Chris Baker: Liamba to deliver at Southwell

Chris Baker's three selections all race at Southwell on Tuesday
Chris Baker's three selections all race at Southwell on Tuesday

Both of yesterday’s selections were placed resulting in a two point loss. Mount Wellington (NAP) looked like an unlucky loser in third as he was denied a clear run, whilst Solar Heights couldn’t quite last home. Both are worth keeping an eye on over the next few weeks.

I’ve picked out three bets for this evening’s racing at Southwell. Good luck if you decide to follow.

Chris Baker's P&L

Southwell Tips

David O’Meara is operating at a 42% strike-rate with his runners over the past fortnight, and his five-year-old mare LIAMBA (NAP at 7/2) goes for a hat-trick at 17:25 following consecutive victories over this course and distance. In all, she’s won three and been placed in seven of her 12 previous starts at Southwell, so she clearly relishes the Fibresand surface. The form of her last win is working out well, so a 2lb rise looks fair.  

I’m siding with another course specialist at 18:55. Trainer Scott Dixon is now based at Southwell Racecourse, so his horses are very familiar with the Fibresand surface. One of his most consistent performers is BREAK THE SILENCE (5/1), who has finished in the first three in 11 of his last 14 All-Weather starts. Three of those runs have resulted in wins - all over this course and distance and including two starts back. He also won here in 2018 and has beaten several of today’s rivals on numerous occasions. He can be forgiven his defeat here last time out as he missed the break before finishing fourth behind a horse that has won again since.

I’m taking a chance on ETERNAL SUN (EW at 25/1) in the last race on the card at 19:25. Ivan Furtado’s runner finds herself well-handicapped following eight defeats in a row. She’s been dropped 3lbs since her last run, which puts her 4lbs below her last winning mark of 71.  That came over this course and distance, and she has also been placed twice here at Southwell off higher marks. She should be well suited by this return to the minimum trip.


17:25 Southwell
Liamba silk




18:55 Southwell
Break The Silence silk

Break The Silence



19:25 Southwell
Eternal Sun silk

Eternal Sun (EW)

Today's Racecards
£20 Risk Free First bet
Limited to one per person. If you’ve previously had a Paddy Power account, you will not qualify for the offer. Place your FIRST bet on any Sportsbook market and if it loses we will refund your stake in CASH. Max refund for this offer is  £20. Only deposits made using Cards or Paypal will qualify for this promotion. Paddy's Rewards Club: Get a  £10 free bet when you place 5x bets of  £10+. T&C's apply, 18+
Bet £10 Get £30 in Free Bets
New customers using Promo Code P30 only, min £10/€10 stake, min odds 1/2, free bets paid as 2 x £15/€15 (30 days expiry), free bet/payment method/player/country restrictions apply. T&C's apply, 18+
Welcome Offer
Up to £100 in Bet Credits for new customers at bet365. Min deposit £5 and 1x settled bet requirement to release Bet Credits. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&C's apply, 18+
Bet £10 Get £30 + 30 Free Spins
You must stake £10 or more at single/cumulative odds of Evens (2.0) or greater on your first bet. Free bet balance of £30 credited within 48 hours of your first bet being settled. Free Bets expire after 7 days. E-Wallet restrictions apply. Minimum 5 game rounds. Game restrictions apply. Maximum 30 Free Spins on selected games. Free Spins expire after 7 days. T&C's apply, 18+
Bet £5 Get £30
New Customers only. Deposit and place a £5 qualifying bet at odds of 2.00 or greater within 7 days of opening a new account; excludes cashed out bets. Receive 2x £10 Free Sports Bets, valid on set events only at odds 2.00 or greater, expires in 7 days, plus a £10 Casino Bonus, expires in 7 days. Wager the Casino Bonus 35x to withdraw winnings. Credit/Debit card deposits only. Geographical Restrictions and T&Cs Apply. Please Gamble Responsibly
Bet £10 Get £40
New customers only – £10 deposit using promo code "FOOTBALL" or "RACING"- First bet must be placed on any market - Minimum stake £10 at odds of 1/2 (1.5) - Free bets credited upon qualifying bet settlement and expire after 7 days - Free bet stakes not included in returns - Deposit balance is available for withdrawal at any time. General deposit method & withdrawal restrictions apply & Full T&C’s apply. 18+
Free £20 Exchange Bet
New customers only, bet up to €/£20 on the Exchange and if your first bet loses, we’ll refund you €/£20 in Cash. Bet must be placed in first 7 days of account opening. T&Cs apply, 18+
Up to £30 in Free Bets
New UK & Ireland Customers Only. Min Deposit: £/€10. 1 x wagering at odds of 1.75+ to unlock Free Bet. Credit Card, Debit Card & PayPal deposits only. T&C's apply, 18+
Bet £10 on Football & Get £30 Bonus + £10 Casino Bonus
New customers only. 18+, Minimum deposit £10. UK customers only. Place a £10+ bet on football of odds 1/1 (2.00) or greater to receive your 3x£10 in football free bets. Free bets will expire 7 days after your qualifying bet is settled. £10 Casino bonus will be credited the next working day after you have deposited. Casino bonus must be wagered at least 35x before any withdrawals can take place. T&C's apply, 18+
£25 Bet Bundle
18+ T&Cs apply. Cash stakes only. Min £10 stake required for initial £5 free bet. Min odds ½. Max £25 in free bets. Subsequent free bets equal 50% average of each 3 qualifying bets. 13 bets required to receive full £25 free bet. Qualifying bet must be placed within 30 days of opening account. Free bet expires after 7 days. Payment method restrictions apply. ** **18+. UK/IRE customers only. Max refund £20. Win or win part of e/w outright singles only. Min field size required. 1st bet on each race. Free bet expires after 7 days. Ante post bets after 9am 5/3/2019 qualify. Free/void bets don’t qualify. T&Cs apply.