Denman Chase Tips: Phil your boots

A Toi Phil makes his first start for the Gary Moore team on Saturday.
A Toi Phil makes his first start for the Gary Moore team on Saturday.

Nick Seddon previews Saturday’s Denman Chase at Newbury, which is headlined by the 2018 Cheltenham Gold Cup winner Native River, and picks out an each-way selection in the race…

Unlike last month’s Cotswold Chase, which featured a hair-raising battle between an emerging force in Santini and one of the members of the old guard in Bristol De Mai, Saturday’s Denman Chase is unlikely to tell us too much about this year’s Gold Cup picture – unless the heavily odds-on favourite Native River fails to deliver, of course.

As a result, it leaves the feeling that this race is perhaps one of the lesser trials for the blue riband on offer, though a look at the roll of honour will show that it is certainly worthy of respect; with the likes of Kauto Star (2007), Denman himself (2008), Long Run (2012), Silviniaco Conti (2013) and Coneygree (2015) winning it this century.

Native River has won each of the last two renewals in 2017 and 2018 (last year’s race fell victim to the equine flu outbreak), and it seems almost certain that he will complete a hat-trick here barring any blunders, having looked a class apart when dominating in the Grade 2 Many Clouds Chase on reappearance at Aintree in December.

That four-runner contest was blighted by the early departure of Might Bite, who re-opposes here, but the manner in which Native River was able to trounce two smart yardsticks in Black Corton and Outlander by some 33 lengths suggested that his ability is still very much intact. It is no secret that Native River needs some cut in the ground to be seen to best effect, though a real feather in his cap is that he is ultra-consistent, and in what looks a wide-open year for the staying chasing division, he is one of the very few who will pitch up at Cheltenham with rock solid claims. Saturday’s race should be no more than a formality, and it would be no surprise should connections be eyeing up a tilt at the Grand National alongside regaining the Gold Cup.

It essentially means we’re playing for each-way terms, and although Might Bite is second in the betting at the time of writing, it’s difficult to fancy him. The 11-year-old was unable to stick around for long enough to provide his old rival with a race on Merseyside, and he is quickly building the profile of one who is losing interest in the game with every passing day, looking far from interested when pulled up on New Year’s Day at Cheltenham. There’s no doubt that he was a top-class performer at his peak, and he would have more than enough ability to trouble Native River should he be able to bounce back here, but it would take an awful lot of trust to support him at present. The same can be said for the veteran Valdez, who looks firmly out of his depth here.

Of more interest is The Two Amigos, who looked a stayer to follow when winning the Sussex National at Plumpton in January 2019. He’s been shaping as though he’s been building up to something, finishing fifth in an attritional renewal of the Welsh National at Chepstow last time out, though he would need more on his first foray into graded company here, and may need a stiffer test of stamina to be seen to best effect. Meanwhile, the Tom George-trained Activial hasn’t shown quite as much as his aforementioned rival in two starts so far this term, though he produced some solid efforts last season – including when sixth in the Ultima Handicap at Cheltenham – and may be one to consider for the runner-up position if granted a soft lead.

That seems unlikely, however, and several are likely to be jousting for the lead in the early exchanges, including the Paul Nicholls-trained Secret Investor. He was a Grade 2-winning novice from last season, but failed to follow up a solid reappearance at Down Royal in November when fading away in the Caspian Caviar Gold Cup at Cheltenham a month later. Paul Nicholls is the master of finding opportunities for his horses, meaning that it would be no surprise should Secret Investor be fully firing here, though he’s fairly-priced to hit the frame at present – at around the 8/1 mark.

At a much bigger price, it may be worth chancing A Toi Phil, who’s due to make his first start for the Gary Moore team. Admittedly, he’d rather lost his way for Gordon Elliott and the Gigginstown operation, but he was a smart performer at his peak, and was regularly performing with credit in graded company as recently as 2018. His last start was a winning one, too, capitalising on a drop in grade when striking at Limerick in September. He will need more on the back of an 148-day break here, but he’s won on the back of an absence in the past, and the change in yards may well squeeze out some more of his old ability. It’s a notable sign that Moore is willing to pitch him straight into this company on his first start, and bearing in mind that there are several front-runners here, things may play into this hold-up performer’s hands - and he could be worth chancing to swoop late and pick up some prize money for his new connections.


Denman Chase, Saturday 8th February 2020 – back A Toi Phil each-way at 33/1

Denman Chase
A Toi Phil silk

A Toi Phil (EW)

Cheltenham Tips
Advert Disclaimer is a free online resource which endeavour to provide helpful and useful content and odds comparison to its visitors. Please be advised that accepts affiliate commission from the companies appearing on the site, and agreed commission levels impact the location and order in which the companies (and/or their products) are presented on the website. Any ratings that appear on this site is determined by our subjective opinion of the brand but also based on market share and reputation, each brand's conversion rates, commission paid to us and general consumer interest. Company listings on this page don't imply our endorsement. We do not feature all providers on the market. Except as expressly set forth in our terms and conditions, all statements and warranties regarding the information presented on this page are disclaimed. The information, including odds, which appear on this site is subject to change at any time.

£20 Risk Free Bet Refunded In CASH On Losing Bets (APP Only)

#AD New customers only. Deposit £20 using card or Trustly. Up to your first £20 of losses will be refunded as CASH within 24 hours of qualifying bet having been settled. T&Cs apply
Bet £10 Get £40 in Free Bets
#AD 18+. Play Safe. New customers using promo code M40 only. 1x per customer. Min £/€10 bet. Min odds 1/2 (1.5). Free bets of 2 x £/€15 issued after first qualifying bet settles. Max £/€10 Bonus. 35x wagering requirement. Max redeemable bonus: £25. Casino bonus expires after 72 hours. UK & Eire only. Additional T&Cs, including free-bet, game, location, payment method and stake contributions apply.
Bet £10 Get £30 Free Bets + £10 Casino Bonus
#AD Minimum deposit of £10 using deposit code 30F - A qualifying bet is a ‘real money’ stake of at least £10 placed on any sports market - Minimum odds of 1/2 (1.5) - Free bets credited upon qualifying bet settlement and expire after 7 days - Free bet stakes not included in returns - Casino Bonus must be claimed within 7 days • To withdraw bonus/related wins, wager bonus amount x40 within 14 days • Wagering req. vary by game • Withdrawal restrictions and Full T&C’s apply. 18+
Welcome Offer
#AD Open Account Offer. Up to £100 in Bet Credits for new customers at bet365. Min deposit £5. Bet Credits available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply. The bonus code ‘100BET365’ can be used during registration, but does not change the offer amount in any way. 18+
Bet £10 Get £40 In Bonuses
#AD 18+ New customers only. Opt in, bet £10 on Horse Racing at odds 2.00+ within 7 days of registering, no cashout. Get 3x £10 Free Bets, set events at odds 2.00+. Plus £10 Game Show Bonus, selected games, wager 40x to withdraw max £250. 7 day bonus expiry. Card payments only. T&Cs apply. | Please gamble responsibly
Bet £10 Get £30 + 30 Free Spins
#AD New UK & NI customers only. Promo code SPORTS60. Deposit and place first sports bet of £10+ in one transaction, at odds of Evens (2.0)+, settled within 7 days of registration. First bet must be on Sports. £30 in Free Bets credited within 48 hours of bet settlement. 7-day expiry. Payment restrictions apply. SMS validation may be required. Max 30 Free Spins on Blue Wizard at £0.10 per spin. 7-day expiry. Full T&Cs apply.
Bet £20 & Get It Back As CASH If It Loses
#AD New customers only. Place your FIRST bet on any Football market and if it loses we will refund your stake in CASH. Max refund for this offer is £20. Only deposits made using cards will qualify for this promotion. T&Cs apply.
Get Up To £100 In Free Bets
#AD New customer offer. Place 5 x £10 or more bets to receive £20 in free bets. Repeat up to 5 times to receive maximum £100 bonus. Min odds 1/2 (1.5). Exchange bets excluded. Payment restrictions apply. T&Cs apply.
Bet £10 Get £20 In Free Bets
#AD. New members. £10 min deposit & bet on sportsbook, placed & settled at 1.5 min odds within 14 days of sign-up. Win part of E/W bets. 2 non-withdrawable £10 Free Bet Tokens: accept in 7 days, valid for 7 days from acceptance (ex. E/Ws & Multiples), stakes not returned. Click here for Rules & Exclusions. Bet Responsibly. 18+
Bet £10 Get £20 In Free Bets
#AD Min stake £10. Min odds 1/2 (1.5). First bet only. Free bets expire in 7 days. Cashed out bets won’t apply. Payment method restrictions. Online UK customers only. 30 days to qualify for £20 in Free Bets. 18+. T&Cs apply
Money back As A Bonus Up To £40 If Your First Racing Bet Loses + £10 Casino
New customers only. 18+, Min deposit £10. Money back as bonus. Wagering requirements: Racing 3x at min. odds of 1.40 (2/5), Casino 35x. Only one bonus can be used at a time, Racing bonus must be wagered before using the Casino, unless the bonus has been forfeited. Bonus will expire after 7 days of opt-in. #ad
Bet £10 Get £5 Or 50% Losses Back Up To £25
To activate your Sportsbook 50% Back Welcome Offer, simply deposit and bet on any Sportsbook markets of your choice at odds of evens (2.00) or greater. If your account has Sportsbook losses at the end of your first day's betting (23:59), we'll refund 50% of your first day's losses as a Free Bet up to £25 (Minimum 3 bets required). If your account is up, you're guaranteed a £5 Free Bet provided you place at least 1 bet of £10 or greater at minimum odds evens or greater. T&Cs apply. 18+
£10 Welcome Offer
#AD UK & ROI customers only. 18+. Place your first bet on sports pools and if it loses we’ll refund your stake in cash. Max refund is £10. Qualifying bet is the first sports pool bet added to the betslip. Ten to Follow bets do not qualify. Totewin will be the qualifying bet when a Totewin and a Toteplace bet are struck at the same time. T&Cs apply
Today's Most tipped
Add All Tips To Betslip
Latest racing results
1st Shining Aitch
2nd Ritchie Valens
3rd Out Of Reason
1st Purple Bling
2nd Sidcot Swallet
3rd Fair And Square
1st Mondammej
2nd Newyorkstateofmind
3rd Caroline Dale
View All Today's Results