Longshot Ted: Nicholls can make it an untouchable eleven

avatar
Politologue is aiming to win the Tingle Creek for the second time in three years.
Politologue is aiming to win the Tingle Creek for the second time in three years.

In the latest edition of his weekly column, Ed Quigley picks out his best bet in Saturday's big race at Sandown, the Grade 1 Tingle Creek Chase, which looks an open renewal in the absence of Altior...

The Tingle Creek is one of my favourite races of the year, and this pre-Christmas cracker will once again make for compelling viewing. This year's contest is full of intrigue with the veteran class-act Un De Sceaux in the line-up, and the emergence of Defi Du Seuil as the pretender to the throne as the king of the two-mile division. 

It doesn't really get flagged up enough in my opinion, but the transformation of Defi Du Seuil from a horse who looked a spent force last start over hurdles and again when last of five on chase debut, to the level he is now, has to rate as one of Philip Hobbs' greatest training feats. The six-year-old landed last season's JLT (of which the form looks terrific) and comes into this encounter on the back of winning the Shloer Chase at Cheltenham last month, in which he got the better of POLITOLOGUE in what turned into a dash for the line after the last flight. However I think the Paul Nicholls representative looks to have sound claims of reversing the form here. The eight-year-old was trying to concede 3 lb to Hobbs' charge last time out, and with a more fluent jump at the last flight may have got closer than the length and-a-quarter he managed in that Grade 2 contest. An interesting comment from Harry Cobden in the aftermath suggested "perhaps we could have gone quicker", and that could well be the key in this race. I think Politologue is the superior jumper of a fence, as he demonstrated beautifully when landing the 2017 renewal of this. 

Horse Racing £20 FREE Exchange Bet

New customers only, bet up to £20 on the Exchange and if your first bet loses, we’ll refund you £20 in Cash. Bet must be placed in first 7 days of account opening. T&Cs apply.

It is true that Defi Du Seuil has top-class form at Sandown, but over a longer distance, and I think that over the minimum trip, Cobden can turn the screw and really apply pressure in the jumping department to the Philip Hobbs representative. I thought it was an interesting observation from Ruby Walsh on Racing TV who expressed that "Defi doesn't jump like a two-miler", and whilst I have no doubting the class of the horse, the likelihood of lots of pace at the head of affairs from Un De Sceaux and a closely pursuing Politologue will see him face his sternest test over this distance to date. Politologue, on his second start after a wind-operation gets to tackle him off level weights this time around, and looks value to land this for the second time.

Of the others, Waiting Patiently has to be respected, but is on a bit of a fact-finding mission, and if there was a joker in the pack Janika could be the one. If the ground comes up soft, I think the Nicky Henderson representative could be a big danger to all, and this unexposed sort arrives here on the back of a convincing success when giving weight to his rivals in the Haldon Gold Cup. The same owners also have the high-class chaser Sceau Royal, and it is possible that both horses could take their chance, although the Alan King runner would probably swerve the contest if ground conditions are too testing.

Advice:

Tingle Creek, Sandown, Saturday 7th December 2019 - Politologue, 1pt win at 9/2 (SkyBet, Betfair, Paddy Power)

Tip

Tingle Creek
Politologue silk

Politologue

lost
Today's Naps Table
£20 Risk Free First bet
Limited to one per person. If you’ve previously had a Paddy Power account, you will not qualify for the offer. Place your FIRST bet on any Sportsbook market and if it loses we will refund your stake in CASH. Max refund for this offer is  £20. Only deposits made using Cards or Paypal will qualify for this promotion. Paddy's Rewards Club: Get a  £10 free bet when you place 5x bets of  £10+. T&C's apply, 18+ begambleaware.org.
Bet £10 Get £30 in Free Bets
New customers using Promo Code P30 only, min £10/€10 stake, min odds 1/2, free bets paid as 2 x £15/€15 (30 days expiry), free bet/payment method/player/country restrictions apply. T&C's apply, 18+ begambleaware.org
Welcome Offer
Up to £100 in Bet Credits for new customers at bet365. Min deposit £5 and 1x settled bet requirement to release Bet Credits. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&C's apply, 18+ begambleaware.org.
Bet £10 Get £30 + 30 Free Spins
You must stake £10 or more at single/cumulative odds of Evens (2.0) or greater on your first bet. Free bet balance of £30 credited within 48 hours of your first bet being settled. Free Bets expire after 7 days. E-Wallet restrictions apply. Minimum 5 game rounds. Game restrictions apply. Maximum 30 Free Spins on selected games. Free Spins expire after 7 days. T&C's apply, 18+ begambleaware.org
Bet £5 Get £30
New Customers only. Deposit and place a £5 qualifying bet at odds of 2.00 or greater within 7 days of opening a new account; excludes cashed out bets. Receive 2x £10 Free Sports Bets, valid on set events only at odds 2.00 or greater, expires in 7 days, plus a £10 Casino Bonus, expires in 7 days. Wager the Casino Bonus 35x to withdraw winnings. Credit/Debit card deposits only. Geographical Restrictions and T&Cs Apply. Please Gamble Responsibly
Bet £10 Get £40
New customers only – £10 deposit using promo code "FOOTBALL" or "RACING"- First bet must be placed on any market - Minimum stake £10 at odds of 1/2 (1.5) - Free bets credited upon qualifying bet settlement and expire after 7 days - Free bet stakes not included in returns - Deposit balance is available for withdrawal at any time. General deposit method & withdrawal restrictions apply & Full T&C’s apply. 18+ begambleaware.org
Free £20 Exchange Bet
New customers only, bet up to €/£20 on the Exchange and if your first bet loses, we’ll refund you €/£20 in Cash. Bet must be placed in first 7 days of account opening. T&Cs apply, 18+ begambleaware.org
Up to £30 in Free Bets
New UK & Ireland Customers Only. Min Deposit: £/€10. 1 x wagering at odds of 1.75+ to unlock Free Bet. Credit Card, Debit Card & PayPal deposits only. T&C's apply, 18+ begambleaware.org
Bet £10 on Football & Get £30 Bonus + £10 Casino Bonus
New customers only. 18+, BeGambleAware.org. Minimum deposit £10. UK customers only. Place a £10+ bet on football of odds 1/1 (2.00) or greater to receive your 3x£10 in football free bets. Free bets will expire 7 days after your qualifying bet is settled. £10 Casino bonus will be credited the next working day after you have deposited. Casino bonus must be wagered at least 35x before any withdrawals can take place. T&C's apply, 18+ begambleaware.org
£25 Bet Bundle
18+ T&Cs apply. Cash stakes only. Min £10 stake required for initial £5 free bet. Min odds ½. Max £25 in free bets. Subsequent free bets equal 50% average of each 3 qualifying bets. 13 bets required to receive full £25 free bet. Qualifying bet must be placed within 30 days of opening account. Free bet expires after 7 days. Payment method restrictions apply. ** **18+. UK/IRE customers only. Max refund £20. Win or win part of e/w outright singles only. Min field size required. 1st bet on each race. Free bet expires after 7 days. Ante post bets after 9am 5/3/2019 qualify. Free/void bets don’t qualify. T&Cs apply.