Horse Racing Tips: Saffie On The Spotlight Nap
A new week is here and there is a new leader in the Naps table! The cold weather has mercifully subsided and as such we have a day with no abandonments and four fixtures to enjoy. Here we take a look at the most popular Naps of the day, the Naps table leaders' picks and one of the most eye-catching stats of the day - as well as giving you all the big weekend news...
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Monday's Most Popular Naps
With four fixtures to go at rather than just one or two due to the weather last week, there is a wider spread of Naps in the leaderboard than we had become used to. Three horses have been chosen as the best bet by three experts, with the first off being in the 14:15 at Plumpton for Jamie Snowden and Gavin Sheehan IDY WOOD. The horse is an even money chance with BetMGM at the time of writing, and has outstanding claims of making amends for a shock defeat at 1/6 last time out at Hexham.
On the surface losing at those odds is disappointing, however he did only go down a neck and the leading duo pulled 10 lengths clear. Idy Wood also lost a shoe in the last stages of the race which may well have cost him, and the winner could yet prove to be useful. He looks rock solid in this contest if running to that level or to the level of his second in a Cheltenham Grade 2. Lambourn of the Racing Post is the most profitable expert to select him as the Nap.
Next up in the 15:00 at Kempton comes another favourite with three expert votes behind her, CLOUD COVER. Rossa Ryan is in the plate for James Tate on this Night Of Thunder filly and she undoubtedly sets the standard as a C&D winner. Marlborough of the Daily Telegraph is the most profitable tipster to be siding with Tate's charge. Finally, Jim Goldie and Paul Mulrennan team up for the third Nap with three votes and this is the biggest price of the trio - although not by much. The gelding runs in the 16:25 at Newcastle, BONITO CAVALO and is a 13/8 chance at the time of writing. He finally got off the mark last time out a fortnight ago and while the weak expected pace in this race is a concern for this hold up horse, he is clearly in rude health.
Follow The Leaders
Spotlight has recently taken the pole position from The Punt of The Racing Post, with just under £2 worth of profit separating the pair. Today they take on one of the most popular Naps in Cloud Cover with CUE'S BEAU, the second favourite who is set to be ridden by Saffie Osborne for Ed Dunlop. The top Racing League jockey of the past winter's ride is back from an eight month break and is very interesting on handicap debut, but it will take a smart performance to beat the in-form favourite.
The Punt will not overtake Spotlight even with a win today as TEA CLIPPER, their Nap, is an odds-on poke at Warwick. He is certainly the one to beat stuck into a Hunter's Chase, but is winless since October 2021 so caution may be advised at a price of 4/6. The Irish Sun are in third place with over £12 profit and they are siding with NEY at Newcastle in the 15:50 contest. he has looked the type to relish 2m on the flat with stamina assured from his hurdling days, and he was just a bit taken off his feet over a lesser trip on stable debut a few weeks back. This looks a brilliant opportunity to open his account for his new yard.
- Spotlight - Cue's Beau - Kempton 15:00 - P&L: £16.71
- The Punt - Tea Clipper - Warwick 16:25 - P&L: £14.87
- The Irish Sun - Ney - Newcastle 15:50 - P&L: £12.07
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Stats The Way We Like It!
Epsom trainer Adam West tops the tree of longest travellers today, sending just one horse 308 miles north to Newcastle for the 18:00 contest. DIRE WOLF will fly the flag for the yard in this mile and five handicap and will look to build on a career best success last time out at Lingfield when cruising to glory. A six pound penalty won't help him, but the horse is definitely in fine form...
Hot Trainers
Trainers with the best strike rate from at least 2 wins in the last 14 days.
| trainer | strike rate |
|---|---|
|
Jeremy Scott
Wins: 2
Runs: 4
|
50% |
|
James Owen
Wins: 2
Runs: 4
|
50% |
|
Brian Ellison
Wins: 7
Runs: 16
|
44% |
|
Mel Rowley
Wins: 3
Runs: 7
|
43% |
|
David Killahena & Graeme McPherson
Wins: 2
Runs: 5
|
40% |
|
Gary Brown
Wins: 3
Runs: 8
|
38% |
|
Tom Lacey
Wins: 2
Runs: 6
|
33% |
|
Alice Haynes
Wins: 6
Runs: 18
|
33% |
|
Jonjo O'Neill
Wins: 5
Runs: 16
|
31% |
|
Ruth Carr
Wins: 3
Runs: 11
|
27% |
|
Jack Jones
Wins: 2
Runs: 8
|
25% |
Hot Jockeys
Jockeys with the best strike rate from at least 3 wins in the last 14 days.
| jockey | strike rate |
|---|---|
|
Hayley Turner
Wins: 5
Runs: 12
|
42% |
|
Stan Sheppard
Wins: 3
Runs: 8
|
38% |
|
Billy Garritty
Wins: 4
Runs: 11
|
36% |
|
Daryl Jacob
Wins: 3
Runs: 9
|
33% |
|
Harry Cobden
Wins: 7
Runs: 22
|
32% |
|
Joanna Mason
Wins: 6
Runs: 19
|
32% |
|
James Bowen
Wins: 5
Runs: 16
|
31% |
|
Richie McLernon
Wins: 4
Runs: 15
|
27% |
|
William Pyle
Wins: 3
Runs: 11
|
27% |
|
Jonny Peate
Wins: 3
Runs: 11
|
27% |
|
Kieran O'Neill
Wins: 8
Runs: 31
|
26% |
|
Tom Cannon
Wins: 4
Runs: 18
|
22% |
|
Harry Skelton
Wins: 6
Runs: 27
|
22% |
|
Ryan Sexton
Wins: 3
Runs: 14
|
21% |
|
Gavin Sheehan
Wins: 3
Runs: 15
|
20% |
|
Jack Mitchell
Wins: 5
Runs: 25
|
20% |
Top Course Jockeys
Jockeys with the best strike rate from at least 3 course wins.
| jockey | strike rate |
|---|---|
| Tommie Jakes | 33% |
| Stan Sheppard | 32% |
| Harry Cobden | 31% |
| Jonjo O'Neill Jr | 26% |
| Tom Cannon | 26% |
| Harry Bannister | 24% |
| Freddie Gordon | 24% |
| Harry Skelton | 22% |
| Jonathan Burke | 22% |
| Jack Mitchell | 21% |
| Tom Buckley | 21% |
| Nico de Boinville | 20% |
| Brian Hughes | 20% |
| Nick Scholfield | 20% |
Top Course Trainers
Trainers with the best strike rate from at least 3 course wins.
| trainer | strike rate |
|---|---|
| Donald McCain | 43% |
| Tom Lacey | 30% |
| Nicky Henderson | 28% |
| William Haggas | 27% |
| Anthony Honeyball | 26% |
| Jessica Macey | 24% |
| Lucy Wadham | 24% |
| Joe Tizzard | 24% |
| Chris Gordon | 24% |
| Lydia Richards | 23% |
| Nicky Henderson | 22% |
| Linda Perratt | 21% |
| Jonjo O'Neill | 20% |
| Donald McCain | 20% |
| Dan Skelton | 20% |
Longest Travellers
Trainers/horses covering the longest distance to the racecourse today.
| runner | odds |
|---|---|
Top Trainer/Jockey Combo's
Trainer and jockey combinations with the best course strike rate from at least 3 course wins.
| course | combo % |
|---|---|
| Newcastle | 45% |
| Warwick | 43% |
| Kempton | 38% |
| Kempton | 38% |
| Newcastle | 31% |
| Newcastle | 29% |
| Warwick | 28% |
| Plumpton | 27% |
| Plumpton | 26% |
| Kempton | 25% |
| Newcastle | 24% |
| Warwick | 23% |
| Warwick | 22% |
| Newcastle | 22% |
| Kempton | 22% |
| Newcastle | 20% |
| Plumpton | 20% |
| Kempton | 20% |
| Warwick | 20% |
First Run After Wind Op
Horses running for the first time after wind surgery.
| runner | odds |
|---|---|
|
Trainer:
Alan King
Race:
Plumpton 13:15
|
|
|
Trainer:
Henry Daly
Race:
Warwick 13:35
|
|
|
Trainer:
Toby Lawes
Race:
Plumpton 13:45
|
|
|
Trainer:
Karen Jewell
Race:
Plumpton 13:45
|
|
|
Trainer:
Nicky Henderson
Race:
Warwick 14:05
|
|
|
Trainer:
Warren Greatrex
Race:
Plumpton 14:15
|
|
|
Trainer:
Tony Carroll
Race:
Kempton 14:30
|
|
|
Trainer:
David Pipe
Race:
Plumpton 15:55
|
|
|
Trainer:
Toby Lawes
Race:
Plumpton 15:55
|
|
|
Trainer:
Robert Walford
Race:
Plumpton 15:55
|
|
|
Trainer:
Simon West
Race:
Newcastle 18:00
|
|
|
Trainer:
Roger Fell & Sean Murray
Race:
Newcastle 18:30
|
Course & Distance Winners
Horses that have previously won over course and distance.
First Time Blinkers
Horses wearing blinkers for the first time.
| runner | odds |
|---|---|
|
Trainer:
John Butler
Race:
Kempton 13:00
|
|
|
Trainer:
Ed Dunlop
Race:
Kempton 13:00
|
|
|
Trainer:
P Charalambous & J Clutterbuck
Race:
Kempton 14:30
|
|
|
Trainer:
Neil Mulholland
Race:
Plumpton 15:20
|
|
|
Trainer:
Jamie Osborne
Race:
Kempton 15:35
|
|
|
Trainer:
Richard Spencer
Race:
Kempton 15:35
|
|
|
Trainer:
Ian Williams
Race:
Warwick 15:40
|
|
|
Trainer:
Mrs Sara V Bradstock
Race:
Warwick 16:15
|
|
|
Trainer:
Francesca Poste
Race:
Warwick 16:15
|
First Time Hood
Horses wearing a hood for the first time.
| runner | odds |
|---|---|
|
Trainer:
David & Nicola Barron
Race:
Newcastle 17:30
|
First Time Tongue Strap
Horses wearing a tongue strap for the first time.
| runner | odds |
|---|---|
|
Trainer:
Anthony Honeyball
Race:
Warwick 13:05
|
|
|
Trainer:
Anthony Honeyball
Race:
Warwick 13:05
|
|
|
Trainer:
Karen Jewell
Race:
Plumpton 13:45
|
|
|
Trainer:
Charlie Longsdon
Race:
Warwick 14:05
|
|
|
Trainer:
David Bridgwater
Race:
Plumpton 15:55
|
|
|
Trainer:
Robert Walford
Race:
Plumpton 15:55
|
|
|
Trainer:
William Haggas
Race:
Newcastle 17:00
|
|
|
Trainer:
Phillip Makin
Race:
Newcastle 18:00
|
First Time Visor
Horses wearing a visor for the first time.
| runner | odds |
|---|---|
|
Trainer:
James Owen
Race:
Warwick 15:05
|
|
|
Trainer:
David Bridgwater
Race:
Plumpton 15:55
|
|
|
Trainer:
Phillip Makin
Race:
Newcastle 18:00
|
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Racing News Round-Up
- L'Homme Presse Presses Home Gold Cup Claims - It was brilliant to see L'HOMME PRESSE back in action and in the winner's enclosure yesterday at Lingfield, which saw Venetia Williams' star cut into single figures for the Cheltenham Gold Cup.
- Baaeed's Half Brother To Bounce Back? - WALEEFY was all ends up on debut last time out as evens favourite for William Haggas, but the half brother to the brilliant Baaeed still ran on eye-catching for third and is back in action today in the 17:00 at Newcastle. Will you be backing him to go two places better?
- Allaho Takes Aim At Ryanair Hat-Trick - 2021 and 2022 Ryanair winner Allaho looks primed to attempt to regain his crown from Envoi Allen in the 2023 renewal of the race, after a comfy win in a weak Grade 2 at Thurles on Sunday. He is not the horse of old, but even this veteran Allaho may be too strong for the prospective field.
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#AD Place a £10 fixed odds bet at odds of 1/2 or greater. Qualifying bet cannot be placed in-play or cashed out early. Once the bet is settled, get a £10 free fixed odds bet, a £5 free Total Goals football spread bet, a £5 racing Winning Favourites spread bet and a £1 racing Race Index spread bet. The second £10 free fixed odds bet, £5 free Total Goals football spread bet, and £5 racing Winning Favourites spread bet will be credited 24 hours later. 18+ only. Full Terms & Conditions apply. GambleAware.org
Up to £50 Free Bet + £20 Casino Bonus
#AD New Customers Only. Deposit and bet on any sportsbook markets of your choice at odds of evens (2.00) or greater. Get 50% back of your first days losses as a Free Bet up to £50 plus £20 Casino Bonus. UK 18+ Full T&C apply. Always Gamble Responsibly.
Bet £20 and Get £40 in Free Bets on Racing
#AD 18+ GambleAware.org. New GB customers only. Min £20 debit card deposit. Place a £20+ bet on Horse Racing at min odds 2/5 (1.4) each leg. Receive 2 x £10 free bets within 24 hours of bet settlement, and further 2 x £10 free bets 7 days later. Valid for Horse Racing only. T&C’s apply.
Bet £10 Get £30 In Free Bets
#AD 18+. Play Safe. From 00:01 on 18.10.2022. £30 bonus. New customers only. Minimum £10 stake on odds of 1/2 (1.5) or greater on sportsbook (excluding Virtual markets). Further terms apply. UK and Ireland residents only. Further terms apply. GambleAware.org
Bet £10 Get £30 Free Bet
New Players Only. Minimum stake £ 30, minimum odds 1.5, stake not returned. 1X wagering the winnings from the free bet. Wagering occurs from real balance first. Wagering requirement is calculated on bonus bets only, wagering starts from real funds. Free bet is valid for 7 Days from issue. Max conversion: £200. Withdrawal requests void all active/pending bonuses. Limited to 1 sport & 5 casino brand/s within the network. Withdrawal requests void all active/pending bonuses. Excluded Skrill and Neteller deposits.Full Terms apply.
Double The Odds On Any UK Horse Race!
#AD 18+ GambleAware.org. New Grosvenor registrations only, Bet must be placed using real money in combination with the Odds Boost Token, Offer applies to Sport bets only. Max stake £10. Each way bets are a max of £5 each way (£10 total). Odds Boost token expires after 60 days. T&Cs apply.
100% Up To £50 Welcome Bonus
#AD 18+ New bettors; Code SPORT; Wager deposit & bonus 8x; Max qualifying bet stake=initial bonus; Valid 60 days; Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply; T&C apply. GambleAware.org
Get a £10 Free Bet when you Bet £10
#AD Cashback is cash without restrictions. Full T&Cs apply. No Max cashout. Gambling can be addictive. Play responsibly. T&Cs apply. 18+ only.
Bet £10 Get £30 Free Bet
#AD 18+ GambleAware.org New Players Only. Min £10 qualifying bets stake not returned. Free bet - one-time stake of £30, min odds 1.5, stake not returned. 1X wager the winnings. Wager from real balance first. Wager calculated on bonus bets only. Max conversion: £200. Valid for 7 Days from issue. Withdrawal requests void all active/pending bonuses. Excluded Skrill and Neteller deposits. T&Cs: https://www.jeffbet.com/terms-and-conditions/?tracker=227000&dynamic=779ga1083cidpidaffid597
0% commission for 60 days
#AD 18+ Use code COMMFREE to trade with 0% commission for 60 days. New UK, IE & Malta users only. Min. £10/€10 first deposit only using Debit Card or Instant Banking. Full T&Cs apply. GambleAware.org
Bet £15 Get £10 Free Bet
#AD New Customers only . Max one £10 free bet. Qualifying bets must be odds of 1/1 or greater. Paid as bonus token with min 4/5 odds required. Neteller and Paypal not eligible. T&Cs apply | GambleAware.org
Bet £15 Get £10 Free Bet
#AD New Players Only. Max one free bet. Qualifying bets must be placed at odds of 1/1 (2.0) or greater. Paid as a bonus token with min 4/5 (1.8) odds required. Skrill, Neteller & PayPal are not eligible. T&Cs apply, 18+ GambleAware.org
Bet £20 Get £40 in Rewards
#AD 18+ New customers only. Opt in, deposit and bet £20+ on any sports market at minimum 1/1 odds within 7 days of registration. Get £20 in Free Bets for selected markets (No cash out) and 2x £10 Casino Bonus Funds for selected games (40x wagering. Max withdrawal £500). Bonuses expire in 7 days. T&Cs apply. gambleaware.org | Please gamble responsibly
Bet £10 Get £25 Free Bets + 20 Free Spins
#AD New Players Only. Wagering occurs from real balance first. 50X wagering the bonus. Contribution may vary per game. Available on selected games only. The wagering requirement is calculated on bonus bets only. Bonus valid 30 Days from receipt. Max conversion: 3 X the bonus amount. Limited to 5 brands within the network. Withdrawal requests void all active/pending bonuses. Excluded Skrill and Neteller deposits. Full Terms Apply.
150% Casino Bonus (Up To £150)
#AD 18+ New casino accounts only. Min. £10 deposit, debit card only. Up to 50x wagering, game contributions vary, max. stake applies, 7-day expiry. Full T&Cs apply. 32Red match your first deposit amount up to £150, e.g. Deposit £100, 32Red will match up to 150% = Bonus of £150. Gamble responsibly. GambleAware.org
Bet £10 & Get A Free £30 Bet
#AD 18+. New customers only. £10 minimum deposit required. Your £30 in free bets will be bonus funds. Minimum bet £1. 3x wagering requirements. Bonus expiry 30 days. Payment method, withdrawal, player, time, restrictions apply. Terms apply. GambleAware.org
100% Profit Boost up to £100 (Mobile Only)
#AD 18+ New reg only. Claim by placing a min deposit £10 via ‘My Offers’ page within 30 days. 7 days to stake max £10 in-play, min odds 1/1 (2.0). Max. extra winnings £100. Once claimed, 30-day expiry. Cashed out, System & EW bets do not qualify. Other Promotional Play Restrictions Apply. T&Cs apply. GambleAware.org.
Bet £20 Get £30 In Free Bets
#AD 18+ New Players Only. Free bet - one-time stake of £30, min odds 1.5, stake not returned. 1X wager the winnings. Wager from real balance first. Wager calculated on bonus bets only. Max conversion: £200. Valid for 7 Days from receipt or from free spins: £20. Limited to 1 sport & 5 casino brand/s within the network. Withdrawal requests void all active/pending bonuses. Excluded Skrill and Neteller deposits. Full Terms Apply.