 ticket for some affordable action! Graham Motion has a runner that should provide an interesting "Single."
Keeneland Picks - Sunday, April 18, 2021
  • Keeneland Picks
  • Picks (Sean)
  • Picks (J.N.)
  • Picks (Neil)

Keeneland Picks

  • Race 1:
  • Race 2:
  • Race 3:
  • Race 4:
  • Race 5:
  • Race 6:
  • Race 7:
  • Race 8:
  • Race 9:
  • Most Likely Winner:
  • Best Value Play:

Picks (Sean)

  • 7-5-1-2
  • 5-4-3-1
  • 3-1-2-5
  • 3-7-4-1
  • 4-8-5-6
  • 5-1-6-2
  • 3-5-6-1
  • 1-6-5-9
  • 2-3-1-10
  • Nevisian Sunrise (Race 9)
  • Flatter me Silly (Race 1)

Picks (J.N.)

  • 9-3-2-7
  • 5-1-4-2
  • 4-1-2-5
  • 2B-7-3-4
  • 9-5-3-6
  • 2-1-6-5
  • 8-4-2-6
  • 8-5-9-3
  • 4-2-8-10
  • Justinthenickotime (Race 2)
  • Fashion Icon (Race 5)

Picks (Neil)

  • 2-5-9-7
  • 1-5-4-2
  • 2-5-1-4
  • 1-7-2-9
  • 5-6-3-4
  • 1-2-6-5
  • 1-4-7-8
  • 3-9-8-5
  • 2-4-3-1
  • Alfie Sommons (Race 6)
  • Shackleford's Joy (Race 7)

Sadly, the final Sunday at Keeneland arrives, and it is tough to fathom that we are already heading towards Closing Day next week. In that vein, let’s enjoy it while it lasts . . .

As we have throughout this April Meet, we have a complete rundown of the fields, with select analysis. Check it out! Today, I will be playing the Late Pick 3, which promises to offer some major value.

By the way, our ‘Cappers Challenge continues, and you can follow our progress as our Editor, Lead Handicapper, and Turf-man try to rack up as many Win-Place scores as they can!

Join us throughout the April Meet for the very best that Keeneland has to offer!

If you're looking for picks elsewhere around the country on Sunday, be sure to check out our Free Horse Racing Picks via the gold button below.

Free Horse Racing Picks

LATE PICK 3…

LEG 1: (Race 7: Turf, 5½F, ALLW83k, 4+)

The 1st Leg of this P3 sequence finds us among some grass sprinters at the ALLW level. On Thursday, Steve Asmussen took one of his very good dirt burners (Boldor), and stuck him on the turf going this same distance. He did well, coming in 2nd to an ex-Royal Ascot-er for Wesley Ward. The HOF trainer is trying the same tactic again with this entry, American Mandate #8. I like the move because this one has some experience on blades back in 2020, and now he has the weight of class behind him that he acquired at Oaklawn Park in 2021. Best of both worlds . . . Even better news is getting Tyler Gaffalione aboard what looks to be an overlay at 6/1. Also, this 5-yr-old makes his 3rd start in this form cycle. Ed and Susie Orr have owned some good ones in the past, and for me, this is a clear “Single.”  

Selections: 8 (Single)

 

LEG 2: (Race 8: Dirt, 7F, MC20k, 3)

That “Single” helped immensely, and will allow us to add more runners down the ticket. For now, though I have another one that I want to tab! Yep, 2 in a row! Like Ruth, I am calling my shot! You heard it here first. In a dirt event like this one, certainly anything can happen. I wouldn’t want to offer complete assurances since this is like saying Doge Coin will replace Bitcoin. But I like the angle with Pitaman #8, who could be named after an alt-superhero! This gelding comes out of Graham Motion’s Herringswell Stable, and seems very logical what with that performance under his belt in an MC25k last time out at Tampa. He was 2nd in that contest, and now comes to Keeneland poised to build on the 2nd place finish. The thought of Motion with a Pioneerof the Nile offspring sounds pretty favorable to me. The addition of “blinkers” is another fine idea. Without a ton of speed signed on here, jockey James Graham should have no problem getting to the lead. Another “Single” . . . 

Selections: 8 (Single)

 

LEG 3: (Race 9: Turf, 1 Mile, MSW79k, 3F)

If we can get past those pair of races, then the finale should be a cinch, since this is a big enough field to warrant hitting the proverbial “All” button. I have thought about economies-of-scale as such, so constructing this ticket in such a manner offers some cost savings.

I am rather perplexed about the weight given Nevisian Sunrise #2, the Chad Brown-trained and Alpha Delta Stables homebred. Is she really deserving of a 1/1 M/L designation? I am not so sure after only 2 lifetime starts, both yielding 2nd place finishes. Joel Rosario is going to have to really deliver at that short a price. Including her is a must of course, because we are talking about Brown.

When it comes to the rest though, I really fancy Mark Casse’s well-dubbed Commanders Palace #4. These Declaration of War runners take to the turf like lawnmowers, and Florent Geroux should get a nice ride aboard her. She has a grass sprint under her belt from down at Gulfstream. That MSW55k showed her promise, especially during the 2nd half of the race. Go watch it, because believe you me, she has some blossoming talent.

That should do it for this ticket!   

Selections: 1-10 (All)

-------------------------------------------------------

.50 P3 TICKET COST: $5.00

Enjoy some action from Lexington, Kentucky! The tradition of Keeneland continues…

 

J.N's Keeneland 2021 Results
  • Date
  • Daily Winners / Places
  • Daily Biggest Winner / Place
  • Daily $
  • Overall $

Date

  • April 2
  • April 3
  • April 7
  • April 8
  • April 9
  • April 10
  • April 11
  • April 14
  • April 15
  • April 16
  • April 17
  • April 18
  • April 22
  • April 23
  • April 24

Daily Winners / Places

  • 0 Win / 1 Place
  • 3 Win / 3 Place
  • 0 Win / 4 Place
  • 1 Win / 3 Place
  • 3 Win / 4 Place
  • 0 Win / 3 Place
  • 1 Win / 1 Place
  • 1 Win / 2 Place
  • 1 Win / 4 Place
  • 1 Win / 2 Place
  • 1 Win / 2 Place
  • 1 Win / 4 Place
  • 2 Win / 4 Place
  • 2 Win / 2 Place
  • 2 Win / 2 Place

Daily Biggest Winner / Place

  • $7.20 (Place - R9)
  • $5.80 (Win - R7)
  • $4.20 (Place - R4)
  • $22.80 (Place - R5)
  • $16.00 (Win - R4)
  • $4.80 (Place - R11)
  • $2.40 (Win - R1)
  • $22.60 (Win - R6)
  • $6 (Place - R9)
  • $9.40 (Win - R9)
  • $13.60 (Place - R3)
  • $25.20 (Win - R4)
  • $9.60 (Win - R7)
  • $5.60 (Win - R9)
  • $6.80 (Win - R4)

Daily $

  • $7.40
  • $23
  • $13.20
  • $41.80
  • $42.40
  • $10.80
  • $4.60
  • $35.60
  • $23.00
  • $16.60
  • $26.40
  • $46.60
  • $27.20
  • $17.40
  • $19.20

Overall $

  • $7.40
  • $30.40
  • $43.60
  • $85.40
  • $127.80
  • $138.60
  • $143.20
  • $178.80
  • $201.80
  • $218.40
  • $242.80
  • $289.40
  • $316.60
  • $334.00
  • $353.20
Keeneland Picks, Entries & Results

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