Kentucky Downs Picks: Turf track in Bluegrass opens on September 1

Kentucky Downs is back ... The pear-shaped all-turf course is once again hosting a limited meet here in September! Today, we are going to take a look at the Late Pick 4 ... what a run!
Kentucky Downs is back ... The pear-shaped all-turf course is once again hosting a limited meet here in September! Today, we are going to take a look at the Late Pick 4 ... what a run!

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Kentucky Downs Picks: Thursday, September 1, 2022

  • Race 1: 3-10-1-12
  • Race 2: 12-3-7-6
  • Race 3: 6-7-3-5
  • Race 4: 11-4-2-9
  • Race 5: 2-11-4-6
  • Race 6: 5-7-3-9
  • Race 7: 6-7-1-12
  • Race 8: 2-10-6-11
  • Race 9: 4-1-5-12
  • Race 10: 3-7-11-8
  • Most Likely Winner: Max K.O. #6 (Race 7)
  • Best Value: Peace Achieved #4 (Race 9)

Kentucky Downs ... the pear-shaped turf track in the southern part of Kentucky near the Tennessee border ... is back in action for a limited 7-day Meet. With Breeders' Cup "Win and You're In" races, plus a robust purse account for each and every contest, it is sure to be some of the best betting around! 

At Horseracing.net/us we have you covered, including all of the action! It is a good time for some of the best that North American racing has to offer. Stay tuned! If you're looking for picks elsewhere around the country this Thursday be sure to check out our free Horse Racing Picks via the gold button below. Don't forget to follow us on Twitter ... Horseracing_USA !!!

Horse Racing Picks
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The Late Pick 4 … Races 7-10 …

Race 7: Turf, 1 Mile, ALLW180k, 3+

Welcome to a magical land of filled with turf sweets and incredibly juicy high purses … it is Kentucky Downs! The first Late Pick 4 of the season begins, and this ALLW Co. field is brimming with options. The plan with this sequence is to make shrewd decisions that are backed by nothing but conviction … stern stuff, indeed. Oh, and let's keep this ticket cheap ... it can get out of control with a caveman strategy. I always look for runners that have experience over this KD turf. It is an unusual configuration, and even if they are coming off the bench, that doesn’t mean they cannot fire a big shot. Look at Pavel Matejka’s Accredit #7. This is a son of Flatter that won the Dueling Grounds $750k last year, and hasn’t been seen since. He has some strong dam-side grass to him, and once again Kentucky-based rider Rafael Bejarano will get his chance to compete. The price on this one will be amazing, maybe not quite 37/1, but he could float up above 10/1. The runner I really like is Saffie Joseph’s Max K.O. #6. Joseph is a conditioner that is having a banner year. That should continue … I cannot believe that he is still being underestimated outside of his South Florida base. That was a tough contest he was in last time out at Colonial Downs, proving that event really received a boost from the closing of Arlington Park. Edgard Zayas, who has experience aboard this son of JP’s Gusto should be able to work out a ground saving trip. Let’s go with both these runners, and move right along!  

LP4 Leg 1: 6/7 (2-Deep)

Wagering Recommendation: $100 Bankroll, Graduated Wager, WPS #6 ($10-W, $15-P, $75-S)

 

Race 8: Turf, 6½F, ALLW160kn1x, F&M 3+

The ALLW game continues in this 2nd leg, and we are shortening up a bit … sprinting … Track announcer Larry Collmus is a true professional, but even he has trouble calling these races—blind spots. When it comes to a top selection, I like the look of Barry King’s Two Sixtyone #2. Here is a mare by Atreides that last competed in a “Non-G” at Indiana Grand. She faced the likes of Hendy Woods that afternoon, and it looked like the pace was just too hot. Jockey Vincent Cheminaud made some noise during the Spring Meet at Keeneland, and I think his talent is just starting to get noticed. King also owns this 6-yr-old, a phenomenon in racing that continues. One other entry that I cannot leave out is Wesley Ward’s filly by Quality Road—Storm Kiss #10. Even though she is just a 3-yr-old, I think she is a budding star. Clearly, the Saratoga OC80kn1x was just too tough, so coming to KD should offer some relief. Gerardo Corrales is a rider who works turf sprinters, getting the best out of them. If he can time the break properly, this homebred should be a good bet. Douglas Scharbauer owns Valor Farm in Pilot Point, Texas, and his parents campaigned the great Alysheba back in the 1980s. Onward to victory …

LP4 Leg 2: 2/10 (2-Deep)

Wagering Recommendation: $2 Trifecta Wheel, 2 w 10 w 1/3/4/5/6/7/8/9/11/13

 

Race 9: Turf, 1 mile 70 yds., FanDuel Tapit S., $400k, 3+

Our first major “feature” of the Meet is set, and it is going to be a doozy … technical term … For me, this race comes down to a trio of entries that are all vastly different. I want to stick with Saffie Joseph because I think his barn is going to breakout. Ramsey Solution #1 probably needs no introduction … we know that the red-lettered “R” is not what it used to be, and even though the matriarch Sarah has passed on, she will never be forgotten. A former Wesley Ward runner, he came over to Joseph in July. A win over the AW at Gulfstream does not mean he is an automatic lock at KD. What it does tell us is that he is fit for duty. I like his career record … he can be even more productive under Joseph. A couple of others that look like they could get to the winner’s circle are Norm Casse’s Peace Achieved #4 and Mike Maker’s Atone #5. The former might not look like much, but the horse by Declaration of War is awfully classy. Expect Adam Beschizza to try and make a big run from the back of the pack. Casse is a superior trainer, who is just getting started with a bright future. As for the latter, Maker is always dangerous in his backyard. Bred by Godolphin, this gelding by Into Mischief is shipping in from upstate New York. He hit-the-board at Saratoga in a pair of difficult contests … including the Forbidden Apple S. (G3). I think he fits here, and we all know what Tyler Gaffalione is capable of doing in the irons. He will be after that riding title. Expect the unexpected in this race, and yes, I am going against Paulo Lobo’s reigning Keeneland Turf Mile (G1) champ—In Love (BRZ) #12. Now, on to the finale …

LP4 Leg 3: 1/4/5 (3-Deep)

Wagering Recommendation: $2 Exacta Box, 1/4/5

 

Race 10: Turf, 1 Mile, MSW150k, 3+

Ending the day with maidens is going to a tough road, but this is Kentucky Downs … check your betting egos at the door. You want nice, hefty payouts, so consider this a great opportunity! Going a mile on the grass, the horse to beat out of this bunch is Chad Brown’s Growth Capital #3. The son of War Front is loaded with a strong turf pedigree, but even more important, the colt is used to running against this type of company. He was 5th at Saratoga in a MSW105k contest, and that was really not up to scratch. Even though he is still looking for that elusive first victory, I think it will come in this spot with Tyler Gaffalione aboard. Klaravich Stables expects to win, and Brown is shipping to Kentucky for a reason. This 3-yr-old might not end up being 5/2 on the tote once race time rolls around, but he looks like a surefire winner to me. You could think about adding Saffie Jospeh’s Axthelm #7, Mike Maker’s Mint #8, and/or Jeff Hiles’ Blue Devil #11, but I think Brown has this race wrapped up … it’s a “Single” here in the last.

LP4 Leg 4: 3 (Single)

Wagering Recommendation: $25/$50 WP #

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Ticket: 6-7 / 2-10 / 1-4-5 / 3

Total Ticket Cost LP4/.50: $6.00

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The Kentucky Downs Meet is here! Enjoy some fabulous turf racing while it lasts … Be sure to follow us on Twitter … Horseracing_USA !!!

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