By Sean Morris

Swiss Skydiver to set get Preakness/Distaff Double

By Sean Morris
We say Monomoy Girl falls short in the Distaff
We say Monomoy Girl falls short in the Distaff

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The $2,000,000 Grade I Breeders' Cup Distaff is Race 10 on the card for Keeneland this Saturday as the Breeders' Cup World Championships. Below is our Race Card with all the Morning Line odds and links to our betting partners BetAmerica, TVG and TwinSpires where you can join today and take advantage of their excellent sign-up offers for new customers.

Underneath you'll find our race preview written by our in-house handicapper and originally published here on HorseRacing.net as part of his Breeders' Cup Saturday Picks column...

Breeders' Cup Distaff 2020

10

Monomoy Girl

  • Age: 5 /
  • Jockey: F Geroux /
  • Trainer: B H Cox /
Morning Line Odds
5

Swiss Skydiver

  • Age: 3 /
  • Jockey: R Albarado /
  • Trainer: K G McPeek /
Morning Line Odds
4

Horologist

  • Age: 4 /
  • Jockey: J Alvarado /
  • Trainer: W I Mott /
Morning Line Odds
9

Ollie's Candy

  • Age: 5 /
  • Jockey: J Rosario /
  • Trainer: J W Sadler /
Morning Line Odds
1

Ce Ce

  • Age: 4 /
  • Jockey: J R Velazquez /
  • Trainer: M W McCarthy /
Morning Line Odds
2

Harvest Moon

  • Age: 3 /
  • Jockey: F Prat /
  • Trainer: S Callaghan /
Morning Line Odds
3

Dunbar Road

  • Age: 4 /
  • Jockey: J L Ortiz /
  • Trainer: C C Brown /
Morning Line Odds
8

Valiance

  • Age: 4 /
  • Jockey: L Saez /
  • Trainer: T A Pletcher /
Morning Line Odds
6

Lady Kate

  • Age: 4 /
  • Jockey: T Gaffalione /
  • Trainer: E Kenneally /
Morning Line Odds
7

Point of Honor

  • Age: 4 /
  • Jockey: J Castellano /
  • Trainer: G Weaver /
Morning Line Odds

Race 10 (Distaff)

I really don’t have anything creative to add to the Distaff: the betting public will likely view it as a showdown between Swiss Skydiver (#5) and Monomoy Girl (#10), and I think that’s the way it’ll shake out when the gates open.

Monomoy Girl isn’t invincible, but she certainly approaches that lofty air. This mare is 12-for-14 in her career, with one of those losses coming via disqualification in the 2018 Cotillion at Parx Racing when she actually crossed the wire first. Not even an extended layoff following her brilliant sophomore campaign could slow her down. After being sidelined for more than a year and a half following her win in this race in 2018, she picked up right where she left off this year with three straight wins. The only chink in her armor, and the reason she’s not my top pick in this race, is that it’s still unclear whether she’s quite as fast as she once was. She earned a Beyer of 104 two back for her victory in the G2 Ruffian, but she had a very easy trip in that race, and she’s going to need to improve on her last-race Beyer of 97, which was the product of another good trip in the G1 La Troienne. Even her win in the Distaff wasn’t especially fast, so while I acknowledge she has a tenacity that is somewhat unquantifiable, I don’t think people should go overboard despite her sterling record.

My preference in this race is Swiss Skydiver, who I have the utmost admiration for. This 3-year-old filly has danced every dance this year, criss-crossing the country to contest the biggest races available to sophomores, and though she’s been beaten on occasion, she’s always given a solid account of herself. Despite her aggressive campaign, which comes at a time when horses are raced more sparingly than ever, this filly just keeps getting better. Her win in the G1 Alabama three starts ago was dazzling, and after failing to run down Shedaresthedevil in the G1 Kentucky Oaks, she came right back to win the G1 Preakness in a gritty effort over Kentucky Derby winner Authentic. I thought her most recent performance in the Preakness was sensational, and if she runs back to it I think it’s her who should be favored. The possibility also exists that she’s not yet reached her ceiling...

Swiss Skydiver and Monomoy Girl are going to be tough to beat, but I am also somewhat interested in Horologist (#4) and Valiance (#8). The former has hinted at serious ability in the past without fully putting it together, but she may have finally done just that last out with a terrific win in the G1 Beldame at Belmont. The latter, meanwhile, looks a tad slow to contend here, however her win last out in the G1 Spinster may have been faster than it appears and she at least has experience over this track, which should count for something.

Main:  5,10     Backup:  4,8

Order of preference:  5-10-4-8

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Get up to $250 in bonus funds

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Up to $200 in Sign-up Bonuses
New Customers Only,21+
Up to $200 in Sign-up Bonuses
New Customers Only,21 +