By Sean Morris

Speech value over Gamine in Filly & Mare Sprint

By Sean Morris
Bob Baffert might not be smiling if Gamine misses out in the Filly & Mare Sprint
Bob Baffert might not be smiling if Gamine misses out in the Filly & Mare Sprint

Get up to $250 in bonus funds

New Customers Only,21+

The $1,000,000 Grade I Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Sprint is Race 4 on the card for Keeneland this Saturday as the Breeders' Cup World Championships. Below is our Race Card with all the Morning Line odds and links to our betting partners BetAmerica, TVG and TwinSpires where you can join today and take advantage of their excellent sign-up offers for new customers.

Underneath you'll find our race preview written by our in-house handicapper and originally published here on HorseRacing.net as part of his Breeders' Cup Saturday Picks column...

Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Sprint 2020

2

Gamine

  • Age: 3 /
  • Jockey: J R Velazquez /
  • Trainer: B Baffert /
Morning Line Odds
7

Serengeti Empress

  • Age: 4 /
  • Jockey: L Saez /
  • Trainer: T M Amoss /
Morning Line Odds
1

Speech

  • Age: 3 /
  • Jockey: J Castellano /
  • Trainer: M W McCarthy /
Morning Line Odds
9

Bell's the One

  • Age: 4 /
  • Jockey: C J Lanerie /
  • Trainer: N L Pessin /
Morning Line Odds
3

Come Dancing

  • Age: 6 /
  • Jockey: I Ortiz, Jr. /
  • Trainer: C F Martin /
Morning Line Odds
6

Venetian Harbor

  • Age: 3 /
  • Jockey: M Franco /
  • Trainer: R Baltas /
Morning Line Odds
5

Sconsin

  • Age: 3 /
  • Jockey: J Graham /
  • Trainer: G D Foley /
Morning Line Odds
8

Sally's Curlin

  • Age: 4 /
  • Jockey: B J Hernandez, Jr. /
  • Trainer: D L Romans /
Morning Line Odds
4

Inthemidstofbiz

  • Age: 4 /
  • Jockey: E Esquivel /
  • Trainer: C Contreras /
Morning Line Odds

Race 4 (Filly & Mare Sprint)

Gamine (#2) gets top billing in the Filly & Mare Sprint and for good reason as she’s been truly brilliant around one turn in her career, however I don’t think she’s necessarily invincible in this spot. The 108 and 110 Beyer Speed Figures she earned for her victories in the G1 Test and G1 Acorn, respectively, absolutely tower over this field, but she had the benefit of setting a relatively easy pace in each of those starts. That’s simply not going to happen in this race given the presence of the ultra-quick Serengeti Empress (#7), along with a couple others that could potentially show some early zip. I never like declaring that horses are one-dimensional just because we haven’t seen them employ a different running style, but it does feel like it’s a legitimate concern with Gamine that she could get embroiled in a pace that’s much faster than she’s accustomed to. Regardless of the perceived dynamics of this race, I think she’s one you have to use prominently as she’s simply been too good at these distances to completely dismiss.

That said, Gamine is going to soak up a ton of tote support, which means there should be some value elsewhere. Serengeti Empress herself is an intriguing item. She’s been setting scorching paces in her recent starts, a pair of G1 tries in the Derby City Distaff at Churchill Downs and the Ballerina at Saratoga, and nearly won both in valiant fashion. The trouble with her is that she figures to again have to work hard to make the front, and she’s likely going to need to improve off her recent performances to win. I’m expecting another courageous effort out of her, but I think she’s ultimately going to come up short.

Since I can’t resist a good turnback, my top pick in this race is Speech (#1), who comes off of a disappointing fourth-place finish in the G1 Kentucky Oaks going 1 ⅛ miles. Speech has been a bit inconsistent in her career, but when she brings her ‘A’ game she’s one of the top fillies in the country, as we saw earlier this year when she romped in the G1 Ashland over this track, decisively defeating fellow contender Venetian Harbor (#6) by three lengths. Speech also nearly vanquished Gamine in May at Oaklawn Park (and in fact she was awarded the victory post-race via disqualification), and I think it’s clear she’s a top-caliber filly. This distance should be right in her wheelhouse and I believe she’s in the perfect spot to work out a ground-saving, off-the-pace trip that should prove a winning one in this edition of the Filly & Mare Sprint.

Main:  1,2     Backup (priority):  7,9

Order of preference:  1-2-7-9

Up to $200 in Sign-up Bonuses

New Customers Only,21 +

Get up to $250 in bonus funds

New Customers Only,21+
Up to $200 in Sign-up Bonuses
New Customers Only,21+
Up to $200 in Sign-up Bonuses
New Customers Only,21 +