Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe Tips: Snowfall Profile

Snowfall will look to bounce back from recent defeat in the Prix Vermille.
Snowfall will look to bounce back from recent defeat in the Prix Vermille.

Joe Tuffin profiles Oaks winner Snowfall, who until very recently was the one they all had to beat in the Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe

Snowfall

  •  Age: 3
  • Races: 12
  • Wins: 5
  • Trainer: Aidan O’Brien
  • Jockey: Ryan Moore
  • Owner: Ballydoyle
  • Notable Race Wins: The Oaks (2021), The Irish Oaks (2021), Yorkshire Oaks (2021)

Career record

A slow starter to her career, Snowfall, rather unusually for an Aidan O’Brien trained star, was thoroughly tried and tested at two-years-old without much success, winning on only one occasion from seven starts. So poor was her form in fact, that her final start of her debut season saw her beaten 12-lengths at 50/1 in the Group 1 Fillies’ Mile - hardly the form of a future Arc winner.

But her three-year-old season saw a drastic change in ability and fortunes, with the filly seemingly a different animal to the year prior (with no case of misidentification on this occasion).

Starting her year at York for the Group 3 Musidora Stakes as an unfancied 14/1 chance against the-then Oaks favourite Noon Star and Teona, Snowfall set the tone for how the remainder of the year would go, hitting the front and staying on strongly to claim her first Group level success.

She went straight to the Oaks from here, and ended up pulverising her opponents in a record breaking 16-length win - which duly, and correctly, installed her as the favourite for the Arc. Comparisons to Enable were already being drawn, and a second Classic in the Irish Oaks only furthered her lofty reputation. The well trodden path of Oaks-Irish Oaks-Yorkshire Oaks was taken with ease before a final Arc prep race was pencilled in the Prix Vermeille over the Arc course & distance.

This is where the big question mark comes in however, with Snowfall suffering her first loss as a three-year-old to the hands of Teona as the 5/1-on favourite. There wasn’t much to go in terms of excuses either, and it did give off the vibes that what she had been facing wasn’t the highest standard and a true test, such as the Arc, would find her out. As a result of this she fell down the betting and is now the current fourth favourite for the showpiece event. 

Positives

Record breaking Group 1 form: Her Oaks win really was most impressive. Stretching clear of her rivals to win by 16-lengths, the only one in the frame as she crossed the line. That sort of stuff simply does not happen in Classics, and it takes a very special horse to do it. She showed it was no fluke by dotting up by eight-and-a-half lengths in the Irish equivalent next time out also, so there’s a lot to like going off that form alone - though the depth of it could be questioned.

Star connections: We’re used to seeing the two names of Aidan O’Brien and Ryan Moore at the top of the market for a big Group 1 so we should know not to ignore it. Both have won the Arc twice, once together with Found in 2016, and we know this is the best chance of Ballydoyle success.

Weight & Fillies’ allowance: ​​Very simply, she is the lightest in the field by some margin. Claiming both the 6lb three-year-old allowance and the 3lb Fillies’ allowance leaves her on a very appealing 8st9lb - the only in the field to carry that weight. Combine her class with this significant advantage and she could be a scary prospect.

Negatives

Beaten last time out: As previously said, she could not maintain her unbeaten record last time out and lost to Teona in the Prix Vermeille, who she’ll have to oppose again. Was she an early season three-year-old, did something go wrong we don’t know about? Whatever it is, she’ll have to put that behind her an be a lot better if she’s to win the Arc.

How will Snowfall fare in the Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe?

What to make of Snowfall’s chances. Well, going off the start of the year, she looked home and hosed as the Arc winner, but the decreasing wow factor of her wins against potentially less than world class opponents, topped with a loss last time out has left her a bit astray in the market. This will easily be her toughest assignment to date, and while she has plenty of positives - namely her weight - she could be found struggling a bit and should possibly be a bit bigger than 5/1

Verdict: Point to prove.

2021 Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe Odds
Advert Disclaimer
Horseracing.net is a free online resource which endeavour to provide helpful and useful content and odds comparison to its visitors. Please be advised that Horseracing.net accepts affiliate commission from the companies appearing on the site, and agreed commission levels impact the location and order in which the companies (and/or their products) are presented on the website. Any ratings that appear on this site is determined by our subjective opinion of the brand but also based on market share and reputation, each brand's conversion rates, commission paid to us and general consumer interest. Company listings on this page don't imply our endorsement. We do not feature all providers on the market. Except as expressly set forth in our terms and conditions, all statements and warranties regarding the information presented on this page are disclaimed. The information, including odds, which appear on this site is subject to change at any time.

Bet £10 Get £30 In Free Bets

#AD 18+. Play Safe. New customers using Promo code H30 only, Min £10/€10 stake,  min odds 1/2, free bets paid as 2 x £15/€15, free bets credited after  settlement of first qualifying bet, free bets will expire 30 days after  the qualifying bet is placed, payment method/player/country restrictions apply.
Bet £10 Get £30 Free Bets (APP Only)
#AD New UK, IE & Malta customers only. 18+. Min £10/€10 first deposit using Debit Card or Trustly. Place a bet of £10 at min odds of 1.5. Free bets expire in 90 days. Full T&Cs apply.
Welcome Offer
#AD Bet £10 & Get £50 in Free Bets for new customers at bet365. Min deposit requirement. Free Bets are paid as Bet Credits and are available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply.
Bet £10 Get £60 in Bonuses
#AD New UK customers only. Register using the promo code BETFRED60, deposit and place first bet of £10+ on Sports (cumulative Evens+) within 7 days of registration. First bet must be on Sports. £20 in Free Bets to be used on Sports, £10 in Free Bets to be used on Lotto and 50 Free Spins (20p per spin) credited within 48 hours of bet settlement. Further £20 in Free Bets credited 5 days after settlement. Bonuses have a 7-day expiry. Payment restrictions apply. SMS verification and/or Proof of I.D and address may be required. Full T&Cs apply.
Bet £20 & Get It Back As CASH If It Loses
#AD New customers only. Place your FIRST bet on any Horse Racing market and if it loses we will refund your stake in CASH. Max refund for this offer is £20. Only deposits made using cards will qualify for this promotion. T&Cs apply.
Money Back As Cash Up To £20
#AD Max £20 refund on first bet. Bet must be placed in first 7 days of account opening. Only deposits made via Debit Card will be eligible for the promotion. T&Cs apply. 18+ begambleaware.org
Bet £10 Get £30 Free Bets + £10 Casino Bonus
#AD Minimum deposit of £10 using deposit code 30F - A qualifying bet is a ‘real money’ stake of at least £10 placed on any sports market - Minimum odds of 1/2 (1.5) - Free bets credited upon qualifying bet settlement and expire after 7 days - Free bet stakes not included in returns - Casino Bonus must be claimed within 7 days • To withdraw bonus/related wins, wager bonus amount x40 within 14 days • Wagering req. vary by game • Withdrawal restrictions and Full T&C’s apply. 18+ begambleaware.org
£41 In Bonuses
#AD Place a £25 fixed odds bet at minimum odds of 1/2. Get 5 x £5 free fixed odds bets + 2 x £5 free Winning Favs spread bets + 50 spins on Starburst + a £1 Race Index spread bet. Free bets and spins must be claimed within 28 days of opening. Free bet/spin stake not included in any winnings. Ts&Cs Apply. 18+ begambleaware.org
Bet £10 Get £20 In Free Bets
#AD Min stake £10. Min odds 1/2 (1.5). First bet only. Free bets expire in 7 days. Cashed out bets won’t apply. Payment method restrictions. Online UK customers only. 30 days to qualify for £20 in Free Bets. 18+. T&Cs apply
£25 Free Bet + 10 Free Spins
If your account has Sportsbook losses at the end of your first day's betting, QuinnBet will refund 50% of your losses as a Free Bet up to £25 (min 3 bets) Plus 10 Free Spins on Asgard Warriors. Even if your account is up, you're guaranteed a £5 Free Bet Plus 10 Free Spins provided you place at least 1 bet of £10 or greater at the minimum odds. T&Cs apply | 18+ New UK Customers Only | BeGambleAware.org
Latest racing results
Sligo
20:30
1stGinnets Girl
2ndWestern Comandor
3rdSean Og
Worcester
20:10
1stSheila Nash
2ndKapitaliste
3rdMr Craftsman
Sligo
20:00
1stHascoeur Clermont
2ndFrazel Express
3rdI Don't Get It
View All Today's Results