Today's Horse Racing Tips: Double down at Ayr with these fancies

Today's racing tips for Ayr.
Today's racing tips for Ayr.

Sometimes, everything that can go wrong will go wrong, and that is what happened yesterday! Firstly, Delagate This Lord unshipped his rider at the start, got loose and was withdrawn. The fact that he had halved in price (14/1 in to 7/1) in the build up to the race left me wondering what might have been. 

Less than an hour later, I watched Can You Believe It weaken out of contention at Newton Abbot in a race won by the horse I had identified as the biggest danger. Francky Du Berlais was my top-rated horse and would have given me a 22/1 winner had I not made a last-minute adjustment to account for the fact that he hadn’t run for 296 days. I certainly couldn’t believe it and may have muttered quite a few swear words!

It is very rare for me to recommend a 2 point stake, but both of today’s selections at Ayr have met my criteria for such a bet. I am hopeful that at least one of them can win, otherwise it will be an expensive day!

Ayr Tips

13:30 – 6f Scotty Brand Handicap (Class 4)

MR WAGYU (2 point win bet at 10/1) was tipped up to win over this course and distance last month but agonisingly lost out in a photo finish. A line can be drawn through his disappointing effort on soft ground at Redcar a few days later, and he is taken to bounce back today. The return to Ayr, where he has recorded form figures of 1312 so far this season, is a big positive, and his current handicap mark of 73 is still well below the rating of 80 that he won off in this grade in 2018. The excellent Jason Hart returns to the saddle, and I expect him to adopt the usual front running tactics from a good draw in stall five.

14:40 – 7f Branding Hub Handicap (Div II) (Class 6)

Michael Dods looks to have found a very good opportunity for INDUCTIVE (NAP – 2 point win bet at 4/1) to record a fourth career success. Having been beaten by just a head at Catterick back in July, this son of Canford Cliffs has gone on to win two of his four starts since with both of those victories coming over this course and distance. His two defeats in that period both came on testing ground, but he looks set to encounter a much more suitable surface today. Despite conditions being softer than ideal, he finished a respectable fourth last time out and goes off the same handicap mark today. He should relish this return to Ayr and drops back into Class 6 company. A convincing two-length winner on his last visit here, he remains open to more improvement on what will be just his ninth start on turf.

Tip

13:30 Ayr
Mr Wagyu silk

Mr Wagyu

lost

Tip

14:40 Ayr
Inductive silk

Inductive

placed
Chris Baker's P&L

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