Horse Racing Tips: Skelton Newbury Raider Well Fancied
After a wonderful Cheltenham, will the Skelton team have more success today at Newbury?
The flat is back this weekend with the Lincoln at Doncaster, but before that we have a decent Friday full of racing to enjoy. Here we take a look through the Naps, stats and racing news before the weekend begins...
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Follow The Leaders
We have to wait for the very last race of the day for the Naps table leader Brian Flanagan's selection, PALACE ROCK in the 20:30 at Dundalk. Francis Casey's C&D winner wore cheekpieces for the first time last time out here a fortnight ago and they seemed to do the trick, with the gelding much more attuned to his job and travelling quite well through the race.
He is on a fair mark to go a few places better today and could be an attractive each-way bet for those who fancy that.
West Country remain in second place and they are off to Newbury to the stacked card for their Nap. At 15:00, Nigel Twiston Davies sends THE NEWEST ONE here with son Sam in the saddle and on the back of his third in the River Don last time out, he is definitely the form pick in the race if he runs well fresh (he has been off over 50 days).
Finally, Matt Polley has usurped Spotlight in third in the standings and he has given his vote of confidence to course winner MUMCAT in the 19:45 at Newcastle. This horse is hardly prolific, but he interestingly does have blinkers on for the first time here and at a tasty price he could spring a bit of a surprise in what is a winnable race.
- Brian Flanagan - Palace Rock - 20:30 Dundalk - P&L: £12.29
- West Country - The Newest One - 15:00 Newbury - P&L: £10.85
- Matt Polley - Mumcat - 19:45 Newcastle - P&L: £3.54
Friday's Most Popular Naps
Interestingly, the two most popular Naps of the day come in the same race at Newbury today. With six votes, the most popular choice as the best bet is DOYEN QUEST in the 15:33. Dan Skelton sends this one out with brother Harry in the plate and after finishing at Taunton last time out 11 days ago, he is effectively 6lbs well in for this contest.
It looks another smart bit of placing from Britain's best team at Cheltenham this year and he can make his presence felt.
With four votes as the best bet of the day, the chief market rival to Doyen Quest in the 15:33 DAVID'S WELL is today's second most popular choice for the best bet. His claims are not quite as obvious as those of the favourite, however Chris Gordon's charge is still only five and must have plenty of improvement in him. He finished a good fifth in a novice race here before claiming victory at Plumpton and will be one of the rivals Dan Skelton is most concerned about.
Finally, a couple of horses have been Napped up by three experts respectively. Firstly, in the 14:50 at Hexham WALK MY WAY for Micky Hammond is well supported, while later on at Newcastle in the 18:45 STREAK LIGHTNING for Ruth Carr also has three pundits siding with him as the best bet of the day.
How About Stat?
Rose Dobbin tops today's longest traveller list, with her charge in the 16:43 at Newbury travelling a whopping 347 miles south. This is the stable's only runner there of the day so let's hope they plunder some prize money to make the long drive home more cheerful.
Hot Trainers
Trainers with the best strike rate from at least 2 wins in the last 14 days.
| trainer | strike rate |
|---|---|
|
Bryan Smart
Wins: 2
Runs: 4
|
50% |
|
Ben Clarke
Wins: 2
Runs: 5
|
40% |
|
Iain Jardine
Wins: 2
Runs: 5
|
40% |
|
M D O'Callaghan
Wins: 3
Runs: 8
|
38% |
|
Ben Pauling
Wins: 8
Runs: 23
|
35% |
|
Emma Lavelle
Wins: 3
Runs: 10
|
30% |
|
Philip Hobbs & Johnson White
Wins: 3
Runs: 11
|
27% |
|
Robert Walford
Wins: 3
Runs: 11
|
27% |
|
James Owen
Wins: 9
Runs: 35
|
26% |
|
Grant Tuer
Wins: 2
Runs: 8
|
25% |
|
Jamie Snowden
Wins: 2
Runs: 8
|
25% |
|
Ruth Carr
Wins: 3
Runs: 12
|
25% |
Hot Jockeys
Jockeys with the best strike rate from at least 3 wins in the last 14 days.
| jockey | strike rate |
|---|---|
|
Ben Jones
Wins: 10
Runs: 21
|
48% |
|
Bryan Carver
Wins: 3
Runs: 7
|
43% |
|
Harry Cobden
Wins: 8
Runs: 20
|
40% |
|
Richard Patrick
Wins: 4
Runs: 13
|
31% |
|
Harry Kimber
Wins: 4
Runs: 13
|
31% |
|
Micheal Nolan
Wins: 3
Runs: 10
|
30% |
|
Aiden Brookes
Wins: 3
Runs: 10
|
30% |
|
Sean D Bowen
Wins: 4
Runs: 15
|
27% |
|
Hector Crouch
Wins: 6
Runs: 25
|
24% |
Top Course Jockeys
Jockeys with the best strike rate from at least 3 course wins.
| jockey | strike rate |
|---|---|
| Finley Marsh | 50% |
| Mr B O'Neill | 38% |
| Mr P W Mullins | 35% |
| Charlie Hammond | 33% |
| Jack Kennedy | 31% |
| Mr R W Barron | 31% |
| Harry Cobden | 30% |
| Jonjo O'Neill Jr | 26% |
| Sam Twiston-Davies | 23% |
| David Bass | 21% |
| Rex Dingle | 20% |
Top Course Trainers
Trainers with the best strike rate from at least 3 course wins.
| trainer | strike rate |
|---|---|
| Jonjo & A J O'Neill | 38% |
| W P Mullins | 35% |
| Simon Pearce | 33% |
| Jonathan Sweeney | 33% |
| Anthony Honeyball | 28% |
| Oliver Signy | 28% |
| P M J Doyle | 27% |
| Paul Nicholls | 27% |
| Gordon Elliott | 24% |
| Harry Fry | 23% |
| George Boughey | 22% |
| Ben Pauling | 21% |
| Joseph Patrick O'Brien | 21% |
Longest Travellers
Trainers/horses covering the longest distance to the racecourse today.
| runner | odds |
|---|---|
|
15/8 |
|
|
4/1 |
|
|
5/1 |
|
|
6/1 |
|
|
125/1 |
|
|
9/2 |
|
|
34/1 |
|
|
18/5 |
|
|
12/1 |
|
|
7/1 |
|
|
13/1 |
|
|
9/2 |
|
|
6/1 |
Top Trainer/Jockey Combo's
First Run After Wind Op
Horses running for the first time after wind surgery.
| runner | odds |
|---|---|
|
Trainer:
Richard J Bandey
Race:
Wincanton 16:50
|
12/1 |
|
Trainer:
Michael Dods
Race:
Newcastle 18:00
|
12/1 |
Course & Distance Winners
Horses that have previously won over course and distance.
ADD ALL SELECTIONS TO BET365 BETSLIP
First Time Blinkers
Horses wearing blinkers for the first time.
| runner | odds |
|---|---|
|
Trainer:
Philip Hobbs & Johnson White
Race:
Wincanton 14:20
|
100/30 |
|
Trainer:
David Harry Kelly
Race:
Thurles 16:30
|
140/1 |
|
Trainer:
Sam England
Race:
Newcastle 18:00
|
15/2 |
First Time Hood
Horses wearing a hood for the first time.
| runner | odds |
|---|---|
|
Trainer:
David Pipe
Race:
Fontwell 14:10
|
270/1 |
|
Trainer:
Gordon Michael Doyle
Race:
Thurles 16:00
|
100/1 |
|
Trainer:
Martin Paul Fitzgerald
Race:
Thurles 17:35
|
200/1 |
|
Trainer:
Patrick J Flynn
Race:
Thurles 17:35
|
150/1 |
|
Trainer:
M D O'Callaghan
Race:
Thurles 17:35
|
SP |
|
Trainer:
Edward F Power
Race:
Thurles 17:35
|
25/1 |
First Time Tongue Strap
Horses wearing a tongue strap for the first time.
| runner | odds |
|---|---|
|
Trainer:
Anthony Honeyball
Race:
Fontwell 14:10
|
32/1 |
|
Trainer:
Gary & Josh Moore
Race:
Fontwell 15:40
|
16/1 |
|
Trainer:
Gordon Michael Doyle
Race:
Thurles 16:00
|
100/1 |
|
Trainer:
Anthony Honeyball
Race:
Fontwell 16:10
|
SP |
|
Trainer:
Gordon Elliott
Race:
Thurles 16:30
|
17/2 |
|
Trainer:
Jeremy Scott
Race:
Wincanton 16:50
|
14/5 |
|
Trainer:
John Joseph Hanlon
Race:
Thurles 17:35
|
200/1 |
|
Trainer:
Mrs Julie Cashin
Race:
Thurles 17:35
|
100/1 |
|
Trainer:
David O'Meara
Race:
Newcastle 20:30
|
36/1 |
First Time Visor
Horses wearing a visor for the first time.
| runner | odds |
|---|---|
|
Trainer:
Declan Queally
Race:
Thurles 14:30
|
3/1 |
|
Trainer:
Patrick Cronin
Race:
Thurles 16:00
|
22/1 |
|
Trainer:
Denis Quinn
Race:
Newcastle 20:00
|
34/1 |
Racing News Round-Up
- Chazzesemee well backed for history bid - Fozzy Stack's Irish Lincolnshire winner Chazzesmee has been well backed all week for the English equivalent at Doncaster and is now favourite in places. He would make history if completing the double.
- Newbury battle awaits - The Trainers Championship could well go down to the wire this season and Paul Nicholls and Dan Skelton collide at Newbury today in a number of the races. How will the scoreboard look come close of play today?
- Cieren Fallon returns today - After a freak stalls injury , Cieren Fallon returns to the saddle today at Lingfield today after nearly four months out. He is freelance this season and will be hoping for plenty of support.
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#AD 18+ GambleAware.org. New GB customers only. Min £20 debit card deposit. Place a £20+ bet on Horse Racing at min odds 2/5 (1.4) each leg. Receive 2 x £10 free bets within 24 hours of bet settlement, and further 2 x £10 free bets 7 days later. Valid for Horse Racing only. T&C’s apply.
Bet £10 Get £30 In Free Bets
18+. Play Safe. From 00:01 on 18.10.2022. £30 bonus. New customers only. Minimum £10 stake on odds of 1/2 (1.5) or greater on sportsbook (excluding Virtual markets). Further terms apply. #ad
Bet £10 Get £30 Free Bet
New Players Only. Minimum stake £ 30, minimum odds 1.5, stake not returned. 1X wagering the winnings from the free bet. Wagering occurs from real balance first. Wagering requirement is calculated on bonus bets only, wagering starts from real funds. Free bet is valid for 7 Days from issue. Max conversion: £200. Withdrawal requests void all active/pending bonuses. Limited to 1 sport & 5 casino brand/s within the network. Withdrawal requests void all active/pending bonuses. Excluded Skrill and Neteller deposits.Full Terms apply.
Bet £10 Get £60 In Free Bets
#AD 18+ New UK customers only, Place a £10 fixed odds bet at minimum odds of 1/2 and get 3 x £10 free fixed odds bets, 3 x £5 Total Goals football spread bets and 3 x £5 Winning Favourites spread bets on consecutive days and a £1 racing Race Index spread bet. The promotion will run from 11th March 2025 until discontinued by Spreadex Ltd. using its reasonable discretion, (“Promotion Period”). Offer can only be used once per customer. Full T&Cs apply
100% Up To £50 Welcome Bonus
#AD 18+ New bettors; Code SPORT; Wager deposit & bonus 8x; Max qualifying bet stake=initial bonus; Valid 60 days; Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply; T&C apply. GambleAware.org
10% Cashback Daily
#AD 18+ UK Customers – Get 10% cashback on losses daily. Min bet £10. Cashback starts from your first completed deposit; future deposits add to the total, withdrawals deduct from it. Available to activate 24hrs after first deposit, if all deposits lost and no pending withdrawal. Claimable if balance is under £10. Full T&Cs and Bonus T&Cs apply. GambleAware.org.
Bet £10 Get £30 Free Bet
#AD 18+ GambleAware.org New Players Only. Min £10 qualifying bets stake not returned. Free bet - one-time stake of £30, min odds 1.5, stake not returned. 1X wager the winnings. Wager from real balance first. Wager calculated on bonus bets only. Max conversion: £200. Valid for 7 Days from issue. Withdrawal requests void all active/pending bonuses. Excluded Skrill and Neteller deposits. T&Cs: https://www.jeffbet.com/terms-and-conditions/?tracker=227000&dynamic=779ga1083cidpidaffid597
Bet £20 Get £30 In Free Bets
#AD 18+ New Players Only. Free bet - one-time stake of £30, min odds 1.5, stake not returned. 1X wager the winnings. Wager from real balance first. Wager calculated on bonus bets only. Max conversion: £200. Valid for 7 Days from receipt or from free spins: £20. Limited to 1 sport & 5 casino brand/s within the network. Withdrawal requests void all active/pending bonuses. Excluded Skrill and Neteller deposits. Full Terms Apply.
Bet £10 Get £30 Free Bet
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Withdrawals In Seconds
#AD T&C's Apply | 18+ | Gambleaware.org
Bet £15 Get £10 Free Bet
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Deposit £10 & Get £10 Free Bet
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