Epsom Derby 2020 Tips: Russian Emperor to win The Derby

 Epsom Derby 2020 tips from Chris Baker
Epsom Derby 2020 tips from Chris Baker

If you have not had the chance to listen yet, tune in to the latest HorseRacing.net podcast, where Nick Seddon and I talk through the three big races of the weekend in detail.

I have picked out four bets for today’s racing at Epsom and Haydock.

Good luck if you decide to follow.

Epsom Tips

15:00 – 1m2f Investec Handicap (Class 2)

This looks a good opportunity for the lightly raced CARADOC (1 point win bet at 5/1) to improve on his already impressive 50% strike rate on turf (4-8). Although he stays 1m4f, this ten-furlong trip looks his optimum, and he has Champion Jockey Oisin Murphy back in the saddle. He is rated just 5lbs higher than for his Newbury success back in September and looks open to more improvement.

At a much bigger price, I’m also taking a chance on DOLPHIN VISTA (0.5 point win bet at 33/1). Although he has been way below his best in his last four starts, he is a dual Listed winner - including a victory at that level last season. His handicap mark is on the decline, he made his comeback at Royal Ascot and Tom Marquand takes the ride for the first time.

16:55 – 1m4f Investec Derby (Group 1)

Aidan O’Brien can record a record-breaking eighth Derby success courtesy of RUSSIAN EMPEROR (1 point win bet at 11/2). He may not have been picked by Ryan Moore, but in Seamie Heffernan he has the services of last year’s winning rider.

Having won his maiden back in March, he went to the Derrinstown Stud Derby Trial at Leopardstown for his next start. That is a trial I always follow with interest as it has produced horses such as his sire Galileo, as well as Yeats, Dylan Thomas and Fame and Glory.

Although he didn’t win that day, he was strong at the finish suggesting that he’d relish the step up to 1m4f. He was last seen winning the Hampton Court Stakes at Royal Ascot, again finishing strongly to give further confidence that he will improve for this step up in trip. He is out of a Champion mare, should encounter ideal ground conditions and has a decent draw.

Tip

15:00 Epsom Downs
Caradoc silk

Caradoc

lost

Tip

15:00 Epsom Downs
Dolphin Vista silk

Dolphin Vista

lost

Tip

16:55 Epsom Downs
Russian Emperor silk

Russian Emperor

lost
Epsom Derby Races

Haydock Tip

14:40 – 1m My Alerts At bet365 Handicap (Class 3)

Well beaten in both starts for Dermot Weld in Ireland, KRYPTOS (NAP - 2 point win bet at 5/1) was bought to race for Tony Fordham by Newmarket trainer John Berry and was gelded before nearly losing his life to a twisted gut. Quick action by vets at Newmarket Equine Hospital saved him and he was able to return to the track in June of 2017.

Sent off as a 50/1 outsider that day, he was far from disgraced in finishing third behind Game Starter, who went on to win his next two starts, and 6/5 favourite Mafaaheem, who scored by 11-lengths on his next start. Out of a Listed winning mare, this Juddmonte Farm-bred horse won three of his next four starts, progressing on each occasion to end the season with a Class 2 victory over Doncaster’s straight mile.

That put him in contention for the valuable Cambridgeshire handicap at Newmarket but a tendon injury prevented him from taking part in that race. He recently returned to the track after 995 days with a very respectable run in a Class 2 at Newmarket.

He is almost certain to have come on for that outing, drops down in class and goes off the same handicap mark today. In addition, Nicola Currie, who is 3-3 when riding him, gets back on board. This horse is clearly held in very high regard by his patient connections and has been given plenty of time to recover.

I firmly believe that had it not been for his injury, he’d have won at least one Lincoln Handicap and would have made his mark in Group company by now.

Tip

14:40 Haydock
Kryptos silk

Kryptos

lost
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