The Weekend Wager: Raceolly's New Year's Day Tips At Cheltenham

Raceolly has four tips for Cheltenham in front of the ITV racing cameras.
Raceolly has four tips for Cheltenham in front of the ITV racing cameras.

Fresh from tipping a 10/1 winner on Boxing Day, Raceolly is back for this week's edition of The Weekend Wager, and he focuses his attentions on Cheltenham's New Year's Day, where he has four selections to go to war with..

12:50 Cheltenham - New Four Eighty Restaurant At Cheltenham Festival Handicap Chase

Big Nasty took a while to get a win on the board despite running some nice races. He finally got that win at Southwell this year and easily beat one that won three and finished 2nd twice on his next five starts. The third also won twice and finished 2nd twice after and even the horse that finished last has placed on all four runs since. Martin Keighley's charge has had a couple of good seconds since with the Lingfield effort worth marking up after being both badly hampered and losing a shoe and still finishing five lengths clear of one that won next time out. He went off a well fancied favourite on his last start in a good race at Warwick, but was well beaten and if you write that off it’s worth a play at a huge price here.

12:50 Cheltenham - New Four Eighty Restaurant At Cheltenham Festival Handicap Chase
Big Nasty silk

Big Nasty

lost

14:00 Cheltenham - Paddy Power New Year's Day Handicap Chase

Funambule Sivola won four times last season and ended the season finishing 2nd to Shishkin in a Grade 1 at Aintree. He kicked off this season after a 239-day break finishing behind First Flow in the Grade 2 Peterborough Chase at Huntingdon. He pressured Allmankind on the lead throughout that day and made him crumble and finish 31 lengths behind despite being sent off 5/4 favourite. Grade 1 winning chaser First Flow eventually wore him down after looking in trouble three out, but it was a mighty performance and running off 155 in a handicap after that is hard to ignore. He smashed horses rated 150, 144 and 146 off level weights at Aintree and ran 164-rated Allmankind in to the ground on return makes him look very well handicapped despite top weight. Venetia Williams is still in unbelievable form with seven wins from 29 runners over the last two weeks (29% win rate).

14:00 Cheltenham - Paddy Power New Year's Day Handicap Chase
Funambule Sivola silk

Funambule Sivola

lost

14:35 Cheltenham - Paddy Power Handicap Hurdle

Spiritofthegames has an awesome record here at Cheltenham in some ultra-competitive handicaps and didn’t get a good ride last time out here when finishing 9th in the Paddy Power. Harry Skelton returns to the saddle tomorrow and his hurdle mark is very tempting being a few pounds below his chase mark. He has had three hurdle runs in the last three years, but they’ve all come in the last six runs and all been very respectable and off higher marks, the last off 139 at Newbury when going down by five lengths behind one that finished 4th in a Grade 3 handicap next time out and reopposes here off 7lb worse terms with ours.

14:35 Cheltenham - Paddy Power Handicap Hurdle
Spiritofthegames silk

Spiritofthegames

lost

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15:50 Cheltenham - Pony Club 'Junior' NH Flat Race

Mr Sundancer could go well here at a big price, but Iliade Allen appeals more for a stable who do very well in bumpers. Nick Williams has had 30 bumper runners over the last five years bringing in six winners and 9 places, a 20% win rate and a near 50% place rate. Iliade Allen is half sister to the yard's course Grade 2 winning hurdler Galahad Quest and the form of recent Warwick bumper win was boosted by the well beaten 5th finishing a good second behind likely favourite for this Poetic Music last time. He won well that day after running green on the run in and well worth a go at this level.

15:50 Cheltenham - Pony Club 'Junior' NH Flat Race
Iliade Allen silk

Iliade Allen

placed
Cheltenham Odds
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