Racing tips for Royal Ascot Saturday: Pier can take the Palace

There are eight races to solve at Ascot on Saturday afternoon.
There are eight races to solve at Ascot on Saturday afternoon.

Having tipped up two winners on Friday, Nick Seddon runs through the card on Day Five of Royal Ascot, which is headlined by the Group 1 Diamond Jubilee Stakes...

12:40 - Silver Wokingham Stakes 

We have eight races to solve on an intriguing card at Royal Ascot on Saturday, beginning with a 24-runner consolation race for the Wokingham. This is another painstakingly difficult puzzle to solve, with the entire field separated by just 3 lb, though Blue Mist is reasonably interesting for the Roger Charlton team.

He's pretty lightly-raced for a five-year-old, and performed with credit in some valuable handicaps last summer - finishing third in the International Stakes over seven furlongs here last July. This big field scenario should suit, and after shaping well on reappearance at Newmarket earlier this month, he's fancied to go close off his current mark, with the drop back to six furlongs unlikely to be too much of an inconvenience. 

Tip

Silver Wokingham Stakes
Blue Mist silk

Blue Mist

lost

13:15 - Queen Mary Stakes

The first of two juvenile contests on Saturday afternoon, the Queen Mary is no stranger to an upset, and each of the last two winners have returned home at prices of 18/1 and 25/1 respectively. With that in mind, while Most Beautiful makes plenty of appeal, she's short enough in the betting, and it could be worth opposing her with Sands Of Time each-way. She's bred to be useful (half-sister to several winners at sprint trips), and she showed plenty of speed when making an eye-catching winning debut at Lingfield earlier this month.

She'll need plenty more now stepped up into Group 2 company, but she's open to any amount of improvement on just her second start, and it isn't difficult to see her being right on the premises if handed an attacking ride by William Buick - who is an eye-catching booking. 

Tip

Queen Mary Stakes
Sands Of Time silk

Sands Of Time (EW)

lost

13:50 - Coventry Stakes

A competitive-looking renewal of the Coventry Stakes, though it's very difficult to look past the favourite at the time of writing, Admiral Nelson. A £440,000 purchase as a yearling, the son of Kingman makes plenty of appeal on paper being out of a well-bred dam, and he made a rather taking start to his career when proving too good for his similarly expensive stablemate over the minimum trip at the Curragh earlier this month. He's open to plenty of improvement here on the back of that and can follow up now upped in class here, with the extra furlong likely to play into his hands. 

Tip

Coventry Stakes
Admiral Nelson silk

Admiral Nelson

lost

14:25 - Coronation Stakes

Two juvenile contests are followed by a pair of races for the classic generation, beginning with the Group 1 Coronation Stakes. As it usually does, the form of the 1000 Guineas is likely to prove to be key here, and Cloak Of Spirits (second) and Quadrilateral (third) reoppose from Newmarket. The latter was her own worst enemy in the fillies' classic, refusing to settle early on, but she was a smart juvenile last term and there's every reason to think that she will have learned plenty from that run - which was just her fourth career start.

Indeed, she is a filly of a great deal of potential this term, particularly if or when she's stepped up in trip, and she's taken to reverse that Newmarket form here provided she can settle better early on. Meanwhile, Irish raider Alpine Star has an absence to defy here, but would have every chance if replicating her effort to win the Group 2 Debutante Stakes at the Curragh last August, and can't be discounted with Frankie Dettori booked. 

Tip

Coronation Stakes
Quadrilateral silk

Quadrilateral

lost

15:00 - St James's Palace Stakes

A script with more narratives than Inception, though plenty of onlookers will focus on Pinatubo's apparent redemption mission after failing to justify favouritism in the 2000 Guineas. It seems a bit harsh to bill it as that, as he ran perfectly well to finish third behind two potentially top-class colts in Kameko and the reopposing Wichita. However, it's hard to see him reversing the form with the latter, who seemingly won fair and square at Newmarket, though both may have to settle for place money behind the unexposed Palace Pier.

A 600,000 guineas purchase as a yearling, he's highly thought of by his connections, who opted to swerve the Guineas in favour of a reappearance run at Newcastle. He still looked to be learning on the job there, but ultimately extended his winning run to three in really good style, and he looks ready for the step up into Group company. This a sizeable leap, but he's ticked all of the right boxes so far, and is taking a similar path to this as the 2018 winner Without Parole, who Gosden prepared to perfection for this.

Tip

St James's Palace Stakes
Palace Pier silk

Palace Pier

won
Royal Ascot Tips

15:35 - Diamond Jubilee Stakes

The story of this race is Sceptical, a cheap purchase from Godolphin who has quickly progressed into becoming Ireland's best sprinter. He was a taking winner of a listed race on reappearance at Naas earlier this month and will be partnered by Frankie Dettori here, though this is another sizeable step up in class, and he could just bump into a proven Group 1 performer in Hello Youmzain.

This doesn't look the deepest of renewals of the Diamond Jubilee, and Hello Youmzain proved to be a very smart sprinter during his three-year-old campaign, winning the Sprint Cup at Haydock and finishing a fine third in the Commonwealth Cup at this meeting. He wouldn't want it to come up too soft, but he wasn't suited by the way the Champions Sprint panned out on his most recent start last October, with the run of the race suiting the closers, and this is much likely more likely to suit. Indeed, he sets a pretty solid standard on his best three-year-old form, and is fancied to prove too classy from the front here. Meanwhile, there should be more to come from last year's Stewards' Cup winner Khaadem this term, though he may need faster ground to be seen to best effect.

Tip

Diamond Jubilee Stakes
Hello Youmzain silk

Hello Youmzain

won

16:10 - Wokingham Stakes

Leeds United fans will be hoping that a pattern doesn't emerge in Bielsa's purchase by King Power Racing, but he's the best bet in a typically competitive renewal of the Wokingham. He's lightly-raced for a five-year-old, but has proven to be an upwardly-mobile type in his five starts to date, winning four.

He struggled in a similar big field scenario in the Portland Handicap at Doncaster last September, but put that right when winning at the same track a month later, and he appeals as a sprinter who's heading firmly in the right direction. Indeed, an 8 lb rise to an official mark of 101 doesn't look enough to stop him, and he can win this on his way to pattern company later this summer.  

Tip

Wokingham Stakes
Bielsa silk

Bielsa

lost

16:40 - Queen Alexandra Stakes

As you'd probably expect for a staying handicap over two and three quarter miles, National Hunt yards have an excellent record in this race, and Who Dares Wins is taken to strike in the finale for the Alan King team. A dual-purpose performer, he's talented enough over obstacles to have won a Grade 2 novices' chase at Kempton back in February, but he also has plenty of ability on the Flat, something he showed when winning the Northumberland Plate in game fashion last summer. He's able to take his chance on good terms in this conditions contest, and with the extra six furlongs likely to play into his hands, he's a confident pick at around the 5/2 mark to prove too strong for a yard which also won the Ascot Stakes earlier in the week. 

Tip

Queen Alexandra Stakes
Who Dares Wins silk

Who Dares Wins

won
Royal Ascot Day Five Odds

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