Longshot Ted: Take a flyer on Pirate in BetVictor Gold Cup

avatar
The BetVictor Gold Cup is one of the biggest handicap races of the entire season.
The BetVictor Gold Cup is one of the biggest handicap races of the entire season.

We're teaming up with Ed Quigley for the 2019/20 National Hunt season, who will be running the rule on the big Saturday handicap races for us each week, as well as building an ante-post portfolio to boot. First up is the small matter of the BetVictor Gold Cup at Cheltenham, one of the biggest handicaps of the entire season...

The feature race of Cheltenham's November Meeting is the BetVictor Gold Cup, and as ever this looks an ultra-competitive renewal. Slate House heads the market as a general 5/1 shot, and looks a worthy market leader to land the Prestbury Park showpiece based on the way in which he pulverised a decent field on his seasonal reappearance at this venue last month. He was extremely impressive in going about his business, and the issues he has had over the last year or so, on that evidence at least, look behind him for now. You could take the view that he was possibly flattered by that performance, as the race fell apart on what was fairly testing ground, and now has much more on his plate off a mark off a 12 lb higher mark of 147. On balance though, I think he is the one they all have to beat. 

Horse Racing £20 FREE Exchange Bet

New customers only, bet up to £20 on the Exchange and if your first bet loses, we’ll refund you £20 in Cash. Bet must be placed in first 7 days of account opening. T&Cs apply.

Us And Them is another that makes my shortlist, and I do think he will come into his own over this intermediate trip. He shaped on more than one occasion last season that this extra distance should benefit, and although he appears a bit of a slow burner, but I think he could be a live Ryanair Chase candidate by March. He should strip a lot fitter for his outing in a Grade 2 at Gowran Park last month, when third behind Snow Falcon, and with a more efficient round of jumping I think he will be right in the mix this Saturday off 152.

Others to note include Festival winner Siruh Du Lac who commands plenty of respect, as does Spiritofthegames given his excellent record when fresh. However, the horse I am taking a chance with here on value grounds is the Jonjo O'Neill-trained SKY PIRATE, who I think off a mark of 132 could upset the apple cart. He is currently number 23 on the list, but he could just end up sneaking in here off bottom weight. As a maiden over the bigger obstacles and with recent form figures of 2F47-F, it doesn't get you doing cartwheels of excitement, but then simultaneously I don't think it tells the whole story. Arriving here on the back of a fall isn't ideal, but he was tanking when crashing out four flights from home at Wetherby last time out, so in that sense it has done him a favour as it has protected his mark.

If you go back to his Kim Muir run he jumped and travelled superbly on tiring ground, before the petrol light came on as he turned into the home straight of that three and a quarter mile contest, and at this meeting 12 months ago he crashed out two from home when holding every chance. He clearly comes with risks attached, but I think over this distance he will prove a lot more effective, and at 25/1 it is cheap to roll the dice. As long as ground conditions don't become bottomless I wouldn't be at all surprised if he massively out-ran his odds. O'Neill has trained the winner of this contest three times and could easily add to that tally here.

Advice: Sky Pirate - 1pt e/w at 25/1 (general)

*NB - Sky Pirate is a non-runner, having been taken out on account of the ground on Thursday morning.

Tip

BetVictor Gold Cup
Sky Pirate silk

Sky Pirate (EW)

Today's Racing Tips
£20 Risk Free First bet
Limited to one per person. If you’ve previously had a Paddy Power account, you will not qualify for the offer. Place your FIRST bet on any Sportsbook market and if it loses we will refund your stake in CASH. Max refund for this offer is  £20. Only deposits made using Cards or Paypal will qualify for this promotion. Paddy's Rewards Club: Get a  £10 free bet when you place 5x bets of  £10+. T&C's apply, 18+ begambleaware.org.
Bet £10 Get £30 in Free Bets
New customers using Promo Code P30 only, min £10/€10 stake, min odds 1/2, free bets paid as 2 x £15/€15 (30 days expiry), free bet/payment method/player/country restrictions apply. T&C's apply, 18+ begambleaware.org
Welcome Offer
Up to £100 in Bet Credits for new customers at bet365. Min deposit £5 and 1x settled bet requirement to release Bet Credits. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&C's apply, 18+ begambleaware.org.
Bet £10 Get £30 + 30 Free Spins
You must stake £10 or more at single/cumulative odds of Evens (2.0) or greater on your first bet. Free bet balance of £30 credited within 48 hours of your first bet being settled. Free Bets expire after 7 days. E-Wallet restrictions apply. Minimum 5 game rounds. Game restrictions apply. Maximum 30 Free Spins on selected games. Free Spins expire after 7 days. T&C's apply, 18+ begambleaware.org
Bet £5 Get £30
New Customers only. Deposit and place a £5 qualifying bet at odds of 2.00 or greater within 7 days of opening a new account; excludes cashed out bets. Receive 2x £10 Free Sports Bets, valid on set events only at odds 2.00 or greater, expires in 7 days, plus a £10 Casino Bonus, expires in 7 days. Wager the Casino Bonus 35x to withdraw winnings. Credit/Debit card deposits only. Geographical Restrictions and T&Cs Apply. Please Gamble Responsibly
Bet £10 Get £40
New customers only – £10 deposit using promo code "FOOTBALL" or "RACING"- First bet must be placed on any market - Minimum stake £10 at odds of 1/2 (1.5) - Free bets credited upon qualifying bet settlement and expire after 7 days - Free bet stakes not included in returns - Deposit balance is available for withdrawal at any time. General deposit method & withdrawal restrictions apply & Full T&C’s apply. 18+ begambleaware.org
Free £20 Exchange Bet
New customers only, bet up to €/£20 on the Exchange and if your first bet loses, we’ll refund you €/£20 in Cash. Bet must be placed in first 7 days of account opening. T&Cs apply, 18+ begambleaware.org
Up to £30 in Free Bets
New UK & Ireland Customers Only. Min Deposit: £/€10. 1 x wagering at odds of 1.75+ to unlock Free Bet. Credit Card, Debit Card & PayPal deposits only. T&C's apply, 18+ begambleaware.org
Bet £10 on Football & Get £30 Bonus + £10 Casino Bonus
New customers only. 18+, BeGambleAware.org. Minimum deposit £10. UK customers only. Place a £10+ bet on football of odds 1/1 (2.00) or greater to receive your 3x£10 in football free bets. Free bets will expire 7 days after your qualifying bet is settled. £10 Casino bonus will be credited the next working day after you have deposited. Casino bonus must be wagered at least 35x before any withdrawals can take place. T&C's apply, 18+ begambleaware.org
£25 Bet Bundle
18+ T&Cs apply. Cash stakes only. Min £10 stake required for initial £5 free bet. Min odds ½. Max £25 in free bets. Subsequent free bets equal 50% average of each 3 qualifying bets. 13 bets required to receive full £25 free bet. Qualifying bet must be placed within 30 days of opening account. Free bet expires after 7 days. Payment method restrictions apply. ** **18+. UK/IRE customers only. Max refund £20. Win or win part of e/w outright singles only. Min field size required. 1st bet on each race. Free bet expires after 7 days. Ante post bets after 9am 5/3/2019 qualify. Free/void bets don’t qualify. T&Cs apply.