Longshot Ted Cheltenham Tips: My tips for all four days

Ed Quigley has run the rule on all four days of this year's Cheltenham Festival.
Ed Quigley has run the rule on all four days of this year's Cheltenham Festival.

In the latest edition of his weekly column, Ed Quigley has taken an in-depth look through the 2020 Cheltenham Festival form book, and has picked out his best bets for each of the four days of racing action...

Day One - Tuesday 10th March 2020

Supreme Novices' Hurdle:

The action gets underway in the Supreme, and in what looks a terrific renewal, I am siding with SHISHKIN. There is a school of thought he is too short in the betting given that he is taking on horses with Grade 1 form in the book, but he hasn't had the opportunity to tackle that level yet. He has pulverised the opposition on his last two starts and looks a top class prospect for the Nicky Henderson.

Tip

Supreme Novices' Hurdle
Shishkin silk

Shishkin

won

Arkle Trophy:

BREWIN'UPASTORM would be my selection in a wide open Arkle and I think the race will be run to suit. There should be plenty of pace on in this race which should set up for a closer. He will be patiently ridden and should storm up the hill. He comes here a fresh horse which won't be a bad thing as he does have an exceptional record off the back of a break. 

Tip

Arkle Trophy
Brewin'upastorm silk

Brewin'upastorm

Ultima Handicap Chase:

I am happy with my 33/1 antepost tip KILDISART as I think he is well handicapped, but I would like to see the ground a bit better than it is. If soft conditions prevail, MULCAHYS HILL would be the one for me. He's unexposed and has course form in the book.

Tip

Ultima Handicap Chase
Mulcahys Hill silk

Mulcahys Hill

lost

Tip

Ultima Handicap Chase
Kildisart silk

Kildisart

placed

His form has been patchy of late, but he's fallen down the weights to an appealing mark of 151, 3 lb higher than his last success at Aintree. He'll need better ground than what has been around of late, but should the rain stay away between now and mid-March, he could be a huge player.

Champion Hurdle:

My long range selection PENTLAND HILLS has been underwhelming this season, but this looks wide-open. Epatante has been impressive but has had a minor coughing scare and ran deplorably at last year's Festival so on balance is worth taking on. SUPASUNDAE has assured stamina, and despite being 10, will play a big part here I am sure.

Tip

Champion Hurdle
Pentland Hills silk

Pentland Hills

Was unable to make a winning reappearance in last month's International Hurdle at Cheltenham, but went like the best horse for 90% of that, before fading. He'll strip fitter for that, and has drifted out to a nice price bearing in mind that he would have serious claims on the form he showed to win last season's Triumph Hurdle.

Tip

Champion Hurdle
Supasundae silk

Supasundae

lost

The Mares' Hurdle is a great race which I will be happy to sit and watch, and the NH Chase I have no strong view on.

Northern Trust Company Novices' Handicap Chase:

PRECIOUS CARGO is an eye-catcher, and I think the step up in trip will suit and any rain fall won't be an inconvenience and HIGHEST SUN blows hot and cold, but has to be taken seriously for the Colin Tizzard team in a race that should be run to suit.

Tip

Northern Trust Novices' Handicap Chase
Precious Cargo silk

Precious Cargo

Tip

Northern Trust Novices' Handicap Chase
Highest Sun silk

Highest Sun

lost

Day Two - Wednesday 11th March 2020

Ballymore Novices' Hurdle:

ENVOI ALLEN should take all the beating in the Ballymore but has a whole host of potential dangers to overcome including Sporting John and The Big Breakaway amongst others. LONGHOUSE POET is my antepost tip and has an each-way squeak if the rain arrives but is one I am happy to just sit back and watch.

Tip

Ballymore Novices' Hurdle
Envoi Allen silk

Envoi Allen

won

Tip

Ballymore Novices' Hurdle
Longhouse Poet silk

Longhouse Poet (EW)

lost

While Envoi Allen is a worthy favourite, he's a short price, and there's plenty of value to be had in the each-way market. Several behind the favourite have multiple engagements, and although Longhouse Poet also fits into that category, he looks likely to come here. Every drop of rain that falls will be a bonus as far as he's concerned, and in a strongly run race he can't be discounted if conditions become tricky.

RSA Chase:

I think Colin Tizzard could have a strong hand in this and I think COPPERHEAD has major claims. You can question the form of his Ascot win last time out, but he pulverised the opposition and looks a terrific staying chase prospect. SLATE HOUSE lined up in this, I don't think he would be a back-number. This Grade 1 winner ran poorly last time out but on his day is very good, and with this race likely to cut up into a smallish field I think he is totally overlooked.

Tip

RSA Chase
Copperhead silk

Copperhead

Tip

RSA Chase
Slate House silk

Slate House

lost

Coral Cup:

As mentioned previously, BIRCHDALE and BACHASSON are my 'two versus the field' in the Coral Cup in what looks as competitive as ever. The Cross Country will be a watching brief, but it would be magic to see Tiger Roll do the business, and in the Champion Bumper I will sit on the fence. 

Tip

Coral Cup
Birchdale silk

Birchdale

lost

Has had something of a stop-start schedule over the last few months, but it's interesting that this is now the aim after a lacklustre chasing debut at Ascot last November. Indeed, he was a Grade 2-winning novice over timber last term, and could prove to be better than his hurdling rating of 146. He travelled well for a long way before running out of steam in the Albert Bartlett last year, and this ease in trip could play to his strengths. 

Tip

Coral Cup
Bachasson silk

Bachasson

lost

Lightly-raced type, but he's shown plenty of ability when making the track, winning five of his 10 starts over hurdles to date. He caught the eye when third in the Boyne Hurdle at Navan on his first start for a year last month, travelling well for a long way before tiring in very deep ground late on, and he could prove to be on a nice mark - one that's officially 1 lb lower than his chase rating. 

Boodles Juvenile Handicap Hurdle:

The Boodles can be a bit of a minefield, but I maintain LANGER DAN is overpriced at 33/1. He may not have too much in hand over the handicapper, but off 135 he ought to massively outrun his odds with trip, track, ground and the way the race should be run all in his favour. The Dan Skelton team are making a bit of a name for themselves with Cheltenham Handicaps and this horse has each-way claims.

The Champion Chase is undoubtedly the race of the week. My heart wants Altior, my pocket wants Chacun Pour Soi and my head says Defi Du Seuil. This is a corker and I just cannot wait to watch it!

Tip

Boodles Juvenile Handicap
Langer Dan silk

Langer Dan

lost

Won each of his first two starts over hurdles, including a listed contest at Wetherby in December, before running his best race yet to finish second to the classy Botox Has at Cheltenham in December. He earned a mark of 135 for that, and although he was ultimately turned over as an odds-on favourite at Ludlow last time out, this big-field scenario will suit him much more and he could prove to be on a very attractive mark.

Day Three - Thursday 12th March 2020

Marsh Novices' Chase:

My Thursday revolves around MISTER FISHER in the Marsh Chase - the prospect of drying ground throughout the week enhances his chances greatly and he looks a rock solid proposition to land Grade 1 honours for Nicky Henderson. 

Tip

Marsh Novices' Chase
Mister Fisher silk

Mister Fisher

Got off the mark over fences at the second time of asking when scoring at the December Meeting at Cheltenham, looking good value for more than the length and a quarter defeat of Good Boy Bobby on ground that was plenty soft for him. The Marsh Novices' Chase isn't looking the strongest bearing in mind that the market is currently headed by a 12-year-old, and there's plenty of value around his double-figure price.

Pertemps Final:

Off 140, KILBRICKEN STORM has to come into the equation in the Pertemps Final. A former Grade 1 winner of the Albert Bartlett, he is dangerously well handicapped on old form and looks to have an each-way shout. 

Tip

Pertemps Final
Kilbricken Storm silk

Kilbricken Storm

lost

Stayers' Hurdle:

In the Stayers' Hurdle, I fully expect Paisley Park to win, but my each-way alternative would be EMITOM, who got back on track at Haydock last time out, and this youngster is still unexposed and should have more to offer for the yard that won this in 2015 with Cole Harden.

Tip

Stayers' Hurdle
Emitom silk

Emitom (EW)

lost

Kim Muir:

I think Greatrex also has a solid chance in the Kim Muir with BOB MAHLER, who won nicely in the Edinburgh National last time out, and from a mark of 140 this previous C&D winner should be in the mix. 

Tip

Kim Muir Challenge Cup
Bob Mahler silk

Bob Mahler

placed

Represents the same trainer as the 2018 winner Missed Approach, and there's plenty to like about his campaign so far, showing plenty of battling qualities to land the Edinburgh National at Musselburgh last time out. The 5 lb rise he's received for that looks fair, and bearing in mind he's got a course win under his belt already, he could prove hard to pass if given a prominent ride. 

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Day Four - Friday 13th March 2020

County Hurdle:

ELDORADO ALLEN has plenty of ability and can go well for each-way backers in the County Hurdle. The more the ground dries up for him the better - he got bogged down in the mud at Sandown last time out.

Tip

County Hurdle
Eldorado Allen silk

Eldorado Allen (EW)

lost

Albert Bartlett Novices' Hurdle:

The Albert Bartlett is a fascinating spectacle, the two I have had onside for sometime are THYME HILL who will love it if conditions dry up, and RAMSES DE TEILEE who has proven he is a very versatile this season and not just a one trick pony mudlark.

Tip

Albert Bartlett Novices' Hurdle
Thyme Hill silk

Thyme Hill

lost

Tip

Albert Bartlett Novices' Hurdle
Ramses De Teillee silk

Ramses De Teillee

lost

A smart staying chaser, who's been cannily campaigned in novice company over hurdles this term. He was a deeply impressive winner of the Grade 2 River Don Novices' Hurdle at Doncaster on Saturday, and has been perhaps unfairly labelled as a horse who needs testing ground to be seen to best effect. Saturday's performance dispelled that myth, and with the River Don form looking strong, he looks vastly overpriced for this. 

Cheltenham Gold Cup:

The big one looks an open encounter but stuffed full of quality. I haven't lost faith in LOSTINTRANSLATION who looked a potential superstar before everything fell apart in the King George. However, he wouldn't be the first horse to have performed below expectations at the Sunbury venue and then flourish at Cheltenham. He has a good record at this track and I think he can come good once again. His jumping is his usual weapon, and drying ground really aids his cause. 

Tip

Cheltenham Gold Cup
Lostintranslation silk

Lostintranslation

placed

Grand Annual:

In the Grand Annual, I think PALOMA BLUE has all the tools to run a massive race. A searing gallop over the minimum trip will set things up perfectly. He will appreciate it if the ground quickens and has some smart form at the track. He wasn't beaten far in the Supreme when the ground was unsuitably testing.

Tip

Grand Annual
Paloma Blue silk

Paloma Blue

lost

Solid performer at this level, who's shown plenty of ability at the Festival in the past, only being beaten by three lengths in the 2018 Supreme Novices' Hurdle. He perhaps isn't the best handicapped in this, but the demands of this contest - a serious end-to-end gallop over two miles - should suit him well, and he could be knocking on the door if the ground continues to dry.

Already Advised:

Supreme Novices' Hurdle - Master Debonair 1pt win at 14/1 (generally) NON-RUNNER

Arkle Trophy - Precious Cargo, 1pt win at 25/1 (BetVictor) NON-RUNNER

Ultima Handicap Chase - Kildisart, 1pt win at 33/1 (bet365)

Champion Hurdle - Pentland Hills, 1pt win at 9/1 (Bet365)

Northern Trust Company Novices' Handicap Chase - Deyrann De Carjac, 1 pt win at 33/1 (generally) NON-RUNNER

Northern Trust Company Novices' Handicap Chase - Jarveys Plate 1 pt win at 40/1 (bet365)

Ballymore Novices' Hurdle - Longhouse Poet, 1pt each-way 20/1 (Bet365 NRNB)

RSA Chase - Pym, 1pt win at 25/1 (William Hill)

Coral Cup - Birchdale, 1pt win at 12-1 (Hills)

Coral Cup - Bachasson, 1pt win at 16-1 (generally)

Boodles Juvenile Hurdle - Langer Dan, 1pt win at 33/1 (generally)

Ryanair Chase - A Plus Tard, 1 pt win at 4/1

Stayers' Hurdle - Not Many Left 1pt each-way at 33/1 (generally) NON-RUNNER

Kim Muir - Bob Mahler, 1pt win 25/1 (generally)

Triumph Hurdle - Grand Roi, 1pt win at 33/1 (Betfair) NON-RUNNER

County Hurdle - Elixir De Nutz, 1 pt win at 33/1 (generally) NON-RUNNER

Albert Bartlett Novices' Hurdle - Kiltealy Briggs, 1pt win at 66/1 (generally)

Albert Bartlett Novices' Hurdle - Ramses De Teillee 1pt win at 33/1 (Bet365 & William Hill)

Grand Annual - Paloma Blue, 1pt win at 16/1 (generally)

The Cheltenham Festival

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