ITV Racing Tips: Raceolly's five best bets at Newbury and Newmarket

RaceOlly has five bets for Saturday's racing at Newmarket and Newbury
RaceOlly has five bets for Saturday's racing at Newmarket and Newbury

Having had a profitable Dante Festival at York, our top tipster RaceOlly is back for his best bets on Saturday, and he has picked out five selections from Newbury and Newmarket...

13:35 Newbury - BetVictor Carnarvon Stakes

t’s pretty important to get a low draw in this, in 20 runnings no winner has ever been drawn higher than eight and 16 of them were drawn no higher than stall five. MOHI has a good draw in stall 3 and had excuses after a drop back to five furlongs on seasonal reappearance at Nottingham. Form over six furlongs is strong and reads 2113, the third in coming in a listed contest beaten a length by one that won again since and is now rated 109. Mohi is rated just 97, but that run was a fair bit better than that and worth a play at a big price. Clive Cox had a 20% win rate with his three-year-olds last year and looks to build on that this season.

13:35 Newbury - BetVictor Carnarvon Stakes
Mohi silk

Mohi (EW)

lost

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Lockinge Stakes Odds

14:25 Newmarket - TRU7 Handicap

I'M A GAMBLER has improved with every run winning four times all over six furlongs and on ground no worse than good. Bravely battled to victory at Hamilton last week and prominent race style and good draw here is a huge positive. Return to sprints last time was perfect on breeding with 35% of No Nay Never horses placing when running in sprints and Mark Johnson have a 18% win rate in sprints over the last five years, a figure he’s near matching this season (17%).

14:25 Newmarket - TRU7 Handicap
I'm A Gambler silk

I'm A Gambler (EW)

lost

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14:45 Newbury - BetVictor London Gold Cup Handicap

ZOOM is interesting in this off a featherweight and with the step up in trip looking a very good move. Two good runs here already in big field novices/maidens and last time out at Goodwood he went off a well fancied 9/2, but was caught for pace over a furlong out before finishing well, this step up to 1m 2f is ideal and Adaay three-year-olds have a 27% place rate.

14:45 Newbury - BetVictor London Gold Cup Handicap
Zoom silk

Zoom (EW)

placed

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15:00 Newmarket - Birketts LLP Handicap

NATURAL PATH won twice on his first season with Michael Bell last year the latest off just 2lbs lower than he runs off here. Been in good form in Bahrain over the winter and an unlucky loser last time when early scrummaging was not ideal and only went down a length in the end despite that. Won over seven furlongs twice in France and that latest run over Bahrain was also over seven so no problem with the trip. Trainer Michael Bell has had three winners from his last six runners, two of them at this track on Thursday

15:00 Newmarket - Birketts LLP Handicap
Natural Path silk

Natural Path (EW)

placed

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15:20 Newbury - Al Shaqab Lockinge Stakes

ALCOHOL FREE is a huge price here for a three times Group 1 winner and headgear didn’t work last time and is now quickly disregarded. Four-year-olds have won 14 of the last 19 runnings and fillies have a good record, One runner last year finished 2nd, three runners the year before finished 2nd, 6th and unplaced and one runner the year before won. Weighted to go close on ratings and two previous visits to the track have resulted in two wins including a Group race.

15:20 Newbury - Al Shaqab Lockinge Stakes
Alcohol Free silk

Alcohol Free (EW)

lost
Today's Racing Tips
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