By Sean Morris

Factor This more than a Factor in the Mile

By Sean Morris
The Mile could favor the American horses this year
The Mile could favor the American horses this year

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The $2,000,000 Grade I Breeders' Cup Mile is Race 9 on the card for Keeneland this Saturday as the Breeders' Cup World Championships. Below is our Race Card with all the Morning Line odds and links to our betting partners BetAmerica, TVG and TwinSpires where you can join today and take advantage of their excellent sign-up offers for new customers.

Underneath you'll find our race preview written by our in-house handicapper and originally published here on HorseRacing.net as part of his Breeders' Cup Saturday Picks column...

Breeders' Cup Mile 2020

11

Ivar

  • Age: 4 /
  • Jockey: J Talamo /
  • Trainer: P H Lobo /
Morning Line Odds
12

Uni

  • Age: 6 /
  • Jockey: J Rosario /
  • Trainer: C C Brown /
Morning Line Odds
2

Kameko

  • Age: 3 /
  • Jockey: O Murphy /
  • Trainer: A Balding /
Morning Line Odds
13

Factor This

  • Age: 5 /
  • Jockey: F Geroux /
  • Trainer: B H Cox /
Morning Line Odds
14

Raging Bull

  • Age: 5 /
  • Jockey: J L Ortiz /
  • Trainer: C C Brown /
Morning Line Odds
5

Digital Age

  • Age: 4 /
  • Jockey: J Castellano /
  • Trainer: C C Brown /
Morning Line Odds
1

Circus Maximus

  • Age: 4 /
  • Jockey: R L Moore /
  • Trainer: A P O'Brien /
Morning Line Odds
10

Halladay

  • Age: 4 /
  • Jockey: L Saez /
  • Trainer: T A Pletcher /
Morning Line Odds
9

One Master

  • Age: 6 /
  • Jockey: P Boudot /
  • Trainer: W J Haggas /
Morning Line Odds
4

Siskin

  • Age: 3 /
  • Jockey: C Keane /
  • Trainer: G Lyons /
Morning Line Odds
Show All Runners

Race 9 (Mile)

Whereas in most turf races on the Breeders’ Cup program I tend to favor the Europeans, I actually think the American contingent is quite strong in the Mile. Most will assume this opinion hinges on last year’s Mile heroine Uni (#12), however I’m completely against her here as I believe she’s decidedly lost a step at the age of 6. Instead, I think Ivar (#11) should probably be the favorite among the domestic runners. It took him a start to get his sea legs under him, but this Argentinian star has been tremendous in the U.S., especially last time in the G1 Shadwell Turf Mile over this course. Although he has good tactical speed, he sat near the back of the pack in the Shadwell Turf Mile and simply exploded past the field in the stretch while again running without blinkers. He has a versatile running style and is clearly oozing with talent.

Ivar may be the likeliest winner of the Americans, but I happen to have a soft spot for Factor This (#13), who should offer the most value in this race. Earlier in the year I believed Factor This was one of the luckiest horses in the country as he routinely rode inside-favoring courses to victory, usually while being able to set uncontested paces, but I’ve done a complete 180 on him after his last two starts. His near miss two back in the G1 Turf Classic at Churchill Downs was a herculean effort, and though I don’t put much stock in the 110 Beyer he earned last out in the G2 Dinner Party at Pimlico on very yielding turf, I think it at least proves he’s maintained the excellent form he displayed in the Turf Classic. He’s going to have to deal with the speedy Halladay (#10) on the front end, but I’m starting to get the feeling this guy is just a winner, so I wouldn’t be surprised if he’s able to overcome an adverse pace scenario.

The other American I think warrants a long look is Digital Age (#5), who narrowly defeated Factor This in the Turf Classic. The cut back to a mile may not be ideal, but historically this race features hot paces, which seems like should be the case again this year. If the early fractions are sufficiently enervating, I believe the rapidly improving Digital Age can take advantage.

Of the Euros, who are certainly plentiful in this spot, I’m siding with Kameko (#2). It’s pretty apparent from his running lines that he’s at his best at a mile on firmer ground, and like Digital Age he’s also on an upward trajectory as he enters the tail end of his sophomore season. Overseas betting markets have actually pegged him as the favorite in this race, so I think it’s right to anticipate him being quite live.

Main:  2,5,11,13     Backup:  4,14

Order of preference:  13-11-2-5

Up to $200 in Sign-up Bonuses

New Customers Only,21 +

Get up to $250 in bonus funds

New Customers Only,21+
Up to $200 in Sign-up Bonuses
New Customers Only,21+
Up to $200 in Sign-up Bonuses
New Customers Only,21 +