Today's Horse Racing Tips: Four for a super Sunday

Today's tips come from Ayr and Newbury.
Today's tips come from Ayr and Newbury.

After hitting the bar on Friday, I was delighted to land a 9/2 NAP yesterday. Lancaster House might not quite be up to Group 1 class, but he once again proved too strong in Group 3 company. He is likely to head to Royal Ascot now. 

There are four bets for today’s racing at Newbury and Ayr.

Newbury Tips

14:10 – 7f Dubai Duty Free Stakes (Group 3)

Having made a good impression in her first two starts, it was no surprise to see ALCOHOL FREE (1 point win bet at 3/1) win the Group 1 Cheveley Park Stakes at Newmarket on her final start of last season. She saw out the six-furlong trip well that day and given that she relaxes and has a good attitude, today’s extra furlong should pose no problems. 

Unpenalised for her Group 1 victory, Andrew Balding’s filly is one of the leading contenders in the betting for the 1000 Guineas. This race will be a good indicator as to whether that is the route to take, but she has reportedly been working well at home. Although she is likely to come on significantly for the run, she is the top-rated filly in the race and there is every chance that she will be good enough.

14:45 – 7f Watership Down Stud Too Darn Hot Greenham Stakes (Group 3)

As short as 14/1 for next month’s 2000 Guineas, Richard Hannon’s exciting colt CHINDIT (1 point win bet at 2/1) is taken to make a winning seasonal reappearance and lay down a marker ahead of the Classics.

This son of Wooten Bassett won his first three juvenile starts in really good style, including the Group 2 Champagne Stakes at Doncaster. Soft ground was probably to blame when he suffered his first defeat in a very strong renewal of the Group 1 Dewhurst Stakes when last seen.

Proven over the seven-furlong trip and with ground conditions very much to suit, this highly regarded three-year-old looks the one to beat.

15:20 – 1m MansionBet Spring Cup Handicap (Class 2)

JOHAN (1 point win bet at 12/1) goes well fresh as shown when winning over this course and distance on his 2020 seasonal reappearance. That confirmed the promise he had shown as a two-year-old and he followed it up with two more victories in the autumn. Gelded over the winter, everything looks to be in his favour today and with James Doyle back on board, he is taken to run a big race. Unfortunately, he missed his intended engagement in the Lincoln, a race in which Danyah was fourth. He rates the biggest danger along with his fellow Shadwell-owned four-year-old Raaeq.

14:10 Newbury
Alcohol Free silk

Alcohol Free

won
14:45 Newbury
Chindit silk

Chindit

won
15:20 Newbury
Johan silk

Johan

lost

Ayr Tip

15:35 – 4m Coral Scottish Grand National Handicap Chase (Grade 3)

MIGHTY THUNDER (1 point win bet at 10/1) was a 25/1 winner for me at Musselburgh in February, a result I celebrated to the extent that my neighbours felt the need to check everything was ok! That joy turned to sheer despair when he got collared late on in the Midlands Grand National 29 days ago. I’d backed him at 18/1 that day and he looked the likely winner for most of the race. Having jumped the last in front, he still looked like he was going to secure victory until deep inside the final furlong. I have thought about that race most days since and am hoping that he can continue his excellent run of form and gain compensation today.

Lucinda Russell’s progressive chaser is a sound jumper and a proven stayer over this sort of trip. His overall record over fences is now three wins and a second from just five starts, and he remains open to plenty more improvement with Tom Scudamore booked for the first time.

15:35 Ayr
Mighty Thunder silk

Mighty Thunder

won
Scottish Grand National Odds

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