Longshot Ted: Take the price while you can

Ramses De Teillee impressed in Saturday's River Don Novices' Hurdle at Doncaster.
Ramses De Teillee impressed in Saturday's River Don Novices' Hurdle at Doncaster.

In this week's column, Ed Quigley returns with two more ante-post bets for the Cheltenham Festival, including a 33/1 fancy in the Albert Bartlett Novices' Hurdle... 

As far as the novice hurdles go at the Cheltenham Festival, the ante-post scene still very much resembles a foggy hedge maze. It could just be a trick of the mind, but it appears this year that numerous horses are being given the option of two or even three races at Prestbury Park in six weeks' time. One horse in which an ante-post target to my mind seems blindingly obvious, and simultaneously appears to be criminally overpriced at 33/1, is the David Pipe trained RAMSES DE TEILLEE, who absolutely pulverised the opposition to land the Grade 2 River Don Novices' by 17 lengths.

Why is he 33/1? I'm baffled. He ran rings around the opposition, as his opponents came home in different postcodes, looking absolutely spent. The form of beating Champagne Well looks smart, and when you consider that the Fergal O'Brien representative got within four lengths of current 5/1 ante-post market leader Thyme Hill (who I think is deserved favourite). What is also worth noting, is that Ramses De Teillee has often delivered strong performances on a very testing surface, and has pretty much been labelled as a mudlark in some quarters. However, he relentlessly galloped clear of his rivals on ground officially described as good to soft (good in places), and that adds another string to his bow and allays any fears over ground conditions come race day. He has winning form at the track, stays all day and should be about a third of the price he currently is in my view.

Elsewhere, rivals to Paisley Park are starting to thin out as the Emma Lavelle star goes in search of back-to-back wins in the Stayers' Hurdle. I think Summerville Boy acquitted himself very well stepping up to three miles in the Cleeve and looks rock solid as an each-way alternative. However, at over twice the price, the horse that has been in my notes for some time is the Jessica Harrington-trained NOT MANY LEFT. He hasn't been seen since falling in the Punchestown Stayers' Hurdle, where he was in the process of running a huge race before crashing out at the last hurdle. There was every chance if he had pinged the final flight he would have been a Grade 1 winner on his first start at that level. Given plenty of time to get over that fall, Jessica Harrington reports that he is on target for the Boyne Hurdle with a view to having a crack at the big one at Cheltenham.

I'm aware he needs to find at least 20 lb to trouble Paisley Park, but is totally unexposed and ran well when third in the Pertemps Final last year, when arguably a little unlucky. Many horses in the staying division at present have plenty of questions to answer. Something has to fill the frame behind Paisley Park, and Not Many Left has every chance to progress into the ideal candidate for showpiece event on March 12. If the wet spring continues and ground conditions come up on the soft side, that will not be an inconvenience either.

Advice:

Albert Bartlett Novices' Hurdle, Cheltenham Festival, Friday 13th March 2020 - Ramses De Teillee 1pt win at 33/1 (Bet365 & William Hill)

Stayers' Hurdle, Cheltenham Festival, Thursday 12th March 2020 - Not Many Left 1pt each-way at 33/1 (generally)

Tip

Albert Bartlett Novices' Hurdle
Ramses De Teillee silk

Ramses De Teillee

lost

A smart staying chaser, who's been cannily campaigned in novice company over hurdles this term. He was a deeply impressive winner of the Grade 2 River Don Novices' Hurdle at Doncaster on Saturday, and has been perhaps unfairly labelled as a horse who needs testing ground to be seen to best effect. Saturday's performance dispelled that myth, and with the River Don form looking strong, he looks vastly overpriced for this. 

Tip

Stayers' Hurdle
Not Many Left silk

Not Many Left (EW)

As Paisley Park's grip strengthens on this division with each passing minute, there's definitely a case to be made for looking for some each-way value when it comes to finding a horse to hit the frame. Not Many Left has plenty to find on form, but was running particularly well falling at the last in the Punchestown Stayers' Hurdle when last seen last May, and could be over-priced here considering he was a fine third in the Pertemps Final over course and distance last year. 

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