Horse Racing Tips: West Country Goes To The Max
Paul Townend features in the stats section of our round-up today
Newton Abbot has been abandoned today but there are still four tracks hosting racing. In particular Newmarket looks interesting, but there is more to get stuck into so let's delve into the Naps, Stats and racing news for Tuesday...
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Naps Table Leaders And Most Popular Nap Of The Day
All of the most popular Naps today come from Newmarket, with DREAM COMPOSER in the 13:50 the most popular with five expert votes. Dougie Costello rides for James Evans and this horse got better for his first start last year, so warrants plenty of respect in this fascinating handicap early on in the day.
At the top of the Naps table, West Country still holds a healthy lead and sides with the favourite in the 17:23 at Ffos Las, MULINAS. After proving his naysayers wrong and riding sixth place aboard Ain't That A Shame in the Grand National, David Maxwell is onboard this Paul Nicholls charge and we can be sure the horse will be cherry ripe for today with his handler chasing the trainers' title. He looks the most likely winner in this race.
On The Nose is amazingly the only other expert showing a profit this season, and is with ENGELBERT in the 18:00 at Newcastle. The horse ran a stinker last time out at Southwell to finish second last, but has won over this course and distance before and James Ferguson's charge is at least a big price.
Brian Flanagan is with a Roger Varian runner in the 15:30 at Newmarket, BOILING POINT. James Doyle rides one of the day's most positive market movers and is entered in the 2000 Guineas with some rock solid two year old form, so should take plenty of stopping if Varian has him ready to go on his first run of the season.
- West Country - Mulinas - 17:23 Ffos Las - P&L: £19.88
- On The Nose - Engelbert - 18:00 Newcastle - P&L: £0.21
- Brian Flanagan - Boiling Point - 15:30 Newmarket - P&L: £-1.46
How About Stat?
Paul Townend sits top of the Jockey course form tables today for his 46% strike-rate at Naas, and with the rider still on the crest of the wave from winning the Grand National he has three live chances to further enhance that win-rate.
Hot Trainers
Trainers with the best strike rate from at least 2 wins in the last 14 days.
| trainer | strike rate |
|---|---|
|
Jack Channon
Wins: 4
Runs: 5
|
80% |
|
Iain Jardine
Wins: 2
Runs: 4
|
50% |
|
Grant Tuer
Wins: 2
Runs: 5
|
40% |
|
Emma Lavelle
Wins: 4
Runs: 10
|
40% |
|
Alice Haynes
Wins: 3
Runs: 8
|
38% |
|
Ruth Carr
Wins: 3
Runs: 8
|
38% |
|
David Loughnane
Wins: 2
Runs: 6
|
33% |
|
Harry Derham
Wins: 8
Runs: 26
|
31% |
|
Roger Varian
Wins: 2
Runs: 7
|
29% |
|
Kevin Ryan
Wins: 2
Runs: 7
|
29% |
|
Mark Loughnane
Wins: 4
Runs: 14
|
29% |
|
Olly Murphy
Wins: 11
Runs: 40
|
28% |
|
Philip Hobbs & Johnson White
Wins: 3
Runs: 12
|
25% |
Hot Jockeys
Jockeys with the best strike rate from at least 3 wins in the last 14 days.
| jockey | strike rate |
|---|---|
|
Nicola Currie
Wins: 3
Runs: 7
|
43% |
|
Paul O'Brien
Wins: 7
Runs: 17
|
41% |
|
Harry Cobden
Wins: 8
Runs: 21
|
38% |
|
Micheal Nolan
Wins: 3
Runs: 11
|
27% |
|
Sean D Bowen
Wins: 3
Runs: 12
|
25% |
|
Jack Mitchell
Wins: 3
Runs: 12
|
25% |
|
Daniel Muscutt
Wins: 5
Runs: 21
|
24% |
|
George Wood
Wins: 8
Runs: 33
|
24% |
|
Rossa Ryan
Wins: 6
Runs: 25
|
24% |
|
Billy Loughnane
Wins: 7
Runs: 33
|
21% |
|
James Bowen
Wins: 6
Runs: 29
|
21% |
|
Sean Bowen
Wins: 10
Runs: 50
|
20% |
Top Course Jockeys
Jockeys with the best strike rate from at least 3 course wins.
| jockey | strike rate |
|---|---|
| Micheal Nolan | 40% |
| Harry Skelton | 25% |
| Sean Bowen | 24% |
| David Bass | 23% |
| Paul O'Brien | 22% |
| James Bowen | 21% |
Top Course Trainers
Trainers with the best strike rate from at least 3 course wins.
| trainer | strike rate |
|---|---|
| Harry Derham | 41% |
| William Haggas | 28% |
| Harry Fry | 27% |
| Roger Varian | 26% |
| Andrew Balding | 24% |
| James Fanshawe | 24% |
| Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero | 24% |
| David Killahena & Graeme McPherson | 23% |
| Dan Skelton | 22% |
| Olly Murphy | 22% |
| Stuart Edmunds | 21% |
| Peter & Michael Bowen | 21% |
| Adrian Paul Keatley | 20% |
Longest Travellers
Trainers/horses covering the longest distance to the racecourse today.
| runner | odds |
|---|---|
|
11/1 |
|
|
4/1 |
|
|
9/5 |
|
|
11/1 |
|
|
10/1 |
|
|
18/1 |
|
|
15/2 |
|
|
9/2 |
|
|
12/1 |
|
|
6/4 |
|
|
7/1 |
|
|
9/4 |
|
|
18/5 |
|
|
9/4 |
|
|
13/1 |
|
|
10/1 |
|
|
13/2 |
|
|
14/5 |
|
|
2/1 |
|
|
8/1 |
|
|
20/1 |
|
|
50/1 |
|
|
15/2 |
Top Trainer/Jockey Combo's
Trainer and jockey combinations with the best course strike rate from at least 3 course wins.
| course | combo % |
|---|---|
| Market Rasen | 54% |
| Market Rasen | 38% |
| Southwell | 37% |
| Market Rasen | 33% |
| Newcastle | 27% |
| Market Rasen | 27% |
| Market Rasen | 25% |
| Southwell | 24% |
| Newcastle | 23% |
| Newcastle | 23% |
| Southwell | 23% |
| Newcastle | 23% |
| Southwell | 22% |
| Southwell | 21% |
First Run After Wind Op
Horses running for the first time after wind surgery.
| runner | odds |
|---|---|
|
Trainer:
Donald McCain
Race:
Market Rasen 15:05
|
9/2 |
Course & Distance Winners
Horses that have previously won over course and distance.
ADD ALL SELECTIONS TO BET365 BETSLIP
First Time Blinkers
Horses wearing blinkers for the first time.
| runner | odds |
|---|---|
|
Trainer:
Danni O'Neill
Race:
Market Rasen 16:05
|
50/1 |
First Time Hood
Horses wearing a hood for the first time.
| runner | odds |
|---|---|
|
Trainer:
Emma Lavelle
Race:
Market Rasen 14:35
|
13/2 |
|
Trainer:
James Owen
Race:
Newcastle 14:52
|
10/1 |
|
Trainer:
Joe Ponting
Race:
Southwell 17:30
|
22/1 |
|
Trainer:
Craig Lidster
Race:
Southwell 18:00
|
23/1 |
|
Trainer:
Alice Haynes
Race:
Southwell 20:00
|
7/1 |
First Time Tongue Strap
Horses wearing a tongue strap for the first time.
| runner | odds |
|---|---|
|
Trainer:
William Knight
Race:
Southwell 16:30
|
34/1 |
|
Trainer:
Ivan Furtado
Race:
Southwell 17:30
|
12/1 |
|
Trainer:
Roy Bowring
Race:
Southwell 19:00
|
7/2 |
|
Trainer:
Jack Channon
Race:
Southwell 19:00
|
15/2 |
|
Trainer:
Richard Spencer
Race:
Southwell 20:00
|
11/1 |
First Time Visor
Horses wearing a visor for the first time.
| runner | odds |
|---|---|
|
Trainer:
Richard Fahey
Race:
Newcastle 14:22
|
11/1 |
|
Trainer:
William Knight
Race:
Southwell 16:30
|
34/1 |
|
Trainer:
Ivan Furtado
Race:
Southwell 17:30
|
12/1 |
|
Trainer:
Jim & Suzi Best
Race:
Southwell 18:30
|
7/2 |
Racing News Round-Up
- Best Scottish National Meeting Ever To Come? - With three trainers in with a realistic shout of the Championship in Britain, Ayr's Scottish Grand National meeting could be the best ever this weekend. Willie Mullins is certainly sending a strong team!
- ITV Report Drop In Grand National Viewership - ITV Racing have reported the number of viewers dropped for the 2024 Grand National in comparison to the 2023 edition. Nevertheless, the team are upbeat and said the drop was expected due to the earlier race time this year.
- I Am Maximus Up To 169 - Grand National winner I AM MAXIMUS has had his rating hiked to 169 in Ireland, his home country. Is he a Gold Cup contender in 2025?
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New Players Only. Minimum stake £ 30, minimum odds 1.5, stake not returned. 1X wagering the winnings from the free bet. Wagering occurs from real balance first. Wagering requirement is calculated on bonus bets only, wagering starts from real funds. Free bet is valid for 7 Days from issue. Max conversion: £200. Withdrawal requests void all active/pending bonuses. Limited to 1 sport & 5 casino brand/s within the network. Withdrawal requests void all active/pending bonuses. Excluded Skrill and Neteller deposits.Full Terms apply.
Bet £10 Get £60 In Free Bets
#AD 18+ New UK customers only, Place a £10 fixed odds bet at minimum odds of 1/2 and get 3 x £10 free fixed odds bets, 3 x £5 Total Goals football spread bets and 3 x £5 Winning Favourites spread bets on consecutive days and a £1 racing Race Index spread bet. The promotion will run from 11th March 2025 until discontinued by Spreadex Ltd. using its reasonable discretion, (“Promotion Period”). Offer can only be used once per customer. Full T&Cs apply
100% Up To £50 Welcome Bonus
#AD 18+ New bettors; Code SPORT; Wager deposit & bonus 8x; Max qualifying bet stake=initial bonus; Valid 60 days; Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply; T&C apply. GambleAware.org
10% Cashback Daily
#AD 18+ UK Customers – Get 10% cashback on losses daily. Min bet £10. Cashback starts from your first completed deposit; future deposits add to the total, withdrawals deduct from it. Available to activate 24hrs after first deposit, if all deposits lost and no pending withdrawal. Claimable if balance is under £10. Full T&Cs and Bonus T&Cs apply. GambleAware.org.
Bet £10 Get £30 Free Bet
#AD 18+ GambleAware.org New Players Only. Min £10 qualifying bets stake not returned. Free bet - one-time stake of £30, min odds 1.5, stake not returned. 1X wager the winnings. Wager from real balance first. Wager calculated on bonus bets only. Max conversion: £200. Valid for 7 Days from issue. Withdrawal requests void all active/pending bonuses. Excluded Skrill and Neteller deposits. T&Cs: https://www.jeffbet.com/terms-and-conditions/?tracker=227000&dynamic=779ga1083cidpidaffid597
Bet £20 Get £30 In Free Bets
#AD 18+ New Players Only. Free bet - one-time stake of £30, min odds 1.5, stake not returned. 1X wager the winnings. Wager from real balance first. Wager calculated on bonus bets only. Max conversion: £200. Valid for 7 Days from receipt or from free spins: £20. Limited to 1 sport & 5 casino brand/s within the network. Withdrawal requests void all active/pending bonuses. Excluded Skrill and Neteller deposits. Full Terms Apply.
Bet £10 Get £30 Free Bet
Min Deposit £10 with promo code: GRAND required. Offer is valid until 05/04/2025 at 23:59 GMT. Minimum of £10 worth of qualifying bets to any horse racing event to get a £30 Free bet. Free bets and Bonuses are valid for 7 days. Free bet is a one-time stake, minimum odds of 2, stake is not returned. 1X wagering the winnings. Wagering occurs from real balance first. Max conversion: £200. Excluded Skrill and Neteller deposits. Withdrawal requests void all active/pending bonuses. Excluded Skrill and Neteller deposits. Full Terms Apply.
Withdrawals In Seconds
#AD T&C's Apply | 18+ | Gambleaware.org
Bet £15 Get £10 Free Bet
#AD New Customers only . Max one £10 free bet. Qualifying bets must be odds of 1/1 or greater. Paid as bonus token with min 4/5 odds required. Neteller and Paypal not eligible. T&Cs apply | GambleAware.org
Deposit £10 & Get £10 Free Bet
#AD 18+ New Players Only. Free bet - one-time stake of £10, min odds 1.5, stake not returned. 1X wager the winnings. Wager from real balance first. Wager calculated on bonus bets only. Max conversion: £200. Free bets and Bonuses are valid for 7 days. Limited to 1 sport & 5 casino brand/s within the network. Withdrawal requests void all active/pending bonuses. Excluded Skrill and Neteller deposits. Full Terms apply
