Today's Horse Racing Tips: An old favourite can strike at Lingfield

Today's racing tips for Lingfield.
Today's racing tips for Lingfield.

Two more fancied selections – including the very well backed Araifjan – were beaten yesterday to continue my rotten run with those horses towards the head of the betting. 2020 has certainly been a year to forget (unless you work for a PPE manufacturer or a pharmaceutical company). Away from racing, it has been challenging for all of us, but on the track my results have simply not been good enough. 

Although I have had my fair share of bad luck, the days of 50/1 winners seem a long time ago. I have sat in disbelief on many occasions and am just going to share a few statistics in particular that are both baffling and frustrating.

  • I don’t like backing favourites and happily take them on when I can. However, there are times when the case is so strong that it represents a good bet. Unfortunately, the last 12 favourites I have tipped have all been beaten. Unbelievable Jeff (as Chris Kamara would say)!
  • My record when backing horses trained by the prolific Dan Skelton is now 1-31 (including 0-8 this year). That is quite ridiculous!
  • The stars in the saddle this year have undoubtably been Oisin Murphy, Ben Curtis, Hollie Doyle and Brian Hughes. 32 of my 522 selections have been ridden by these jockeys. 0 (ZERO) have won. You just couldn’t make that up!

In my bid to end the year with a winner, I’ve picked out one bet at my luckiest and most profitable course: Lingfield. My current tally of winners for 2020 is 59 (plus 132 placed selections), so it’d be lovely to finish on 60. I’ll be doing everything I can to turn things around in 2021.

Enjoy your day. Keep safe and Happy New Year to all of you.

Today's Racing Tips

Lingfield Tip

15:35 – 6f Betway Heed Your Hunch Handicap (Class 6)

AGUEROOO (NAP – 1 point win bet at 8/1) is without a win since January 2019, but only six of his races in that losing run have come over this course and distance. Given that he is a five-time winner at Lingfield, including off a handicap mark of 90, there is every chance that he’ll be able to return to the winners’ enclosure here when things fall right.

He lines up off just 54 today and shaped with promise here nine days ago before suffering significant interference in the home straight. Having travelled well, he was denied a clear run and had to be snatched up on several occasions. He was ultimately beaten by just 4.5-lengths that day and could now be ready to strike on this fourth start since returning from a 271-day break.

Breaking from stall 1 will allow William Carson to save ground on the inside and I’d expect the pair to take up a position in midfield before challenging as the field swings into the straight. This seven-year-old looks to have plenty in his favour today and has recorded six of his eight career victories between December and February.

Come On Girl, dropping back in trip, and Amnaa, a winner at Kempton two starts back, complete the shortlist.

15:35 Lingfield
Aguerooo silk


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