Longshot Ted: Tips for Newbury, Warwick and a 16/1 Mullins improver for the Cheltenham Festival

Lostintranslation is fancied for the Denman Chase at Newbury
Lostintranslation is fancied for the Denman Chase at Newbury

In this week's column, Ed Quigley takes a look at the weekend action from Newbury and Warwick and highlights a 16/1 improver for the 2021 Cheltenham Festival...

Tips Summary:

HOOK UP ran a very good race in Grade 1 company at Leopardstown over the weekend and appears to be improving with experience. In fact, to finish fourth behind Appreciate It, Ballyadam and Blue Lord in the Chanelle Pharma Novice Hurdle is no disgrace and, granted how sloppy her jumping was in the early part of the contest, she did well to get as close as she did.

Apart from a sloppy error four out, the 50/1 chance jumped better as she warmed to the task and, whilst she will have to step up again to win the Mares Novices Hurdle at Prestbury Park in 5 weeks time and produce a more polished performance in regards to tackling her obstacles, the raw ability is there. She has Festival experience from running in last year's Triumph Hurdle and, in a race that has a fairly wide-open look about it at this stage, the Willie Mullins trained mare looks the one to be with at double-figure odds.

Mares Novices Hurdle
Hook Up silk

Hook Up

Cheltenham Festival Tips

To more immediate affairs, LOSTINTRANSLATION can return to winning ways in the Denman Chase provided Newbury can beat the current cold snap. Obviously Clan Des Obeaux and a returning Champ are rivals of note but, with the Colin Tizzard team appearing to have turned a corner and providing the ground isn't too testing, the former Betfair Chase hero looks overpriced at 7/2.

Things haven't always gone to plan since that red letter day at Haydock in 2019 but he is a horse that, when on-song, has plenty of class - as we saw in last season's Gold Cup.

3 miles on a flat, galloping track suits just fine and with the general malaise surrounding the yard appearing to have lifted, there are plenty of reasons to be optimistic about his chances.

Denman Chase
Lostintranslation silk


All eyes will be on Altior as he tries to win the Game Spirit Chase for the fourth time but it is hard to let head overrule heart and it could just be a case that father time is catching up with the Nicky Henderson-trained great. I think he is opposable and prefer the younger, fresher legs of the Paul Nicholls trained GREANETEEN.

The seven-year-old has been a rapid improver throughout the ranks - progressing to a BHA rating of 161 from a mark of 132 just over a year ago. A winner of this season's Haldon Gold Cup he was then runner-up to Politologue in the Tingle Creek on his first start in Grade 1 company and this lightly-raced individual can make his presence felt here.

Game Spirit Chase
Greaneteen silk


Cheltenham Festival Races

Over at Warwick, I am surprised to see Grade 1 winning Novice Chaser ALLMANKIND trading odds-against to land the Kingmaker. Dan Skelton's representative is two from two over fences - including when winning on chase debut at this track in a canter. I think he could take some stopping and a similarly dominant win here would put him firmly in the mix for next month's Arkle Chase where Shiskin and Energumene currently head the market. 

Kingmaker Novices Chase
Allmankind silk



Hook Up, Mares Novice Hurdle, 16-1 (Bet365)
Lostintranslation, Denman Chase, Newbury, 7-2 (Paddy Power)
Greaneteen, Game Spirit Chase, Newbury, 9-2 (Paddy Power)
Allmankind, Kingmaker Novices' Chase, Warwick, 11-10 (William Hill)

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