Sam Houston Race Park Picks and Analysis Saturday 6 March 2021

It is a SHRP Saturday Night of racing that is headed your way... After a Super Saturday during the daylight hours, check out what is going on in the evening! Deep in the Heart of Texas racing...
It is a SHRP Saturday Night of racing that is headed your way... After a Super Saturday during the daylight hours, check out what is going on in the evening! Deep in the Heart of Texas racing...

Racing continues at Sam Houston... Their Meet has less than a month to go! Our turf man has you covered with his selections for the whole card and specific analysis for the races. If you're looking for a different track, check out all of our Free Horse Racing Picks via the gold button below...

Horse Racing Picks

Most Likely Winner: (Race 3: Repo Girl #4, 1/1):

Repo Girl #4 did not move forward like trainer Ronnie Cravens thought she would last out in an MC event. Now, he is recalibrating, hoping she can improve. There is not a ton of talent in here, so maybe that 1/1 M/L odds is warranted. If she can game up front, then she should win this one.

Wager: $100 Win, #4

 

Favorite I Am Against: (Race 5: Holy Creed #5, 5/2):

Trainer Joe Offolter has one of those runners that has just missed in 3 of her last attempts on the 2021 John B. Connally Turf Course. I think this time around will make it 4. Some horses just do not win, and that offers opportunity because when things are going a certain way, they continue. Granted Holy Creed #5 has the class edge, but I want to try and beat her. In her place, I think that Tahitian Breeze #6 is an absolute triple threat. She gets the aggressive Shane Laviolette aboard, has a solid grass pedigree, and Tina Hurley is making a nice conditioning move putting this filly on the turf. Last time, she was supposed to be on the sod, but it was an off-track that day. The result on the MT… an 8+-length victory. This daughter of Too Much Bling is talented, and could be over 20/1 when the bell sounds.

Wager: $100 Bankroll, Graduated Wager, WPS #6 ($10-W, $15-P, $75-S); $2 Exacta Cold, 6 w 5

 

Off-the-Pace Play of the Day: (Race 6: Absaroka #3, 8/1):

Last out, a son of Flat Out, Absaroka #3 missed the board in a Clm15k event. It was a lackluster effort to say the least. Now, Clint Stuart’s Oklahoma-bred is back and ready for action in an ALLW race? What the blue blazes? Looking over his PPs, this does not make much sense, but here is the thing… either Stuart is batty, or he sees something that we, as handicappers do not. It is worth a play based on that latter assumption because he is a solid conditioner. This might be an opportunity. Maybe he knows something we don’t. The rest of this field has some major weaknesses. It is not like his entry has never seen an ALLW… he ran in them at Remington.

Wager: $2 Exacta Wheel, 3 w the field (1(A)/2/4/5/6)

 

Spotlight Race of the Day: (Race 7: Turf, 1 1/16th, ALLW39k, F&M 4+):

I continue to try and solve the SHRP turf puzzle that is presented each night they race. It is a Rubik Cube, and nothing short of a conundrum. Horses that need to break well don’t, and those that normally have a nice turn-of-foot are stymied. I am undeterred… Tonight, let’s go after a salty sod contest, and see if we can uncover a winner. Turf racing is about positioning, so I normally like to find out who Ry Eikleberry, Sophie Doyle, or Stewart Elliott is riding. They seem to be consistent, patient, and able to navigate the perils of the turf. Whereas, I find Lane Luzzi, Reylu Gutierrez, and Ernesto Valdez-Jiminez rather querulous. I think Egyptian Princess #9 appears to be the pick. Brendan Walsh used to train this filly, but after 2 tries on the grass she was handed over to Steve Asmussen. Arriving in HOU, she was ridden spectacularly by Elliott. After that MSW bow, I doubt there is anyone in here that is going to be able to best such a talented and well-bred filly out of American Pharoah.

Wager: $100 Win, #9

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Enjoy an evening of racing from SHRP! Let’s keep the day going!

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