Chris Baker: Four runners catch the eye

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There's a good card at Warwick this afternoon.
There's a good card at Warwick this afternoon.

There is lots to look forward to today with both Altior and Native River running at Newbury. Those equine stars are understandably odds-on to win their respective races, so my attention has focussed on the 24-runner £155,000 Grade 3 Betfair Hurdle, which features a host of exciting contenders including nine last time out winners. 

There’s also a good supporting card at Warwick, and away from the jumps I’ll be keeping a close eye on Mount Wellington at Lingfield (14:55). He was unlucky last time out (tipped here) and looks to have a strong chance of bouncing back.

I’ve picked out four bets today, so good luck if you decide to follow.

Warwick Tips

Trainer Harry Whittington won the Grade 2 Kingmaker Novices Chase (14:05) two years ago with Saint Calvados, and he looks to have another good chance with ROUGE VIF (7/2), who holds a couple of Cheltenham Festival entries. This six-year-old was a seven-length winner on his chasing debut at Market Rasen before being beaten in a hot Cheltenham contest on his next start. He bounced back with a very respectable second in a Grade 2 at Kempton over Christmas – his first run following wind surgery - and a reproduction of that form would see him go close here. Nube Negra is an obvious danger following his performance at Sandown last time out.

The Listed Mares’ Hurdle at 14:40 can go to LEGENDS OF GOLD (NAP at 4/1), who comes in to the race in fine form having won four of her last five starts. Her only defeat in that time came in a competitive Cheltenham handicap against geldings, and she is kept against her own sex here. She’s reportedly been aimed at this race since her Ludlow victory 23 days ago, and conditions look ideal.

Chris Baker's P&L

Newbury Tips

Not So Sleepy, Highly Prized and Never Adapt all hold obvious claims for the Betfair Hurdle at 15:35, but I’m taking a chance on two horses at bigger odds: MILL GREEN (33/1) and STOLEN SILVER (16/1). 

The Nicky Henderson-trained Mill Green made a winning seasonal reappearance at Sandown last month and is fully entitled to have come on for that run. He should encounter ideal ground conditions today and Nico de Boinville is 2-3 aboard the horse. He’s lightly-raced for an eight-year-old and has won three of his six starts over hurdles.

Stolen Silver represents the Sam and Nigel Twiston-Davis partnership that has won this race in two of the last three years. Their five-year-old, who holds an entry in the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival, won a Grade 2 race at Haydock last time out and looks open to plenty of improvement.

Tip

Kingmaker Novices' Chase
Rouge Vif silk

Rouge Vif

won

Tip

14:40 Warwick
Legends Gold silk

Legends Gold

lost

Tip

15:35 Newbury
Mill Green silk

Mill Green

Tip

15:35 Newbury
Stolen Silver silk

Stolen Silver

lost
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