Penn National Picks: $400k Grade 2 Penn Mile on June 3
Penn National Picks - Friday, June 3, 2022
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Race 1: 3-6-5-1
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Race 2: 1-3-2-5
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Race 3: 4-3-6-2
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Race 4: 5-1-8-4
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Race 5: 6-4-2-5
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Race 6: 7-8-2-4
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Race 7: 5-2-9-7
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Race 8: 3-2-5-4
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Race 9: 6-2-3-1
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Race 10: 2-5-1-4
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Race 11: 4-1-2-3
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**Most Likely: Customer List #6 (Race 5)**
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**Best Value: Fed Chair #5 (Race 7)**
A regular stop this time of year ... Penn National in Philadelphia takes center stage on this Friday. Anchored by the $400k Grade 2 Penn Mile, it is sure to be a solid betting experience. You will not want to miss it!
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Most Likely Winner: (Race 5: Customer List (FR) #6, 5/2):
Last year … if you recall … this day of racing was a literal wash, as sheets of rain hit the area. We will hope that it stays away. Looking over this turf race we have some nice 3-yr-old fillies assembled that include a pair from Chad Brown’s outfit. That means that both will be short-priced, and the task is to determine which one is best. Once again, Irad Ortiz and Flavien Prat will renew their turf rivalry that seems to be spanning the country. I like Ortiz’s mount this time around … The red-lettered “KS” seems to have the potential to step-up in class. Coming off-the-bench is never hard for Brown runners, and this well-bred daughter of Wootton Bassett (GB) should be no exception. Irad wins the day … If she is 5/2 or higher, this one is a major bet in my book.
Wagering Recommendation: $100 Win, #6
Off-the-Pace Play of the Day: (Race 7: Fed Chair #5, 20/1):
In a 6F sprint like this one for PA breds, anyone can win this “Non-G.” I particularly like a long shot that is leaping into the deep end of this pool. A gelding by Twirling Candy, this is one of my favorite sires to wager on because they just continue to be so versatile. The Brandon Kulp-trainee really improved his “figs” last time out against ALLW Co. at Penn. Even though he was 2nd in that race, it was a fine accomplishment. I am keen to back him because Dana Whitley is at the controls for this Groff homebred. He is going to be a massive price, but with early speed at his side (if he can break well), he might just flip this script. Tally ho … long shot Friday is on!
Wagering Recommendation: $100 Bankroll, Graduated Wager WPS #5 ($10-W, $15-P, $75-S)
Spotlight Race of the Day: (Race 6: Turf, 1 Mile, Penn Mile S. (G2), $400k, 3):
The tradition of the Penn Mile continues … This year’s edition has a group of 8, but I am sure that Todd Pletcher’s Annapolis #2 and Shug McGaughey’s Fort Washington #8 will garner most of the betting attention. I wouldn’t talk any bettor off of backing either of these colts because both are well-bred (both are halves to War Front, ironically), but I will say that there is value to be had, elsewhere. Before we get to that all-important selection … Bass Racing has solid investments though, and Pletcher brings this one in to Penn with the hopes of making her career a perfect 3/3. Ridden by Irad Ortiz, she will be tracking from 1-2 off the front to be sure. McGaughey is not to be outdone, because his charge is classy (and unlike Pletcher’s entry), she has recency running in the Woodhaven S. $100k at Aqueduct (2nd). Flavien Prat gets the assignment this time around, and Mr. Peter Brant and Allen Stable are hopeful that he is up to the task. I am going to play against both these runners because I like the look of Brian Lynch’s Red Danger #7, who could play spoiler. This colt by Orb has a strong dam side turf pedigree, and will get the services of Ortiz’s old nemesis, Paco Lopez. With good form coming into Penn, he should be able to work out a ground saving trip, and make a big run from the rear of the field. Taking this one back, settling him down, and then timing the move properly will take skill, but I think Lopez is up for it. He can spring an upset when you least expect it. I believe that the odds on this one will drift from 5/2 towards 4/1. We could be looking at a nice overlay. Here is the play I concocted …
Wagering Recommendation: $2 Trifecta Cold, 7/8/2
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Enjoy some stakes action on this Friday card! Best of luck on another run at Penn National!