Today's Horse Racing Tips: Harmony to hit the right tune at Doncaster

Today's Horse Racing Tips: Chris Baker has one bet for Thursday's racing at Doncaster
Today's Horse Racing Tips: Chris Baker has one bet for Thursday's racing at Doncaster

There is one bet for today’s racing at Doncaster.

Doncaster Tip

19:20 – 6f Sky Bet Go-Racing-In-Yorkshire Summer Festival Handicap (Class 4)

Trainer Tom Dascombe has his horses in good form having sent out eight winners in the last fortnight at a 23% strike rate. Three of those have come under apprentice jockey Kieran Schofield, who takes the ride aboard HARMONY LIL (NAP – 1 point win bet at 9/2) today. Schofield recently rode out his 7lb claim and now talks off 5lbs.

This daughter of Kodi Bear is out of a Group-placed winner and has won two of her 14 starts to date. They both came over six furlongs at Chester, but she has recently gone close at Bath (beaten by ¾-length) and here at Doncaster (beaten by a neck). Those two runs saw her stay on well at the end of 5½-furlongs, so the return to six should really suit. Ground conditions are also very much in her favour as she has won on ‘good’ and been placed on ‘firm’. She can be forgiven her heavy defeat at Wolverhampton last time out as it came on her first try on an artificial surface. Interestingly, the sire’s progeny tend to perform better on turf (32% v 23% winners to runners strike-rate).

With no major competitor for the lead, there is a chance that she could get an easy time in front and she’s shown that she can respond well for pressure. Even though the stalls are positioned in the centre and there shouldn’t be a bias, I’m pleased with her positioning in stall six given recent statistics over this course and distance and the possible pace scenario. She is top rated on both Racing Post Ratings and Topspeed Ratings, and is the one to beat.

Whittle Le Woods, a dual winner on the All Weather and improving on turf, is feared most.

19:20 Doncaster
Harmony Lil silk

Harmony Lil

lost
Today's Horse Racing Tips
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