Pimlico Racecourse Picks & Analysis for July 4
Sunday's card at Pimlico Racecourse includes 11 races that offer some excellent betting opportunities. They are celebrating the July 4th Holiday with some fireworks of the "Non-Graded Stakes" variety. As usual, our turf-man has you covered, including a "spotlight" race of the day.
If you're looking for picks elsewhere around the country on Sunday, be sure to check out our free Horse Racing Picks via the gold button below.
Most Likely Winner: (Race 8: Roderick #6, 2/1):
When you get a Wesley Ward sprinter, you better bet him. This one is going to be a fair price at 2/1. The gelding out of Into Mischief unseated Joel Rosario last out at Belmont in the Gold Fever 100k. He never got to do any running, but has the chance to right the ship here. His latest work at Ward’s Keeneland base looked excellent, and I fully expect him to be running well with Victor Carrasco in the irons. This is a “win” bet for sure.
Wagering Recommendation: $100 Win, #6
Off-the-Pace Play of the Day: (Race 7: Proper Attire #2, 15/1):
Pimlico’s full card has a strong turf component, after their grass track went through a “time out” last week. The Laurel debacle created undue stress in Baltimore, but the team has tried to keep pace. This “Non-G” event brings together some inexperienced sodbusters, but that could bring bettors some major value. I think I have a runner who might fit the bill nicely. The Salzman Barn has some good numbers at the PIM Meet, and this filly that is entered in this spot can take advantage of this weak field. She is going to need to be at her best. Jockey Charlie Marquez knows her tendencies, and that could go a long way to notching a big score. He just needs to “settle” her early. Maybe taking her out on the engine is not the way to go. I would change tactics because she has the class rating, and pedigree by way of Giant’s Causeway to win in a spot like this one.
Wagering Recommendation: $100 Bankroll, Graduated Wager WPS #2 ($10-W, $15-P, $75-S)
Spotlight Race of the Day: (Race 9: Dirt, Caesar’s Wish S., $100k, F&M 3+):
In this spot, another “Non-G” contest, routing on the dirt should make for a challenging handicapping experience. I have a solution, especially when it comes to finding a better price than co-favorites, Mrs. Orb #7 and Landing Zone #8. Those runners are solid, without question, but I like a daughter of Mineshaft named His Glory #5, who is trained by Joe Sharp. Her career earnings are already over $235k, and even though she missed last time out at Lone Star Park, that was in the slop on an off-track. She won her race before that at Keeneland, and that makes me think she can take on this group. My Racehorse is a powerful ownership organization that is getting stickier and stickier. Michael Behrens has created a model that brings in loads of people that otherwise would not be a part of the Thoroughbred milieu. As for Sharp, he has a promising outfit that continues to look for breakout moments. This could be a nice one!
Wagering Recommendation: $2 Trifecta Box, 5 w 7/8 w 7/8 or 7/8 w 5 w 7/8
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Enjoy a Sunday in Baltimore! Best of Luck on another run at Pimlico!